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Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-111
35-28 34-25 27-32 29-26
Position#4
Record49-26
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game109.3
vs
Position#1
Record62-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.6
Allowed / game107.2
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Oklahoma City Thunder
27 Dec 2026
HOU v OKC
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
HOU119
OKC98
15 Jan 2026
HOU91
OKC111
04 Apr 2025
HOU125
OKC111
01 Dec 2024
HOU119
OKC116
25 Feb 2024
HOU110
OKC123
06 Dec 2023
HOU110
OKC101
01 Feb 2023
HOU112
OKC106
26 Nov 2022
HOU118
OKC105
29 Nov 2021
HOU102
OKC89
22 Oct 2021
HOU124
OKC91
21 Mar 2021
HOU112
OKC114
02 Sep 2020
HOU104
OKC102
29 Aug 2020
HOU114
OKC80
20 Aug 2020
HOU111
OKC98
18 Aug 2020
HOU123
OKC108
20 Jan 2020
HOU107
OKC112
28 Oct 2019
HOU116
OKC112
09 Feb 2019
HOU112
OKC117
25 Dec 2018
HOU113
OKC109
07 Apr 2018
HOU102
OKC108
25 Apr 2017
HOU105
OKC99
19 Apr 2017
HOU115
OKC111
16 Apr 2017
HOU118
OKC87
26 Mar 2017
HOU137
OKC125
05 Jan 2017
HOU118
OKC116
03 Apr 2016
HOU118
OKC110
02 Nov 2015
HOU110
OKC105
15 Jan 2015
HOU112
OKC101
04 Apr 2014
HOU111
OKC107
16 Jan 2014
HOU92
OKC104
03 May 2013
HOU94
OKC103
29 Apr 2013
HOU105
OKC103
27 Apr 2013
HOU101
OKC104
20 Feb 2013
HOU122
OKC119
29 Dec 2012
HOU94
OKC124
15 Feb 2012
HOU96
OKC95
07 Jan 2012
HOU95
OKC98
12 Jan 2011
HOU112
OKC118
28 Nov 2010
HOU99
OKC98
19 Dec 2009
HOU95
OKC90
06 Nov 2009
HOU105
OKC94
01 Nov 2008
HOU89
OKC77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
117-114
117
114
+3
105avg 105
H16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
144-137 OT
144
137
+7
141avg 105
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
116-108
116
108
+8
109avg 105
A19/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
102-98
102
98
+4
87avg 105
A22/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
111-116
111
116
-5
100avg 105
H23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
121-114
121
114
+7
109avg 105
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
121-110
121
110
+11
110avg 105
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
148-109
148
109
+39
147avg 105
A31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
93avg 105
A01/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
143-105
143
105
+38
142avg 105
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
38-36
25-18
32-31
28-44
29-34
45-24
29-29
28-23
28-29
32-20
28-36
23-27
28-32
27-21
24-18
27-27
30-30
22-39
32-20
30-23
35-25
29-26
27-40
27-24
26-27
36-29
32-30
32-24
46-25
34-24
36-36
19-16
29-32
29-34
21-22
33-26
37-20
32-29
41-30
233.6Avg total
122.1Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)114.9109.3224.1+5.665%
Season at home (38)114.6107.3221.9+7.371%
Season away (37)115.2111.2226.4+4.059%
Last 10 (10)122.1111.5233.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)126.2108.4234.6+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)128.0137.0265.0-9.00%
vs Similar (8)107.8112.9220.6-5.125%
vs Weaker (21)117.0107.6224.6+9.476%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
113-107
113
107
+6
100avg 111
A15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
121-105
121
105
+16
121avg 111
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
133-100
133
100
+33
140avg 111
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
141-106
141
106
+35
137avg 111
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
103-101
103
101
+2
93avg 111
A24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
121-105
121
105
+16
126avg 111
A26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
125-104
125
104
+21
120avg 111
H28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
132-111
132
111
+21
126avg 111
H30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
145-117
145
117
+28
144avg 111
H01/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
119-103
119
103
+16
107avg 111
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
31-31
36-23
22-30
24-26
29-15
39-33
29-31
42-26
28-30
33-18
30-26
34-14
32-35
37-27
38-30
24-34
33-17
24-26
22-24
31-21
33-21
25-39
32-24
32-33
31-26
28-30
34-15
29-27
32-22
41-31
30-31
29-18
45-22
40-34
31-43
41-27
24-32
32-22
22-22
231.2Avg total
125.3Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)120.6107.2227.7+13.484%
Season at home (38)123.2106.9230.2+16.387%
Season away (36)117.7107.5225.2+10.281%
Last 10 (10)125.3105.9231.2+19.4100%
Last 5 (5)128.4108.0236.4+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)118.0112.0230.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)126.8110.7237.4+16.190%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
Houston RocketsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
57-78
57
78
-21
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A19/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A22/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
78-49
78
49
+29
A31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A01/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
70-46
70
46
+24
H03/04
NBA
