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Miami (FL) vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 55-84
23-40 32-44
Position#246
Record15-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#32
Record20-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Duke
25 Feb 2025
MIAM60
DUKE97
21 Feb 2024
MIAM55
DUKE84
10 Mar 2023
MIAM78
DUKE85
06 Feb 2023
MIAM81
DUKE59
01 Feb 2021
MIAM77
DUKE75
04 Jan 2020
MIAM62
DUKE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H18/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A06/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-45
40-39
31-30
38-42
37-29
36-32
40-29
32-39
29-33
39-41
26-35
56-39
17-29
21-31
41-40
31-35
30-31
30-46
41-41
36-44
141.6Avg total
68.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.472.5149.9+4.956%
Season at home (17)82.970.9153.8+12.176%
Season away (10)67.975.3143.2-7.420%
Last 10 (10)68.673.0141.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)65.874.2140.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.380.1155.4-4.840%
vs Similar (13)75.872.8148.6+2.954%
vs Weaker (7)83.962.6146.4+21.386%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-39
45-40
34-38
42-42
45-34
38-35
32-26
40-45
35-29
42-38
35-45
49-48
33-25
38-28
36-32
44-33
29-27
48-42
44-34
32-33
149.3Avg total
78.0Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.367.6148.0+12.780%
Season at home (16)83.166.6149.7+16.488%
Season away (9)75.469.4144.9+6.067%
Last 10 (10)78.071.3149.3+6.780%
Last 5 (5)77.669.4147.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (5)78.071.8149.8+6.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.866.4147.2+14.387%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
Miami (FL)Duke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
17-29
17
29
-12
A06/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
32.7Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.671.1+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.232.273.5+9.076%-
Last 30 away (13)32.735.368.0-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.266.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.266.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.938.274.1-2.330%-
vs Similar (13)35.132.267.3+2.854%-
vs Weaker (7)44.429.473.9+15.0100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.730.767.4+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.031.269.2+6.878%-
Last 30 away (12)34.730.064.7+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)36.232.969.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.668.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (5)34.833.468.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.630.668.2+7.078%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami (FL) wins
5
Duke wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Miami (FL) v Duke78-85
07/02/23Miami (FL) v Duke81-59
21/01/23Duke v Miami (FL)68-66
12/03/22Duke v Miami (FL)80-76
09/01/22Duke v Miami (FL)74-76
02/02/21Miami (FL) v Duke77-75
22/01/20Duke v Miami (FL)89-59
05/01/20Miami (FL) v Duke62-95
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ABoston College77-85
15/02/24AClemson60-77
10/02/24HNorth Carolina72-75
06/02/24AVirginia38-60
03/02/24HVirginia Tech82-74
31/01/24ANC State68-74
27/01/24HPittsburgh72-68
25/01/24ANotre Dame73-61
20/01/24ASyracuse69-72
18/01/24HFlorida State75-84
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AFlorida State76-67
13/02/24HWake Forest77-69
10/02/24HBoston College80-65
08/02/24HNotre Dame71-53
03/02/24ANorth Carolina84-93
30/01/24AVirginia Tech77-67
27/01/24HClemson72-71
24/01/24ALouisville83-69
21/01/24HPittsburgh76-80
13/01/24HGeorgia Tech84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeLLWWL76%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %56%76%20%
Points / game77.482.967.9
Allowed / game72.570.975.3
Point differential+4.9+12.1-7.4
Avg total149.9153.8143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %80%88%67%
Points / game80.383.175.4
Allowed / game67.666.669.4
Point differential+12.7+16.4+6.0
Avg total148.0149.7144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2520580%80.367.6+12.7
2 North Carolina2620677%82.871.4+11.4
3 Virginia2720774%64.158.6+5.6
4 SMU Mustangs2619773%77.865.7+12.1
5 Clemson2517868%78.872.0+6.8
6 Wake Forest2617965%79.469.3+10.1
7 Pittsburgh2617965%75.067.2+7.8
8 Syracuse27171063%75.974.6+1.2
9 NC State26161062%75.871.5+4.3
10 Virginia Tech26151158%74.669.6+5.0
11 Boston College26151158%76.273.2+3.0
12 Miami (FL)27151256%77.472.5+4.9
13 Florida State26141254%76.574.8+1.7
14 Stanford25121348%77.576.0+1.5
15 California26111542%74.876.3-1.5
16 Georgia Tech26111542%70.975.0-4.1
17 Notre Dame2591636%61.965.3-3.4
18 Louisville2681831%73.478.9-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)233255
Duke404484
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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