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Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 76-93
20-20 14-29 24-24 18-20
Position#8
Record5-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game98.1
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
Position#9
Record3-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game96.5
AustraliaNBLRound 11· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans
02 Jan 2027
ILLA v CAIR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
ILLA100
CAIR110
03 Jan 2026
ILLA96
CAIR78
06 Dec 2025
ILLA76
CAIR93
03 Jan 2025
ILLA105
CAIR108
18 Jan 2024
ILLA92
CAIR93
26 Oct 2023
ILLA84
CAIR83
02 Jan 2023
ILLA89
CAIR96
18 Feb 2022
ILLA79
CAIR54
12 Feb 2022
ILLA87
CAIR81
03 Feb 2017
ILLA90
CAIR73
30 Oct 2016
ILLA83
CAIR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 90
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 90
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
60-102
60
102
-42
46avg 90
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
90avg 90
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 90
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
107-90
107
90
+17
108avg 90
A07/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
66avg 90
H16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
67avg 90
A19/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
102-105
102
105
-3
95avg 90
H21/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
118avg 90
H04/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
17-36
12-17
24-33
23-19
18-15
11-24
33-26
18-31
16-21
10-27
16-23
19-21
22-20
26-31
21-18
32-22
25-21
22-25
28-25
25-22
27-26
29-20
26-22
14-18
18-35
18-18
21-27
22-21
27-23
15-27
21-26
33-38
19-20
31-28
19-19
31-13
23-26
20-22
19-32
187.8Avg total
89.4Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.698.1188.6-7.536%
Season at home (7)93.698.1191.7-4.643%
Season away (7)87.698.0185.6-10.429%
Last 10 (10)89.498.4187.8-9.040%
Last 5 (5)95.699.8195.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)90.198.2188.3-8.133%
vs Similar (3)78.0103.3181.3-25.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)99.088.8187.8+10.267%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
60-95
60
95
-35
53avg 78
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 78
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
78-110
78
110
-32
67avg 78
H22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
55avg 78
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
85-113
85
113
-28
80avg 78
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
63avg 78
A01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
90-107
90
107
-17
82avg 78
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
92avg 78
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
95avg 78
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
88avg 78
H22/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
10-21
16-22
19-25
17-19
19-25
21-20
29-27
22-30
20-30
20-28
16-22
16-31
18-17
17-24
16-22
27-25
20-32
20-22
18-34
18-15
22-16
14-18
21-20
22-25
26-27
20-29
22-26
24-28
15-36
23-20
28-17
27-26
23-25
18-27
23-13
17-25
27-22
22-30
30-25
181.5Avg total
82.8Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.496.5177.9-15.120%
Season at home (9)82.997.4180.3-14.611%
Season away (6)79.295.0174.2-15.833%
Last 10 (10)82.898.7181.5-15.910%
Last 5 (5)90.496.8187.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)86.598.8185.2-12.323%
vs Similar (8)90.893.9184.6-3.138%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Illawarra HawksCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A07/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A19/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H21/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H04/12
NBL
93.0Avg total
45.2Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.845.493.2+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.545.996.4+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)45.145.090.1+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)45.247.893.0-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.848.496.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.446.992.3-1.444%-
vs Similar (3)42.753.796.3-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)49.843.393.2+6.572%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H24/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A30/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
H14/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/11
NBL
90.7Avg total
40.5Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.150.294.2-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.150.393.4-7.231%-
Last 30 away (14)45.150.095.1-4.921%-
Last 10 (10)40.550.290.7-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)44.249.093.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.750.493.0-7.727%-
vs Similar (8)47.949.697.5-1.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.925.7
51.5%
54.6%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.0
33.1%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
74.8%14.6
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
54.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.6
34.9%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.6
74.1%
74.8%12.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WLLLWWLLWL
Cairns Taipans
LLLLWLLLLL
#8
League position
#9
-11.4
Net rating
-19.8
103.0
Offensive rating
104.7
114.4
Defensive rating
124.5
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.1%
3-point %
34.9%
57.3%
Assist %
68.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 104.7Defence114.4 · 124.5Shooting50.9% · 51.3%3-point %33.1% · 34.9%Ball care19.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds32.8% · 24.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
6
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
07/11/25Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks90-107
23/01/25Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks100-94
03/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans105-108
19/10/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-87
21/09/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-102
18/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans92-93
11/11/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks81-71
26/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans84-83
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
02/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans89-96
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HSouth East Melbourne113-109 OT
21/11/25HMelbourne United102-105
19/11/25AAdelaide85-97
16/11/25HSydney71-98
07/11/25ACairns Taipans107-90
05/11/25HMelbourne United107-93
02/11/25AAdelaide88-90
31/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers60-102
25/10/25APerth85-84
18/10/25ASouth East Melbourne76-116
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers96-102
16/11/25AAdelaide101-105 OT
14/11/25HSouth East Melbourne90-101
07/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-107
01/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers75-69
30/10/25ABrisbane Bullets85-113
24/10/25HMelbourne United67-94
22/10/25HPerth78-110
18/10/25HAdelaide86-91
12/10/25AMelbourne United60-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game90.693.687.6
Allowed / game98.198.198.0
Point differential-7.5-4.6-10.4
Avg total188.6191.7185.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %20%11%33%
Points / game81.482.979.2
Allowed / game96.597.495.0
Point differential-15.1-14.6-15.8
Avg total177.9180.3174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1613381%96.586.5+10.0
2 Adelaide1512380%91.784.5+7.2
3 South East Melbourne149564%97.490.1+7.3
4 Perth159660%89.586.5+2.9
5 Sydney147750%91.086.5+4.5
6 New Zealand Breakers1771041%89.388.1+1.2
7 Tasmania JackJumpers1661038%85.787.6-1.9
8 Illawarra Hawks145936%90.698.1-7.5
9 Brisbane Bullets1651131%87.295.8-8.5
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%81.496.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2014241876
Cairns Taipans2029242093
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