PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 137-125
37-31 42-28 34-29 24-37
Position#3
Record50-22
FormWLWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game108.6
vs
Position#10
Record41-30
FormWWWLW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game105.9
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Oklahoma City Thunder
27 Dec 2026
HOU v OKC
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
HOU119
OKC98
15 Jan 2026
HOU91
OKC111
04 Apr 2025
HOU125
OKC111
01 Dec 2024
HOU119
OKC116
25 Feb 2024
HOU110
OKC123
06 Dec 2023
HOU110
OKC101
01 Feb 2023
HOU112
OKC106
26 Nov 2022
HOU118
OKC105
29 Nov 2021
HOU102
OKC89
22 Oct 2021
HOU124
OKC91
21 Mar 2021
HOU112
OKC114
02 Sep 2020
HOU104
OKC102
29 Aug 2020
HOU114
OKC80
20 Aug 2020
HOU111
OKC98
18 Aug 2020
HOU123
OKC108
20 Jan 2020
HOU107
OKC112
28 Oct 2019
HOU116
OKC112
09 Feb 2019
HOU112
OKC117
25 Dec 2018
HOU113
OKC109
07 Apr 2018
HOU102
OKC108
25 Apr 2017
HOU105
OKC99
19 Apr 2017
HOU115
OKC111
16 Apr 2017
HOU118
OKC87
26 Mar 2017
HOU137
OKC125
05 Jan 2017
HOU118
OKC116
03 Apr 2016
HOU118
OKC110
02 Nov 2015
HOU110
OKC105
15 Jan 2015
HOU112
OKC101
04 Apr 2014
HOU111
OKC107
16 Jan 2014
HOU92
OKC104
03 May 2013
HOU94
OKC103
29 Apr 2013
HOU105
OKC103
27 Apr 2013
HOU101
OKC104
20 Feb 2013
HOU122
OKC119
29 Dec 2012
HOU94
OKC124
15 Feb 2012
HOU96
OKC95
07 Jan 2012
HOU95
OKC98
12 Jan 2011
HOU112
OKC118
28 Nov 2010
HOU99
OKC98
19 Dec 2009
HOU95
OKC90
06 Nov 2009
HOU105
OKC94
01 Nov 2008
HOU89
OKC77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
123-108
123
108
+15
119avg 106
H05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-112
110
112
-2
98avg 106
A07/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
108-115
108
115
-7
94avg 106
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
115-94
115
94
+21
110avg 106
A11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
117-112
117
112
+5
106avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
139-100
139
100
+39
142avg 106
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
112-128
112
128
-16
96avg 106
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
101avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
125-124
125
124
+1
115avg 106
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
117-107
117
107
+10
117avg 106
H25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
28-27
38-27
30-30
39-23
15-24
28-34
28-31
22-30
31-34
24-20
31-31
23-33
33-16
36-14
23-31
33-26
25-41
32-19
27-26
37-26
29-26
27-23
46-25
23-36
27-32
31-31
31-29
26-26
25-30
29-18
29-31
35-28
27-37
32-32
31-27
28-33
21-17
31-29
37-28
228.0Avg total
117.5Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)115.5108.6224.1+6.969%
Season at home (36)117.2107.4224.7+9.875%
Season away (36)113.7109.7223.4+4.064%
Last 10 (10)117.5110.5228.0+7.070%
Last 5 (5)120.4112.8233.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar (5)113.2112.4225.6+0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)118.2109.0227.2+9.271%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
111-118
111
118
-7
95avg 98
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
89-104
89
104
-15
79avg 98
A06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
121-126
121
126
-5
107avg 98
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 98
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
112-104
112
104
+8
104avg 98
H11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-104
122
104
+18
116avg 98
A14/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
123-102
123
102
+21
125avg 98
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
110-94
110
94
+16
107avg 98
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-111
95
111
-16
76avg 98
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
122-97
122
97
+25
122avg 98
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
27-35
24-29
32-31
27-28
23-32
21-28
18-16
40-29
27-32
25-38
29-27
29-28
27-21
26-22
20-21
29-23
33-25
29-28
21-28
32-32
30-30
29-21
31-21
29-24
29-24
39-22
26-32
29-19
34-22
22-24
25-29
22-25
17-34
27-33
29-19
29-22
34-28
32-20
27-27
215.9Avg total
110.7Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)106.9105.9212.8+1.058%
Season at home (37)110.3103.9214.2+6.473%
Season away (34)103.3108.1211.4-4.841%
Last 10 (10)110.7105.2215.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)114.4101.6216.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)101.0112.4213.4-11.420%
vs Similar (19)106.9107.7214.6-0.858%
vs Weaker (6)116.2104.0220.2+12.283%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
Houston RocketsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A07/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/03
NBA
112.3Avg total