114.8Avg total
59.5Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.356.0113.3+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.455.8113.1+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)57.356.2113.5+1.154%-
Last 10 (10)59.555.3114.8+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)62.848.4111.2+14.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)62.063.0125.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (8)57.959.8117.6-1.938%-
vs Weaker (21)56.954.2111.1+2.757%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
74-40
74
40
+34
H01/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H03/04
NBA
112.8Avg total
62.8Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)64.655.3119.9+9.380%-
Last 30 at home (17)66.253.7119.9+12.588%-
Last 30 away (13)62.457.4119.8+5.069%-
Last 10 (10)62.850.0112.8+12.8100%-
Last 5 (5)65.449.8115.2+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)64.655.1119.8+9.579%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 122.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.730.7
54.1%
54.3%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.814.2
37.6%
35.9%42.6
🏀 Free throws24.618.1
73.6%
77.8%18.1
They take 94.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 125.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.529.7
54.5%
54.3%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.915.9
43.1%
35.9%47.7
🏀 Free throws22.918.2
79.5%
77.8%18.2
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLWWWLWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+10.6
Net rating
+19.0
119.9
Offensive rating
121.6
109.3
Defensive rating
102.6
55.0%
Effective FG%
58.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
11.6%
Turnover %
11.0%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.6%
3-point %
43.1%
56.1%
Assist %
63.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 121.6Defence109.3 · 102.6Shooting55.0% · 58.6%3-point %37.6% · 43.1%Ball care11.6% · 11.0%Off. rebounds34.5% · 22.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25HUtah Jazz143-105
01/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers98-104
31/03/25APhoenix Suns148-109
28/03/25AUtah Jazz121-110
26/03/25HAtlanta Hawks121-114
23/03/25HDenver Nuggets111-116
22/03/25AMiami Heat102-98
19/03/25AOrlando Magic116-108
18/03/25HPhiladelphia 76ers144-137 OT
16/03/25HChicago Bulls117-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25HDetroit Pistons119-103
01/04/25HChicago Bulls145-117
30/03/25HIndiana Pacers132-111
28/03/25HMemphis Grizzlies125-104
26/03/25ASacramento Kings121-105
24/03/25ALos Angeles Clippers103-101
22/03/25HCharlotte Hornets141-106
20/03/25HPhiladelphia 76ers133-100
17/03/25AMilwaukee Bucks121-105
15/03/25ADetroit Pistons113-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753837
Win %65%71%59%
Points / game114.9114.6115.2
Allowed / game109.3107.3111.2
Point differential+5.6+7.3+4.0
Avg total224.1221.9226.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%37%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (23)60% (10)62% (13)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743836
Win %84%87%81%
Points / game120.6123.2117.7
Allowed / game107.2106.9107.5
Point differential+13.4+16.3+10.2
Avg total227.7230.2225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%76%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %1%3%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder74621284%120.6107.2+13.4
2 Cleveland Cavaliers76611580%122.4112.2+10.1
3 Boston Celtics77572074%116.8107.8+8.9
4 Houston Rockets75492665%114.9109.3+5.6
5 New York Knicks75482764%116.3112.0+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets77473061%120.9116.9+4.0
7 Los Angeles Lakers76463061%113.1112.4+0.7
8 Golden State Warriors75453060%114.1111.2+2.9
9 Indiana Pacers77463160%117.4115.1+2.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77453258%114.0109.4+4.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies77453258%121.8117.2+4.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers76443258%112.2108.2+3.9
13 Detroit Pistons77433456%115.4113.1+2.3
14 Milwaukee Bucks74403454%114.9113.1+1.8
15 Dallas Mavericks76383850%115.1115.1-0.0
16 Orlando Magic77383949%105.0105.5-0.4
17 Sacramento Kings77374048%115.8115.6+0.3
18 Atlanta Hawks74353947%118.1119.9-1.8
19 Miami Heat77354245%109.8109.8+0.0
20 Phoenix Suns77354245%114.2116.7-2.5
21 Chicago Bulls76344245%117.6120.0-2.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers77344344%110.9114.2-3.3
23 San Antonio Spurs76324442%114.0116.7-2.6
24 Toronto Raptors78285036%110.6115.2-4.7
25 Brooklyn Nets77255232%105.0111.8-6.7
26 Philadelphia 76ers77235430%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans76215528%110.0118.7-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets77195825%105.5113.8-8.3
29 Washington Wizards77176022%108.5120.6-12.1
30 Utah Jazz78166221%111.4120.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets35342729125
Oklahoma City Thunder28253226111
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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