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Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 105-108
24-19 32-26 21-40 28-23
Position#1
Record13-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game91.8
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
Position#10
Record3-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game94.4
AustraliaNBLRound 15· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans
02 Jan 2027
ILLA v CAIR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
ILLA100
CAIR110
03 Jan 2026
ILLA96
CAIR78
06 Dec 2025
ILLA76
CAIR93
03 Jan 2025
ILLA105
CAIR108
18 Jan 2024
ILLA92
CAIR93
26 Oct 2023
ILLA84
CAIR83
02 Jan 2023
ILLA89
CAIR96
18 Feb 2022
ILLA79
CAIR54
12 Feb 2022
ILLA87
CAIR81
03 Feb 2017
ILLA90
CAIR73
30 Oct 2016
ILLA83
CAIR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 90
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 90
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
109-71
109
71
+38
103avg 90
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 90
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 90
A06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
106-93
106
93
+13
100avg 90
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
120-88
120
88
+32
113avg 90
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-108
111
108
+3
99avg 90
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
93avg 90
A27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
105-110
105
110
-5
89avg 90
H31/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
19-24
26-26
12-17
22-22
22-13
23-19
19-25
32-12
20-17
20-27
37-15
31-21
28-31
17-26
24-25
29-30
26-23
33-38
33-20
27-24
19-23
27-15
33-31
37-28
26-20
26-15
31-25
23-31
35-27
30-23
23-27
29-34
19-16
34-18
20-16
25-30
34-30
25-24
21-26
197.9Avg total
103.9Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)101.491.8193.2+9.568%
Season at home (8)103.689.9193.5+13.862%
Season away (11)99.793.3193.0+6.573%
Last 10 (10)103.994.0197.9+9.970%
Last 5 (5)108.896.6205.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)86.3100.5186.8-14.39%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)101.491.8193.2+9.568%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 74
H02/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
74-97
74
97
-23
68avg 74
A10/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 74
H16/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
52avg 74
H29/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
90-99
90
99
-9
81avg 74
A05/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 74
A07/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
92-128
92
128
-36
74avg 74
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 74
A20/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
51avg 74
H26/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
68-92
68
92
-24
54avg 74
H31/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
26-18
29-23
15-28
20-34
20-15
15-17
19-31
23-28
19-24
17-11
10-14
26-20
16-21
13-18
20-22
30-31
24-21
19-23
17-24
28-39
22-24
32-12
12-24
28-22
29-32
18-39
17-35
30-29
24-27
26-25
24-26
13-25
16-21
22-13
15-17
15-21
22-26
17-25
14-20
176.8Avg total
82.0Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.194.4177.5-11.416%
Season at home (11)80.590.9171.5-10.418%
Season away (8)86.599.2185.8-12.812%
Last 10 (10)82.094.8176.8-12.80%
Last 5 (5)84.8100.4185.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)85.296.8182.0-11.520%
vs Similar (10)86.892.8179.6-6.030%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -7.8-7.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -7.8-7.8
Illawarra HawksCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H31/12
NBL
100.7Avg total
52.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.347.995.3-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.745.594.2+3.238%-
Last 30 away (17)46.349.896.1-3.541%-
Last 10 (10)52.548.2100.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)54.852.6107.4+2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.748.589.3-7.89%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)51.247.698.7+3.658%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H02/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A10/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H16/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A05/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A07/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A20/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H26/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H31/12
NBL
95.0Avg total
44.9Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.949.595.4-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.247.492.5-2.241%-
Last 30 away (13)46.852.299.1-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)44.950.195.0-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.453.298.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)45.949.595.3-3.635%-
vs Similar (10)45.949.595.4-3.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 102.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.726.5
54.4%
52.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.7%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws26.420.2
76.5%
74.7%20.2
They take 76.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.8
47.5%
52.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.816.1
73.9%
74.7%16.1
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWWWWWLWWL
Cairns Taipans
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+11.5
Net rating
-15.5
122.2
Offensive rating
101.6
110.7
Defensive rating
117.1
54.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.7%
3-point %
32.7%
53.3%
Assist %
53.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence122.2 · 101.6Defence110.7 · 117.1Shooting54.1% · 48.2%3-point %35.7% · 32.7%Ball care14.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds37.3% · 26.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-87
21/09/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-102
18/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans92-93
11/11/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks81-71
26/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans84-83
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
02/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans89-96
10/12/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks102-101 OT
18/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans79-54
12/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans87-81
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HSouth East Melbourne105-110
27/12/24ABrisbane Bullets102-84
25/12/24ASydney111-108
22/12/24HPerth120-88
13/12/24AMelbourne United106-93
06/12/24APerth121-111
30/11/24ASouth East Melbourne100-103
28/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers109-71
16/11/24HSydney86-79
10/11/24AAdelaide79-93
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers68-92
26/12/24HMelbourne United66-76
20/12/24ABrisbane Bullets104-107
14/12/24HPerth92-128
07/12/24ASouth East Melbourne94-99
05/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers90-99
29/11/24HSydney75-81
16/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers69-77
10/11/24ASouth East Melbourne74-97
02/11/24HBrisbane Bullets88-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %68%62%73%
Points / game101.4103.699.7
Allowed / game91.889.993.3
Point differential+9.5+13.8+6.5
Avg total193.2193.5193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %16%18%12%
Points / game83.180.586.5
Allowed / game94.490.999.2
Point differential-11.4-10.4-12.8
Avg total177.5171.5185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%9%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks1913668%101.491.8+9.5
2 Melbourne United2113862%95.490.1+5.3
3 Tasmania JackJumpers1911858%83.783.3+0.4
4 Sydney2112957%90.586.7+3.8
5 Perth2011955%97.897.0+0.8
6 South East Melbourne20101050%92.890.2+2.7
7 Brisbane Bullets1991047%95.396.5-1.2
8 New Zealand Breakers1981142%85.190.5-5.5
9 Adelaide1981142%92.197.6-5.6
10 Cairns Taipans1931616%83.194.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks24322128105
Cairns Taipans19264023108
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