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Nagasaki vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 54-55
22-21 9-8 13-13 10-13
Position#16
Record6-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Akita 🏆
Japan
Position#14
Record6-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game76.6
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Akita
30 Dec 2026
NAGA v AKIT
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
NAGA97
AKIT61
15 Nov 2025
NAGA91
AKIT70
10 Nov 2024
NAGA54
AKIT55
09 Nov 2024
NAGA68
AKIT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 70
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 70
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 70
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 70
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
50-82
50
82
-32
34avg 70
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 70
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
91avg 70
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 70
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
67-80
67
80
-13
54avg 70
A06/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
68-71
68
71
-3
51avg 70
H09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-21
17-13
23-17
19-20
18-28
23-4
18-20
13-25
23-19
19-15
17-23
14-15
27-15
20-26
20-23
13-25
15-19
11-21
11-17
15-22
12-21
27-24
21-12
30-18
17-17
25-23
15-10
21-23
18-23
16-17
19-20
19-19
19-23
9-16
20-22
20-12
16-25
20-14
12-20
149.7Avg total
73.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.473.2144.5-1.846%
Season at home (8)70.573.5144.0-3.038%
Season away (5)72.872.6145.4+0.260%
Last 10 (10)73.176.6149.7-3.540%
Last 5 (5)74.276.2150.4-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.977.1151.1-3.243%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.874.9150.7+0.964%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 70
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
61-70
61
70
-9
52avg 70
H19/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
74-72
74
72
+2
70avg 70
H20/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
78-69
78
69
+9
62avg 70
H23/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
71-93
71
93
-22
59avg 70
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
82avg 70
A27/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 70
H02/11
B League
Chiba
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 70
H03/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
65avg 70
H06/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
71-68
71
68
+3
69avg 70
A09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
17-12
13-19
26-23
17-20
4-23
17-12
23-15
25-16
16-17
18-14
15-25
31-22
12-15
6-21
29-11
17-28
24-19
16-28
14-18
20-17
17-23
24-24
17-14
21-17
25-28
14-32
22-12
17-18
19-14
19-19
17-14
17-20
25-23
15-22
14-18
12-20
25-16
14-20
20-12
152.3Avg total
74.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.476.6152.0-1.246%
Season at home (6)73.074.7147.7-1.750%
Season away (7)77.478.3155.7-0.943%
Last 10 (10)74.178.2152.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)77.280.0157.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.283.9157.1-10.722%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.174.7149.7+0.453%
vs Weaker (6)76.571.8148.3+4.767%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
NagasakiAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/11
B League
77.7Avg total
36.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.678.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.238.474.6-2.236%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.681.4+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.977.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.678.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.942.178.0-6.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.638.679.3+2.045%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H19/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
B League
Chiba
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H02/11
B League
Chiba
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H06/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/11
B League
76.8Avg total
37.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.577.2+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.738.377.1+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.777.4-0.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.276.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.642.481.0-3.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.537.575.9+1.047%-
vs Weaker (6)39.535.374.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.2
51.7%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
33.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.411.0
76.4%
72.7%11.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.116.2
43.7%
51.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.6
33.2%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.112.5
73.1%
72.7%12.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLWLLWLWW
Akita
WLWLLLWWLL
#16
League position
#14
-4.6
Net rating
-4.9
100.7
Offensive rating
102.8
105.3
Defensive rating
107.7
50.3%
Effective FG%
46.4%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.3%
3-point %
33.2%
55.8%
Assist %
77.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 102.8Defence105.3 · 107.7Shooting50.3% · 46.4%3-point %32.3% · 33.2%Ball care19.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.1% · 33.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
3
Akita wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Nagasaki v Akita68-71
21/01/24Akita v Nagasaki88-79
20/01/24Akita v Nagasaki78-71
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HAkita68-71
06/11/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-80
03/11/24HDiamond Dolphins74-83
02/11/24HDiamond Dolphins87-68
27/10/24HChiba75-79
26/10/24HChiba50-82
23/10/24HOsaka81-79
20/10/24AGunma72-82
19/10/24AGunma78-72
13/10/24AHokkaido79-70
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24ANagasaki71-68
06/11/24HSeaHorses Mikawa71-83
03/11/24HChiba72-65
02/11/24HChiba82-89
27/10/24AShimane90-95 OT
26/10/24AShimane71-93
23/10/24HKoshigaya Alphas78-69
20/10/24HSaga74-72
19/10/24HSaga61-70
13/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%38%60%
Points / game71.470.572.8
Allowed / game73.273.572.6
Point differential-1.8-3.0+0.2
Avg total144.5144.0145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game75.473.077.4
Allowed / game76.674.778.3
Point differential-1.2-1.7-0.9
Avg total152.0147.7155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix1412286%92.278.1+14.1
2 Chiba1412286%83.672.8+10.9
3 Alvark1412286%79.370.7+8.6
4 Utsunomiya Brex1412286%82.175.2+6.9
5 Shimane1411379%82.970.3+12.6
6 Ryukyu129375%88.478.7+9.8
7 Sun Rockers Shibuya149564%77.668.9+8.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa149564%78.574.9+3.6
9 Gunma148657%79.472.9+6.4
10 Osaka147750%84.382.1+2.2
11 Saga126650%75.073.6+1.4
12 Kyoto147750%78.978.6+0.3
13 Akita136746%75.476.6-1.2
14 Nagasaki136746%71.473.2-1.8
15 Diamond Dolphins146843%81.182.3-1.2
16 Yokohama146843%74.977.0-2.1
17 Hokkaido145936%73.280.3-7.1
18 Sendai1441029%74.379.2-4.9
19 Brave Thunders1441029%76.284.4-8.1
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1441029%71.480.2-8.8
21 Hiroshima D.1431121%73.284.0-10.8
22 Koshigaya Alphas1431121%69.981.6-11.7
23 Ibaraki Robots1431121%74.086.0-12.0
24 Shiga141137%73.087.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki229131054
Akita218131355
← all games of the day
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