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Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 92-93
23-19 17-25 23-23 29-26
Position#4
Record9-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game90.7
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
Position#8
Record10-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game91.3
AustraliaNBLRound 16· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans
02 Jan 2027
ILLA v CAIR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
ILLA100
CAIR110
03 Jan 2026
ILLA96
CAIR78
06 Dec 2025
ILLA76
CAIR93
03 Jan 2025
ILLA105
CAIR108
18 Jan 2024
ILLA92
CAIR93
26 Oct 2023
ILLA84
CAIR83
02 Jan 2023
ILLA89
CAIR96
18 Feb 2022
ILLA79
CAIR54
12 Feb 2022
ILLA87
CAIR81
03 Feb 2017
ILLA90
CAIR73
30 Oct 2016
ILLA83
CAIR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
69-65
69
65
+4
66avg 76
A19/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 76
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 76
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-72
100
72
+28
98avg 76
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 76
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
94-90
94
90
+4
80avg 76
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 76
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
116-78
116
78
+38
117avg 76
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 76
A14/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
17-23
17-16
16-14
26-28
23-22
12-15
16-13
38-18
20-25
15-22
27-17
22-27
26-12
25-19
27-14
10-23
20-28
26-22
33-27
17-29
29-19
31-25
17-17
19-12
21-29
31-12
20-31
24-15
29-21
33-23
30-19
18-20
18-15
20-15
30-36
26-30
30-29
24-31
23-20
181.3Avg total
94.7Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.890.7180.6-0.947%
Season at home (9)94.292.6186.8+1.756%
Season away (10)85.989.1175.0-3.240%
Last 10 (10)94.786.6181.3+8.170%
Last 5 (5)102.493.8196.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)85.795.9181.6-10.113%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.988.7173.6-3.842%
vs Weaker (3)109.785.3195.0+24.3100%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
83-86
83
86
-3
64avg 82
H07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
116-101
116
101
+15
116avg 82
A09/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 82
H15/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
97avg 82
A17/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 82
H22/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
90avg 82
H26/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 82
A29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 82
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
76avg 82
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
no box
H13/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-33
22-15
21-23
25-15
35-26
26-31
24-27
31-17
18-36
18-26
29-29
17-20
35-17
21-26
23-24
23-34
30-18
16-26
20-15
28-16
17-26
26-28
24-22
35-29
24-27
21-27
12-15
25-32
26-19
19-21
21-23
29-15
20-29
21-22
18-28
27-24
27-28
26-28
19-26
22-12
191.5Avg total
95.3Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.391.3181.6-1.045%
Season at home (11)89.887.4177.2+2.555%
Season away (11)90.895.2186.0-4.436%
Last 10 (10)95.396.2191.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)95.297.6192.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)88.490.8179.2-2.433%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.689.5179.2+0.154%
vs Weaker (5)89.886.4176.2+3.460%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
Illawarra HawksCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/01
NBL
88.9Avg total
45.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.546.490.9-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.948.694.5-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.187.3-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)45.243.788.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.890.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.648.190.7-5.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.744.989.6-0.242%-
vs Weaker (3)53.743.397.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A09/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H15/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A17/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/01
NBL
97.2Avg total
46.3Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.246.292.4-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.046.191.1-1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)47.546.493.9+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.350.997.2-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.451.096.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)47.347.394.7+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.745.490.1-0.746%-
vs Weaker (5)47.245.893.0+1.480%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.725.3
54.2%
50.9%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
73.8%13.7
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.224.4
52.8%
50.9%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.0
37.3%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws26.018.9
72.7%
73.8%18.9
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWWWWLWWLW
Cairns Taipans
WLWLLWWLWL
#4
League position
#8
+7.7
Net rating
-0.8
115.4
Offensive rating
111.1
107.7
Defensive rating
111.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.5%
3-point %
37.3%
50.9%
Assist %
61.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 111.1Defence107.7 · 111.9Shooting52.8% · 53.9%3-point %33.5% · 37.3%Ball care13.3% · 14.8%Off. rebounds30.8% · 23.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks81-71
26/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans84-83
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
02/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans89-96
10/12/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks102-101 OT
18/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans79-54
12/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans87-81
29/01/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-94
03/02/17Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans90-73
22/01/17Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks85-79
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ABrisbane Bullets103-110
12/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers108-107 OT
05/01/24HSouth East Melbourne116-78
31/12/23HAdelaide91-84
25/12/23ASydney94-90
23/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-100
16/12/23ASouth East Melbourne100-72
08/12/23HPerth100-82
03/12/23ABrisbane Bullets77-78
19/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers69-65
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HAdelaide111-101 OT
06/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-103
31/12/23HMelbourne United95-78
29/12/23ASydney82-101
26/12/23HPerth102-105
22/12/23HSouth East Melbourne94-75
17/12/23ABrisbane Bullets102-101
15/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers82-111
09/12/23AAdelaide116-101
07/12/23HSydney83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game89.894.285.9
Allowed / game90.792.689.1
Point differential-0.9+1.7-3.2
Avg total180.6186.8175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeLWLWW55%
AwayWWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%55%36%
Points / game90.389.890.8
Allowed / game91.387.495.2
Point differential-1.0+2.5-4.4
Avg total181.6177.2186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2116576%94.186.9+7.3
2 Perth2013765%93.591.1+2.4
3 Tasmania JackJumpers22111150%90.385.8+4.5
4 Sydney22111150%94.793.2+1.5
5 Brisbane Bullets22111150%87.689.2-1.6
6 Illawarra Hawks1991047%89.890.7-0.9
7 Cairns Taipans22101245%90.391.3-1.0
8 South East Melbourne2291341%88.194.0-6.0
9 New Zealand Breakers2081240%89.190.4-1.3
10 Adelaide2281436%88.392.9-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2317232992
Cairns Taipans1925232693
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