Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	90.0	72.9	162.9	+17.0	88%
Season at home (12)	89.1	70.2	159.2	+18.9	92%
Season away (13)	90.8	75.5	166.2	+15.3	85%
Last 10 (10)	91.1	78.3	169.4	+12.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	77.6	166.6	+11.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.0	87.0	172.0	-2.0	40%
vs Similar (3)	92.3	84.7	177.0	+7.7	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	89.0	69.3	158.3	+19.8	86%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVaerlose

Date

Competition

Horsens

78-99

-21

72avg 72

H25/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

76-98

-22

61avg 72

H03/02

Basketligaen

Randers

80-79

73avg 72

A11/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#10

99-80

+19

94avg 72

H15/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

72-61

+11

70avg 72

A17/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

95-98

-3

88avg 72

H07/03

Basketligaen

Randers

84-91

-7

70avg 72

A14/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

64-86

-22

52avg 72

H18/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

79-103

103

-24

72avg 72

H21/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

92-86

91avg 72

A25/03

Basketligaen

20-23

19-29

21-23

18-24

17-17

17-21

21-31

21-29

23-18

16-19

18-23

23-19

27-17

28-20

31-20

13-23

17-19

19-13

18-16

18-13

23-31

18-17

31-29

23-21

27-21

21-21

18-24

18-25

17-24

20-22

11-19

16-21

24-23

18-24

13-28

24-28

31-23

17-18

17-14

27-31

170.0Avg total

81.9Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	81.6	87.3	168.9	-5.7	44%
Season at home (13)	83.3	88.7	172.0	-5.4	38%
Season away (12)	79.8	85.8	165.5	-6.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	88.1	170.0	-6.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	92.8	175.6	-10.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	79.6	92.6	172.2	-13.1	18%
vs Similar (4)	76.2	75.2	151.5	+1.0	75%
vs Weaker (8)	89.1	76.8	165.9	+12.4	88%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsensVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	16.5	35.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	19.6	41.5	+2.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	21.0	44.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.9	41.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	24.4	48.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.4	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.7	18.6	42.3	+5.1	83%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.6	17.0	41.6	+7.6	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.1	19.8	42.8	+3.3	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	18.9	43.0	+5.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.6	46.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	18.3	40.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.9	17.4	41.3	+6.6	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.3	40.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.8	19.4	41.1	+2.4	62%	-

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

37-32

A21/01

Denmark Cup

Vaerlose

52-39

+13

A25/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#11

55-32

+23

A03/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

42-48

-6

H09/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

46-24

+22

H15/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

40-37

H04/03

Basketligaen

Svendborg

42-42

A11/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

46-37

A18/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

51-38

+13

H21/03

Basketligaen

Randers

48-53

-5

A25/03

Basketligaen

84.1Avg total

45.9Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.4	37.0	81.4	+7.5	72%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.8	33.5	77.3	+10.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.9	39.4	84.3	+5.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	38.2	84.1	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	41.4	86.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.6	44.4	86.0	-2.8	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	46.0	39.3	85.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.8	34.8	79.5	+10.0	75%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

39-52

-13

H25/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

34-38

-4

H03/02

Basketligaen

Randers

39-37

A11/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#10

55-37

+18

H15/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

36-32

A17/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

41-48

-7

H07/03

Basketligaen

Randers

48-42

A14/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

37-46

-9

H18/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-47

-5

H21/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

48-41

A25/03

Basketligaen

83.9Avg total

41.9Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.4	84.0	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	42.6	86.0	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	42.1	82.1	-2.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	42.0	83.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	44.8	88.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.6	45.4	86.0	-4.8	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.0	38.5	79.5	+2.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (8)	45.0	37.1	82.1	+7.9	62%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	17.1	38.8	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.2	16.8	38.9	+5.4	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	18.3	42.0	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.7	15.7	37.4	+6.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.3	41.9	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.9	40.5	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	24.5	43.4	-5.7	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.5	18.0	32.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.9	20.1	44.0	+3.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.4	19.0	43.4	+5.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	27.0	49.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.1	41.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.4	43.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.2	46.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.2	22.7	42.9	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	18.8	39.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.2	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.4	37.4	81.8	+7.0	79%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	45.2	36.7	81.9	+8.6	83%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.8	37.9	81.8	+5.9	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	40.1	85.3	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	36.2	79.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.4	42.6	86.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	46.3	45.3	91.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.5	35.0	79.5	+9.5	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	43.6	83.4	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	44.3	84.7	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	46.1	86.1	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	48.0	87.6	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.0	47.2	86.2	-8.2	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.1	39.6	83.8	+4.5	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 89.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.0	26.9	56.0%	51.8%	53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	7.9	36.7%	31.7%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	18.9	12.4	65.6%	67.0%	12.4

