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Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 110-104
25-31 32-19 30-25 23-29
Position#24
Record12-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game117.9
vs
Position#8
Record21-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets
31 Jan 2027
DAL v HOU
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
DAL116
HOU111
03 Jan 2026
DAL110
HOU104
06 Dec 2025
DAL122
HOU109
08 Feb 2025
DAL116
HOU105
31 Oct 2024
DAL102
HOU108
07 Apr 2024
DAL147
HOU136
28 Nov 2023
DAL121
HOU115
29 Dec 2022
DAL129
HOU114
16 Nov 2022
DAL92
HOU101
23 Mar 2022
DAL110
HOU91
26 Oct 2021
DAL116
HOU106
23 Jan 2021
DAL108
HOU133
31 Jul 2020
DAL149
HOU153
07 Apr 2020
DAL v HOU
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
DAL93
HOU94
08 Dec 2018
DAL107
HOU104
11 Mar 2018
DAL82
HOU105
24 Jan 2018
DAL97
HOU104
27 Dec 2016
DAL107
HOU123
28 Oct 2016
DAL98
HOU106
06 Apr 2016
DAL88
HOU86
04 Dec 2015
DAL96
HOU100
26 Apr 2015
DAL121
HOU109
24 Apr 2015
DAL128
HOU130
02 Apr 2015
DAL101
HOU108
20 Feb 2015
DAL111
HOU100
29 Jan 2014
DAL115
HOU117
20 Nov 2013
DAL123
HOU120
06 Mar 2013
DAL112
HOU108
16 Jan 2013
DAL105
HOU100
18 Apr 2012
DAL117
HOU110
27 Mar 2012
DAL90
HOU81
27 Jan 2011
DAL111
HOU106
29 Nov 2010
DAL101
HOU91
18 Dec 2009
DAL108
HOU116
10 Nov 2009
DAL121
HOU103
15 Apr 2009
DAL95
HOU84
30 Oct 2008
DAL102
HOU112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
119-111
119
111
+8
113avg 103
H13/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
133-140 OT
133
140
-7
122avg 103
A16/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
109avg 103
H19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
114-121
114
121
-7
112avg 103
A21/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
113-119
113
119
-6
103avg 103
A23/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
131-130
131
130
+1
128avg 103
H24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
116-126
116
126
-10
104avg 103
A25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
107-113
107
113
-6
101avg 103
A27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
122-125
122
125
-3
118avg 103
A30/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
108-123
108
123
-15
94avg 103
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-33
33-28
25-31
29-19
43-37
32-34
24-21
30-37
35-30
31-27
25-22
19-31
33-38
29-30
35-23
17-30
34-36
29-21
24-22
26-40
41-27
25-29
37-47
28-27
28-40
30-31
31-29
27-26
23-31
21-28
33-29
30-25
29-42
34-33
30-22
29-28
33-27
24-41
26-24
25-31
240.1Avg total
117.9Scored
122.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)113.6117.9231.4-4.334%
Season at home (19)114.2116.2230.4-2.047%
Season away (16)112.8119.8232.6-7.019%
Last 10 (10)117.9122.2240.1-4.330%
Last 5 (5)116.8123.4240.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)116.1120.4236.5-4.335%
vs Similar (7)111.0115.9226.9-4.914%
vs Weaker (3)112.3109.7222.0+2.767%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 109
H12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
119avg 109
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
128-133 OT
128
133
-5
120avg 109
A19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
115-101
115
101
+14
115avg 109
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
119avg 109
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
108-128
108
128
-20
102avg 109
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-96
119
96
+23
114avg 109
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
117-100
117
100
+17
115avg 109
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
126-119
126
119
+7
125avg 109
H30/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
120-96
120
96
+24
122avg 109
A01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
22-25
27-28
37-31
30-24
21-34
35-31
31-28
33-24
34-21
32-38
20-36
26-29
27-16
29-21
33-35
31-30
37-27
23-25
21-30
35-29
23-34
24-35
26-30
37-25
26-28
29-21
27-22
32-24
28-22
30-17
27-37
30-25
36-23
39-30
21-41
26-20
27-22
37-25
30-29
233.6Avg total
119.7Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)120.5111.5232.0+9.168%
Season at home (12)121.2108.7229.9+12.683%
Season away (19)120.1113.2233.3+6.858%
Last 10 (10)119.7113.9233.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)118.0107.8225.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)117.2109.3226.5+7.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)123.2112.5235.7+10.775%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.6-4.6
Dallas MavericksHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H13/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A16/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A21/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A23/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A30/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H02/01
NBA
126.2Avg total
61.9Scored
64.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.660.2116.8-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.657.3113.9-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)56.662.8119.4-6.238%-
