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Horsens vs Svendborg Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game79.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2026-27
Meetings · Horsens v Svendborg
16 Dec 2026
HORS v SVEN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
HORS92
SVEN74
17 Oct 2025
HORS76
SVEN72
03 Mar 2025
HORS84
SVEN74
03 Feb 2025
HORS75
SVEN72
10 May 2024
HORS94
SVEN87
05 Apr 2024
HORS80
SVEN70
11 Dec 2023
HORS75
SVEN81
03 Apr 2023
HORS101
SVEN98
10 Feb 2023
HORS98
SVEN102
02 May 2022
HORS90
SVEN87
25 Apr 2022
HORS96
SVEN100
06 Apr 2022
HORS84
SVEN88
30 Sep 2021
HORS77
SVEN93
21 Jan 2021
HORS86
SVEN81
15 Dec 2020
HORS88
SVEN69
05 Mar 2020
HORS93
SVEN86
17 Oct 2019
HORS78
SVEN59
02 Feb 2019
HORS105
SVEN70
10 Jan 2019
HORS102
SVEN80
06 Dec 2018
HORS105
SVEN78
01 Feb 2018
HORS90
SVEN81
15 Nov 2017
HORS71
SVEN67
12 Oct 2017
HORS91
SVEN78
21 Feb 2017
HORS77
SVEN91
11 Oct 2016
HORS100
SVEN86
03 Mar 2016
HORS84
SVEN79
01 Dec 2015
HORS84
SVEN50
24 Apr 2015
HORS87
SVEN71
17 Apr 2015
HORS89
SVEN102
08 Apr 2015
HORS89
SVEN71
08 Mar 2015
HORS79
SVEN100
15 Jan 2015
HORS80
SVEN78
09 Jan 2014
HORS89
SVEN77
17 Feb 2013
HORS95
SVEN84
18 Nov 2012
HORS76
SVEN85
02 Oct 2011
HORS78
SVEN105
31 Mar 2011
HORS66
SVEN88
24 Mar 2011
HORS97
SVEN84
27 Feb 2011
HORS87
SVEN89
07 Nov 2010
HORS96
SVEN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
86avg 76
A17/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 76
A24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
66avg 76
H27/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 76
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 76
A10/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
92avg 76
H15/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 76
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
105avg 76
A28/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
A04/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
98-57
98
57
+41
no box
H08/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
16-25
23-13
29-19
13-27
21-19
21-10
9-27
15-31
21-28
15-24
22-18
20-25
26-16
21-21
32-17
16-22
21-20
27-13
16-14
23-18
43-24
0-0
31-41
28-25
18-21
22-20
26-18
30-21
26-17
19-13
27-15
25-21
22-12
19-21
27-30
28-11
24-12
26-17
20-17
166.8Avg total
89.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Season at home (5)92.280.8173.0+11.480%
Season away (5)86.274.4160.6+11.880%
Last 10 (10)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Last 5 (5)96.874.8171.6+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.190.4171.5-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.279.2164.4+6.060%
vs Weaker (10)94.677.5172.1+17.190%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 82
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 82
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
79avg 82
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
107avg 82
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 82
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 82
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
97-82
97
82
+15
103avg 82
H23/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
100avg 82
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H08/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
25-16
13-23
19-29
10-22
33-15
29-25
24-21
20-29
22-20
22-16
22-10
28-17
27-18
25-15
22-24
27-23
22-12
20-22
23-13
18-28
16-22
21-15
28-21
16-12
32-23
25-22
24-25
22-30
25-17
23-22
23-24
26-16
24-15
18-17
18-11
20-25
23-11
22-16
26-26
170.3Avg total
90.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.679.7170.3+10.980%
Season at home (5)88.276.4164.6+11.880%
Season away (5)93.083.0176.0+10.080%
Last 10 (10)90.679.7170.3+10.980%
Last 5 (5)92.080.6172.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.077.7161.7+6.367%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.890.2174.0-6.525%
vs Weaker (19)91.676.4168.1+15.284%
This opponent (Horsens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
HorsensSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H27/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H15/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A28/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H08/11
Basketligaen
86.8Avg total
46.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.686.4+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.840.186.9+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.285.9-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)46.040.886.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)53.436.489.8+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.246.387.5-5.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.839.679.4+0.240%-
vs Weaker (10)49.538.688.1+10.980%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A12/11
Basketligaen
84.4Avg total
44.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.685.4+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.881.8+6.156%-
Last 30 away (14)45.943.889.6+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.584.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.884.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.041.777.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.444.187.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (19)46.838.985.8+7.963%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.5
56.6%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
31.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.214.8
61.2%
68.0%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.1
58.2%
55.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.1
30.6%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.318.3
72.3%
68.0%18.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
WWWWWWWLLW
Svendborg
WWWWLWWWWL
#3
League position
#4
+0.4
Net rating
+8.0
95.0
Offensive rating
97.2
94.6
Defensive rating
89.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.4%
3-point %
30.6%
65.1%
Assist %
62.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 97.2Defence94.6 · 89.2Shooting54.5% · 53.4%3-point %34.4% · 30.6%Ball care16.9% · 15.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Horsens   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Horsens wins
5
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
17/09/26Svendborg v Horsens70-92
14/05/26Svendborg v Horsens103-78
06/04/26Svendborg v Horsens68-67
16/03/26Horsens v Svendborg92-74
18/12/25Svendborg v Horsens69-62
17/10/25Horsens v Svendborg76-72
07/04/25Svendborg v Horsens91-61
03/03/25Horsens v Svendborg84-74
03/02/25Horsens v Svendborg75-72
07/11/24Svendborg v Horsens78-67
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBMS Herlev98-57
04/11/26ABears Academy93-84
28/10/26AVejen102-66
23/10/26HRanders94-84
15/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus97-83
10/10/26ACopenhagen80-69
02/10/26HVaerlose99-79
27/09/26HTeam FOG Naestved73-101
24/09/26ABakken Bears64-83
17/09/26ASvendborg92-70
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ABMS Herlev91-78
08/11/26HVaerlose86-59
31/10/26ACopenhagen103-98 OT
23/10/26HBears Academy97-82
15/10/26ATeam FOG Naestved83-86
07/10/26AGladsaxe92-70
02/10/26HVejen102-74
26/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus86-75
23/09/26ARanders96-83
17/09/26HHorsens70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game89.292.286.2
Allowed / game77.680.874.4
Point differential+11.6+11.4+11.8
Avg total166.8173.0160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game90.688.293.0
Allowed / game79.776.483.0
Point differential+10.9+11.8+10.0
Avg total170.3164.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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