They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	19.3	47.3%	51.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	8.4	31.8%	31.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	23.0	17.5	76.1%	67.0%	17.5

They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	20.7	52.1%	51.8%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.8	33.9%	31.7%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.1	68.9%	67.0%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.6	25.3	55.5%	51.8%	50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.0	30.4%	31.7%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	23.2	15.3	65.9%	67.0%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.7	25.4	54.4%	51.8%	50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.3	33.8%	31.7%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	19.1	12.1	63.7%	67.0%	12.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	20.4	47.8%	51.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	7.7	30.2%	31.7%	23.2
🏀 Free throws	22.8	16.9	74.3%	67.0%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	19.9	48.7%	51.8%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	6.4	29.8%	31.7%	19.2
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.0	70.4%	67.0%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	24.0	53.8%	51.8%	47.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	7.5	31.6%	31.7%	22.4
🏀 Free throws	23.8	15.9	66.7%	67.0%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Horsens

WWWWWWWWWL

Vaerlose

WLLLLWWWLL

League position

+16.1

Net rating

-7.1

120.5

Offensive rating

102.8

104.4

Defensive rating

109.9

55.8%

Effective FG%

47.5%

51.7%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

15.6%

Turnover %

17.9%

39.2%

Off. rebound %

30.2%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.34

36.7%

3-point %

31.8%

52.0%

Assist %

75.8%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Horsens ■ Vaerlose

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsens wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
18/03/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	64-86
25/01/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	78-99
12/11/23	Vaerlose v Horsens	71-90
29/10/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	88-56
22/01/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	90-63
04/11/22	Vaerlose v Horsens	82-87
16/01/22	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-92
22/10/21	Vaerlose v Horsens	84-89
03/01/21	Vaerlose v Horsens	84-100
11/10/20	Horsens v Vaerlose	96-88

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/24	A	Randers	98-84
21/03/24	H	Team FOG Naestved	90-87
18/03/24	A	Vaerlose	86-64
11/03/24	A	Svendborg	83-76
04/03/24	H	Bakken Bears	88-77
15/02/24	H	Bears Academy	86-66
09/02/24	H	Team FOG Naestved	92-88
03/02/24	A	Amager	115-84
25/01/24	A	Vaerlose	99-78
21/01/24	A	Randers	74-79

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/24	A	Team FOG Naestved	92-86
21/03/24	H	Bakken Bears	79-103
18/03/24	H	Horsens	64-86
14/03/24	A	Randers	84-91
07/03/24	H	Svendborg	95-98
17/02/24	A	Bears Academy	72-61
15/02/24	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	99-80
11/02/24	A	Randers	80-79
03/02/24	H	Bakken Bears	76-98
25/01/24	H	Horsens	78-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens

Basketligaen 2023-24

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WWWWW	85%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	88%	92%	85%
Points / game	90.0	89.1	90.8
Allowed / game	72.9	70.2	75.5
Point differential	+17.0	+18.9	+15.3
Avg total	162.9	159.2	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	68%	58%	77%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	44%
Home	LWLLL	38%
Away	LWWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	44%	38%	50%
Points / game	81.6	83.3	79.8
Allowed / game	87.3	88.7	85.8
Point differential	-5.7	-5.4	-6.0
Avg total	168.9	172.0	165.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	8%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	40% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	25	22	3	88%	100.4	76.9	+23.5
2	Horsens	25	22	3	88%	90.0	72.9	+17.0
3	Team FOG Naestved	25	17	8	68%	95.6	84.4	+11.2
4	Svendborg	25	17	8	68%	90.3	83.3	+7.0
5	Randers	25	14	11	56%	93.4	87.7	+5.7
6	Copenhagen	25	14	11	56%	82.6	79.1	+3.5
7	Vaerlose	25	11	14	44%	81.6	87.3	-5.7
8	Bears Academy	24	8	16	33%	77.2	83.1	-5.9
9	Herlev Wolfpack	25	5	20	20%	75.4	90.8	-15.4
10	Holbaek-Stenhus	25	5	20	20%	72.3	90.5	-18.2
11	Amager	25	2	23	8%	76.1	99.0	-22.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsens	21	11	16	22	70
Vaerlose	23	15	17	23	78

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Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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