Last 10 (10)61.964.3126.2-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)57.665.8123.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)57.061.0118.0-4.030%-
vs Similar (7)55.959.0114.9-3.157%-
vs Weaker (3)55.357.7113.0-2.367%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H30/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A01/01
NBA
110.1Avg total
59.0Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.353.7113.0+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.554.2114.8+6.267%-
Last 30 away (18)58.553.3111.8+5.261%-
Last 10 (10)59.051.1110.1+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)60.050.4110.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)57.952.7110.6+5.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)60.554.5115.0+6.062%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers74.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.937.3
56.6%
54.8%74.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.2
31.2%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.218.7
77.3%
78.1%18.7
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 119.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.433.0
56.5%
54.8%66.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.912.4
40.1%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
78.1%16.5
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLWLLWLW
Houston Rockets
WWWWLLWLLW
#24
League position
#8
-4.0
Net rating
+5.9
110.5
Offensive rating
121.2
114.5
Defensive rating
115.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
57.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.2%
3-point %
40.1%
57.8%
Assist %
58.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 121.2Defence114.5 · 115.3Shooting53.8% · 57.8%3-point %31.2% · 40.1%Ball care13.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds22.7% · 38.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers108-123
30/12/25APortland Trail Blazers122-125
27/12/25ASacramento Kings107-113
25/12/25AGolden State Warriors116-126
24/12/25HDenver Nuggets131-130
23/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans113-119
21/12/25APhiladelphia 76ers114-121
19/12/25HDetroit Pistons116-114 OT
16/12/25AUtah Jazz133-140 OT
13/12/25HBrooklyn Nets119-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26ABrooklyn Nets120-96
30/12/25HIndiana Pacers126-119
28/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers117-100
26/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-96
24/12/25ALos Angeles Clippers108-128
22/12/25ASacramento Kings124-125 OT
20/12/25ADenver Nuggets115-101
19/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans128-133 OT
16/12/25ADenver Nuggets125-128 OT
12/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers115-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL34%
HomeWWWWL47%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %34%47%19%
Points / game113.6114.2112.8
Allowed / game117.9116.2119.8
Point differential-4.3-2.0-7.0
Avg total231.4230.4232.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%16%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)62% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %11%16%6%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311219
Win %68%83%58%
Points / game120.5121.2120.1
Allowed / game111.5108.7113.2
Point differential+9.1+12.6+6.8
Avg total232.0229.9233.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %16%8%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3329488%122.3107.6+14.8
2 Detroit Pistons3425974%118.9112.8+6.1
3 San Antonio Spurs33231070%119.6114.2+5.5
4 Houston Rockets31211068%120.5111.5+9.1
5 Los Angeles Lakers31211068%117.1116.9+0.2
6 Denver Nuggets34231168%124.6117.9+6.8
7 Boston Celtics33211264%117.0110.6+6.4
8 New York Knicks33211264%120.2115.2+5.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves35221363%118.9114.6+4.3
10 Phoenix Suns33201361%116.3112.7+3.6
11 Toronto Raptors35211460%114.8112.5+2.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers33191458%117.0116.1+0.9
13 Miami Heat34191556%121.1117.6+3.5
14 Cleveland Cavaliers36201656%119.4116.9+2.6
15 Orlando Magic33181555%116.4114.8+1.6
16 Golden State Warriors35181751%115.0113.9+1.0
17 Chicago Bulls35171849%118.3121.8-3.5
18 Atlanta Hawks37172046%119.0119.9-0.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers36162044%116.3119.6-3.3
20 Memphis Grizzlies34151944%116.0116.9-0.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks35152043%113.3116.0-2.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers33122136%112.3113.6-1.3
23 Utah Jazz33122136%119.8126.8-7.0
24 Charlotte Hornets35122334%115.8118.5-2.6
25 Dallas Mavericks35122334%113.6117.9-4.3
26 Brooklyn Nets32102231%108.9114.2-5.3
27 Washington Wizards3392427%113.4123.9-10.5
28 Sacramento Kings3582723%110.6122.5-11.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans3682822%115.4123.1-7.7
30 Indiana Pacers3562917%110.1119.3-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks25323023110
Houston Rockets31192529104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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