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Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 96-78
22-18 23-31 27-15 24-14
Position#8
Record7-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game96.5
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#9
Record5-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game96.3
AustraliaNBLRound 15· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans
02 Jan 2027
ILLA v CAIR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
ILLA100
CAIR110
03 Jan 2026
ILLA96
CAIR78
06 Dec 2025
ILLA76
CAIR93
03 Jan 2025
ILLA105
CAIR108
18 Jan 2024
ILLA92
CAIR93
26 Oct 2023
ILLA84
CAIR83
02 Jan 2023
ILLA89
CAIR96
18 Feb 2022
ILLA79
CAIR54
12 Feb 2022
ILLA87
CAIR81
03 Feb 2017
ILLA90
CAIR73
30 Oct 2016
ILLA83
CAIR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
66avg 86
H16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
67avg 86
A19/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
102-105
102
105
-3
95avg 86
H21/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
118avg 86
H04/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 86
H06/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
100-85
100
85
+15
99avg 86
H11/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 86
A18/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 86
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-108
84
108
-24
72avg 86
A25/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
89avg 86
H31/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
18-35
18-18
21-27
22-21
27-23
15-27
21-26
33-38
19-20
31-28
19-19
31-13
23-26
20-22
19-32
20-20
14-29
24-24
18-20
23-33
26-17
22-18
29-17
20-24
21-23
26-27
8-23
21-21
18-20
20-19
19-24
19-34
22-28
17-21
26-25
23-18
27-21
23-26
19-25
184.2Avg total
87.6Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.796.5185.2-7.835%
Season at home (11)91.094.5185.5-3.545%
Season away (9)85.899.0184.8-13.222%
Last 10 (10)87.696.6184.2-9.030%
Last 5 (5)85.892.8178.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)87.397.8185.1-10.425%
vs Similar (4)81.5100.0181.5-18.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)96.490.1186.4+6.357%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
90-107
90
107
-17
82avg 80
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
92avg 80
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
95avg 80
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
88avg 80
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 80
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 80
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-95
99
95
+4
102avg 80
H19/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-119
77
119
-42
69avg 80
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 80
A24/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
96-111
96
111
-15
94avg 80
H31/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
26-27
20-29
22-26
24-28
15-36
23-20
28-17
27-26
23-25
18-27
23-13
17-25
27-22
22-30
30-25
20-20
29-14
24-24
20-18
21-13
18-24
15-23
14-21
19-23
29-20
21-29
30-23
23-28
18-29
19-34
17-28
21-23
21-27
19-23
12-20
28-21
24-27
26-35
18-28
187.3Avg total
88.3Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.296.3178.5-14.024%
Season at home (12)84.197.0181.1-12.917%
Season away (9)79.895.3175.1-15.633%
Last 10 (10)88.399.0187.3-10.720%
Last 5 (5)82.699.8182.4-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)85.397.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar (6)92.392.0184.3+0.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
Illawarra HawksCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A19/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H21/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H04/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H11/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A25/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H31/12
NBL
92.3Avg total
44.1Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.346.192.4+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.145.493.5+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)44.346.991.1-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.292.3-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.891.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)44.247.791.8-3.533%-
vs Similar (4)44.550.094.5-5.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.743.692.3+5.164%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A24/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H31/12
NBL
93.5Avg total
45.2Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.048.492.4-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.149.193.2-5.044%-
Last 30 away (14)43.947.691.5-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)45.248.393.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.091.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.948.291.1-5.438%-
vs Similar (6)48.749.097.7-0.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.826.0
51.2%
54.6%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.7
31.2%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.5
72.6%
74.8%13.5
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.3
54.1%
54.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.3
38.4%
33.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
74.8%15.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WLLLWLWLLL
Cairns Taipans
LLLWLWLLLL
#8
League position
#9
-10.7
Net rating
-12.9
103.2
Offensive rating
111.9
113.9
Defensive rating
124.8
49.7%
Effective FG%
55.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.2%
3-point %
38.4%
55.5%
Assist %
68.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 111.9Defence113.9 · 124.8Shooting49.7% · 55.7%3-point %31.2% · 38.4%Ball care18.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds34.0% · 27.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
6
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans76-93
07/11/25Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks90-107
23/01/25Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks100-94
03/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans105-108
19/10/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-87
21/09/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-102
18/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans92-93
11/11/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks81-71
26/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans84-83
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers92-90
25/12/25ASydney84-108
20/12/25HAdelaide78-84
18/12/25AMelbourne United75-97
11/12/25HBrisbane Bullets100-85
06/12/25HCairns Taipans76-93
04/12/25HSouth East Melbourne113-109 OT
21/11/25HMelbourne United102-105
19/11/25AAdelaide85-97
16/11/25HSydney71-98
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HSouth East Melbourne96-111
24/12/25AAdelaide73-93
21/12/25ASydney77-119
19/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-95
13/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers68-81
06/12/25AIllawarra Hawks93-76
22/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers96-102
16/11/25AAdelaide101-105 OT
14/11/25HSouth East Melbourne90-101
07/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW35%
HomeWLWLW45%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%45%22%
Points / game88.791.085.8
Allowed / game96.594.599.0
Point differential-7.8-3.5-13.2
Avg total185.2185.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %24%17%33%
Points / game82.284.179.8
Allowed / game96.397.095.3
Point differential-14.0-12.9-15.6
Avg total178.5181.1175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2218482%92.585.4+7.1
2 Melbourne United2215768%94.788.9+5.8
3 South East Melbourne2114767%96.588.3+8.2
4 Sydney2113862%93.985.0+8.9
5 Perth22121055%88.686.1+2.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers23101343%85.985.8+0.0
7 New Zealand Breakers2181338%88.589.0-0.4
8 Illawarra Hawks2071335%88.796.5-7.8
9 Brisbane Bullets2361726%84.995.3-10.4
10 Cairns Taipans2151624%82.296.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2223272496
Cairns Taipans1831151478
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