55.4Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.055.0113.0+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.253.9112.2+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)57.756.3114.0+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)55.456.9112.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)55.658.2113.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.062.0119.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (5)58.657.6116.2+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)57.954.2112.1+3.754%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A14/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H23/03
NBA
111.1Avg total
57.5Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.354.6109.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.254.4110.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)54.354.8109.1-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)57.553.6111.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)57.052.0109.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)48.657.8106.4-9.220%-
vs Similar (19)55.654.8110.4+0.853%-
vs Weaker (6)60.051.3111.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.826.9
55.1%
50.2%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.8
35.5%
35.7%41.4
🏀 Free throws29.522.3
75.6%
77.0%22.3
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.833.8
53.8%
50.2%67.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.7
32.8%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws27.920.0
71.7%
77.0%20.0
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWLWWWLLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWWWWWLLL
#3
League position
#10
+6.8
Net rating
+5.5
114.2
Offensive rating
111.4
107.4
Defensive rating
105.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.5%
3-point %
32.8%
60.9%
Assist %
54.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 111.4Defence107.4 · 105.9Shooting54.3% · 52.5%3-point %35.5% · 32.8%Ball care12.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds24.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans117-107
21/03/17HDenver Nuggets125-124
19/03/17ADenver Nuggets109-105
18/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans112-128
16/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers139-100
13/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers117-112
11/03/17AChicago Bulls115-94
09/03/17HUtah Jazz108-115
07/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs110-112
05/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies123-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers122-97
21/03/17HGolden State Warriors95-111
18/03/17HSacramento Kings110-94
16/03/17AToronto Raptors123-102
14/03/17ABrooklyn Nets122-104
11/03/17HUtah Jazz112-104
10/03/17HSan Antonio Spurs102-92
08/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers121-126
06/03/17ADallas Mavericks89-104
04/03/17APhoenix Suns111-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723636
Win %69%75%64%
Points / game115.5117.2113.7
Allowed / game108.6107.4109.7
Point differential+6.9+9.8+4.0
Avg total224.1224.7223.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)70% (10)78% (9)
Overtime %4%3%6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLLLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713734
Win %58%73%41%
Points / game106.9110.3103.3
Allowed / game105.9103.9108.1
Point differential+1.0+6.4-4.8
Avg total212.8214.2211.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%46%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)40% (10)55% (11)
Overtime %6%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors72581481%116.1104.4+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs72561678%106.398.4+7.9
3 Houston Rockets72502269%115.5108.6+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers72472565%110.5106.9+3.7
5 Boston Celtics73472664%107.7105.1+2.7
6 Washington Wizards73452862%109.2106.8+2.4
7 Toronto Raptors73442960%106.9102.8+4.1
8 Utah Jazz73442960%100.396.7+3.6
9 Los Angeles Clippers74443059%108.0104.5+3.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder71413058%106.9105.9+1.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies72403256%101.0100.2+0.7
12 Milwaukee Bucks72373551%104.6104.1+0.5
13 Atlanta Hawks73373651%103.1104.5-1.4
14 Indiana Pacers72363650%104.3105.3-1.1
15 Miami Heat72353749%102.7102.0+0.8
16 Denver Nuggets72353749%111.7111.1+0.6
17 Portland Trail Blazers72343847%108.1109.4-1.3
18 Detroit Pistons73343947%101.3102.4-1.1
19 Chicago Bulls73343947%102.3103.5-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets73334045%105.1104.2+0.9
21 Dallas Mavericks72314143%97.8100.2-2.4
22 New Orleans Pelicans72304242%103.6105.8-2.3
23 Minnesota Timberwolves72284439%104.9105.8-0.9
24 Sacramento Kings72274538%102.8106.6-3.8
25 Philadelphia 76ers72274538%102.6107.8-5.2
26 New York Knicks73274637%105.0108.7-3.7
27 Orlando Magic73274637%100.4106.3-5.9
28 Phoenix Suns74225230%107.2113.0-5.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers72215129%105.0112.3-7.3
30 Brooklyn Nets73165722%106.0113.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets37423424137
Oklahoma City Thunder31282937125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.