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Nagasaki vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 68-71
20-12 16-25 20-14 12-20
Position#16
Record6-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Akita 🏆
Japan
Position#14
Record5-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game77.3
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Akita
30 Dec 2026
NAGA v AKIT
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
NAGA97
AKIT61
15 Nov 2025
NAGA91
AKIT70
10 Nov 2024
NAGA54
AKIT55
09 Nov 2024
NAGA68
AKIT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
W
68-59
68
59
+9
66avg 70
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 70
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 70
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 70
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 70
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
50-82
50
82
-32
34avg 70
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 70
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
91avg 70
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 70
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
67-80
67
80
-13
54avg 70
A06/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
21-19
13-7
17-13
19-19
20-21
17-13
23-17
19-20
18-28
23-4
18-20
13-25
23-19
19-15
17-23
14-15
27-15
20-26
20-23
13-25
15-19
11-21
11-17
15-22
12-21
27-24
21-12
30-18
17-17
25-23
15-10
21-23
18-23
16-17
19-20
19-19
19-23
9-16
20-22
148.5Avg total
73.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.773.3145.0-1.750%
Season at home (7)70.973.9144.7-3.043%
Season away (5)72.872.6145.4+0.260%
Last 10 (10)73.175.4148.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)70.678.4149.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.977.1151.1-3.243%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.175.7151.8+0.464%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 69
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 69
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
61-70
61
70
-9
52avg 69
H19/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
74-72
74
72
+2
70avg 69
H20/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
78-69
78
69
+9
62avg 69
H23/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
71-93
71
93
-22
59avg 69
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
82avg 69
A27/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 69
H02/11
B League
Chiba
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 69
H03/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
65avg 69
H06/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
18-15
19-16
21-19
15-24
17-12
13-19
26-23
17-20
4-23
17-12
23-15
25-16
16-17
18-14
15-25
31-22
12-15
6-21
29-11
17-28
24-19
16-28
14-18
20-17
17-23
24-24
17-14
21-17
25-28
14-32
22-12
17-18
19-14
19-19
17-14
17-20
25-23
15-22
14-18
152.6Avg total
74.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.877.3153.1-1.642%
Season at home (6)73.074.7147.7-1.750%
Season away (6)78.580.0158.5-1.533%
Last 10 (10)74.777.9152.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)77.285.0162.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.284.5156.7-12.320%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.475.1150.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (6)76.571.8148.3+4.767%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
NagasakiAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/11
B League
78.1Avg total
37.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.979.1-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.339.176.4-1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.681.4+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.041.178.1-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.077.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.942.178.0-6.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.039.581.5+2.555%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A13/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H19/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
B League
Chiba
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H02/11
B League
Chiba
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H06/11
B League
76.2Avg total
37.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.977.5-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.338.977.2-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)38.838.977.7-0.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.676.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.943.080.9-5.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.637.676.1+1.043%-
vs Weaker (6)39.535.374.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.6
50.3%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
33.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.111.7
77.5%
72.7%11.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.716.7
44.3%
51.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.4
72.9%
72.7%12.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLWLLWLWWW
Akita
LWLLLWWLLW
#16
League position
#14
-3.5
Net rating
-3.6
99.8
Offensive rating
103.2
103.3
Defensive rating
106.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
46.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
33.1%
57.3%
Assist %
76.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 103.2Defence103.3 · 106.8Shooting50.1% · 46.6%3-point %33.2% · 33.1%Ball care19.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
2
Akita wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Akita v Nagasaki88-79
20/01/24Akita v Nagasaki78-71
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-80
03/11/24HDiamond Dolphins74-83
02/11/24HDiamond Dolphins87-68
27/10/24HChiba75-79
26/10/24HChiba50-82
23/10/24HOsaka81-79
20/10/24AGunma72-82
19/10/24AGunma78-72
13/10/24AHokkaido79-70
12/10/24AHokkaido68-59
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24HSeaHorses Mikawa71-83
03/11/24HChiba72-65
02/11/24HChiba82-89
27/10/24AShimane90-95 OT
26/10/24AShimane71-93
23/10/24HKoshigaya Alphas78-69
20/10/24HSaga74-72
19/10/24HSaga61-70
13/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya71-78
12/10/24ASun Rockers Shibuya77-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%43%60%
Points / game71.770.972.8
Allowed / game73.373.972.6
Point differential-1.7-3.0+0.2
Avg total145.0144.7145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game75.873.078.5
Allowed / game77.374.780.0
Point differential-1.6-1.7-1.5
Avg total153.1147.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix1311285%90.877.4+13.5
2 Alvark1311285%78.170.1+8.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex1311285%81.774.9+6.8
4 Chiba1210283%81.372.1+9.2
5 Shimane1310377%82.271.5+10.8
6 Ryukyu129375%88.478.7+9.8
7 Sun Rockers Shibuya128467%76.968.6+8.3
8 Gunma138562%80.272.5+7.7
9 SeaHorses Mikawa138562%78.575.4+3.2
10 Osaka137654%84.081.0+3.0
11 Kyoto137654%78.777.7+1.0
12 Diamond Dolphins126650%81.879.8+2.0
13 Saga126650%75.073.6+1.4
14 Nagasaki126650%71.773.3-1.7
15 Akita125742%75.877.3-1.6
16 Yokohama135838%74.078.1-4.1
17 Hokkaido135838%72.879.7-6.9
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles134931%70.277.9-7.8
19 Sendai1331023%72.678.5-5.9
20 Brave Thunders1331023%75.184.5-9.5
21 Hiroshima D.1331023%72.883.2-10.4
22 Koshigaya Alphas1331023%70.581.2-10.8
23 Ibaraki Robots1221017%74.686.8-12.2
24 Shiga131128%74.487.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2016201268
Akita1225142071
← all games of the day
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