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Iceland vs Belgium Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 64-71
21-17 15-15 16-14 12-25
Position#22
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Belgium 🏆
Position#16
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game92.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Spodek
Other2025
Meetings · Iceland v Belgium
30 Aug 2025
ICEL64
BELG71
29 Nov 2018
ICEL66
BELG79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
71-95
71
95
-24
65avg 71
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 71
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 71
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
83-71
83
71
+12
80avg 71
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 71
A28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
15-21
20-16
19-28
19-22
14-21
15-19
13-18
19-19
24-23
19-18
18-17
16-19
17-18
16-14
21-14
16-16
14-19
17-19
28-22
12-27
13-22
29-16
17-30
22-9
10-20
26-27
23-18
21-20
11-28
25-24
21-15
26-16
20-22
23-16
14-17
19-23
13-13
20-24
19-23
152.9Avg total
74.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)74.278.7152.9-4.540%
Last 5 (5)76.882.0158.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.484.1153.5-14.812%
vs Similar (10)86.185.6171.7+0.550%
vs Weaker (12)82.674.4157.0+8.283%
This opponent (Belgium) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
54-82
54
82
-28
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
58-53
58
53
+5
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
61avg 66
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 66
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
93-63
93
63
+30
98avg 66
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
35avg 66
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
56avg 66
H28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
15-12
21-27
15-14
19-16
23-10
20-13
26-20
14-22
17-23
14-19
9-18
25-13
15-23
24-18
11-6
11-14
8-12
21-13
18-14
25-17
19-25
13-17
15-16
20-16
21-20
25-22
17-27
21-24
25-13
23-10
24-16
11-11
14-11
15-20
12-17
10-18
17-25
22-27
15-22
140.9Avg total
70.9Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.092.0156.0-28.00%
Season at home (1)64.092.0156.0-28.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.970.0140.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)72.874.8147.6-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.873.6141.4-5.840%
vs Similar (11)72.878.8151.6-6.027%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.666.4145.0+12.171%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
IcelandBelgium
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/08
EuroBasket
73.1Avg total
33.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.877.4-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.075.9-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.441.378.7-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)33.939.273.1-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.440.073.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.941.272.1-10.425%-
vs Similar (10)40.640.681.2+0.040%-
vs Weaker (12)39.738.177.8+1.658%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/08
EuroBasket
69.3Avg total
34.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.437.073.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.936.671.5-1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.637.475.0+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)34.934.469.3+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.072.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.440.871.2-10.40%-
vs Similar (11)37.640.578.1-2.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.532.970.4+4.671%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.7
52.0%
52.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.6
30.9%
33.4%25.7
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
73.1%15.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.014.9
46.4%
52.4%29.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.1
31.7%
33.4%27.4
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.0%
73.1%13.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iceland
LWLWLLWWLL
Belgium
LLWLLWWLWL
#22
League position
#16
-4.8
Net rating
+2.8
104.3
Offensive rating
100.3
109.1
Defensive rating
97.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
46.9%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.9%
3-point %
31.7%
68.4%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 100.3Defence109.1 · 97.4Shooting49.4% · 46.9%3-point %30.9% · 31.7%Ball care16.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds26.1% · 32.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Iceland   ■ Belgium
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iceland wins
2
Belgium wins
DateGameScore
24/02/19Belgium v Iceland90-62
29/11/18Iceland v Belgium66-79
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25AIsrael71-83
23/02/25HTurkey83-71
20/02/25AHungary78-87
25/11/24AItaly81-74
22/11/24HItaly71-95
25/02/24ATurkey75-76
22/02/24HHungary70-65
26/02/23AGeorgia80-77
23/02/23HSpain61-80
14/11/22AUkraine72-79
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25HFrance64-92
23/02/25ASpain52-59
20/02/25HSlovakia93-63
25/11/24HLatvia83-85
22/11/24ALatvia72-75
25/02/24HSpain58-53
22/02/24ASlovakia75-60
27/02/23HTurkey54-82
24/02/23AGreat Britain88-59
14/11/22HGreece70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iceland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-12.0--12.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Belgium
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game92.092.0-
Point differential-28.0-28.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
4 Serbia220100%89.066.5+22.5
5 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
6 Finland220100%101.084.5+16.5
7 Georgia110100%83.069.0+14.0
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
10 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
11 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Latvia21150%72.581.5-9.0
14 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
15 Italy1010%66.075.0-9.0
16 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
17 Iceland1010%71.083.0-12.0
18 Sweden2020%86.599.0-12.5
19 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
20 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
21 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
22 Great Britain2020%74.5101.5-27.0
23 Belgium1010%64.092.0-28.0
24 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iceland2115161264
Belgium1715142571
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