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Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 06:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game104.7
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#4
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game95.9
AustraliaNBLRound 15· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans
02 Jan 2027
ILLA v CAIR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
ILLA100
CAIR110
03 Jan 2026
ILLA96
CAIR78
06 Dec 2025
ILLA76
CAIR93
03 Jan 2025
ILLA105
CAIR108
18 Jan 2024
ILLA92
CAIR93
26 Oct 2023
ILLA84
CAIR83
02 Jan 2023
ILLA89
CAIR96
18 Feb 2022
ILLA79
CAIR54
12 Feb 2022
ILLA87
CAIR81
03 Feb 2017
ILLA90
CAIR73
30 Oct 2016
ILLA83
CAIR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
112-122
112
122
-10
102avg 92
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 92
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 92
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
70avg 92
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
81-98
81
98
-17
61avg 92
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
105-98
105
98
+7
104avg 92
A31/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
107-95
107
95
+12
no box
A05/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
78-106
78
106
-28
no box
A07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
120-110
120
110
+10
no box
A11/11
NBL
Perth
#6
L
100-111 OT
100
111
-11
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
19-20
17-28
16-34
30-26
16-25
19-30
27-14
19-29
24-19
27-25
27-25
27-29
32-35
29-27
26-20
20-13
21-22
16-27
23-36
18-21
28-23
43-31
24-27
25-29
30-26
18-24
18-19
26-23
202.3Avg total
97.6Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)97.5104.7202.2-7.333%
Season at home (5)97.8106.0203.8-8.220%
Season away (10)97.3104.1201.4-6.840%
Last 10 (10)97.6104.7202.3-7.140%
Last 5 (5)102.0104.0206.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)97.9106.7204.6-8.832%
vs Similar ◀ (9)96.796.0192.7+0.744%
vs Weaker (2)104.576.5181.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 79
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 79
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
109avg 79
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
83-115
83
115
-32
72avg 79
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 79
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
107-85
107
85
+22
98avg 79
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
97-113
97
113
-16
91avg 79
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
95-107
95
107
-12
no box
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H13/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
33-26
21-25
19-34
24-28
35-32
27-29
20-26
13-20
31-27
22-21
24-17
23-27
12-29
20-24
31-14
21-15
193.0Avg total
96.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.495.9188.3-3.657%
Season at home (6)92.094.0186.0-2.067%
Season away (8)92.697.4190.0-4.850%
Last 10 (10)96.696.4193.0+0.270%
Last 5 (5)96.695.8192.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)87.2100.3187.4-13.130%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.292.7184.9-0.570%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
Illawarra HawksCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H24/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A05/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A07/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A11/11
NBL
Perth
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/11
NBL
102.1Avg total
49.2Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.751.099.7-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.950.597.5-3.627%-
Last 30 away (19)49.751.2100.9-1.537%-
Last 10 (10)49.252.9102.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)53.651.8105.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)48.252.3100.5-4.132%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)49.450.6100.0-1.133%-
vs Weaker (2)50.040.090.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H13/11
NBL
101.1Avg total
50.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.348.695.9-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.546.995.5+1.669%-
Last 30 away (17)46.349.996.2-3.641%-
Last 10 (10)50.250.9101.1-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.651.0102.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)46.249.395.5-3.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)49.447.296.6+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.6
56.8%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.2
35.6%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.1
73.3%
74.0%12.1
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
56.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.412.8
35.2%
34.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws13.210.3
78.0%
74.0%10.3
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLWWLLWLL
Cairns Taipans
WWLLWWLWWW
#9
League position
#4
-8.7
Net rating
-3.9
100.8
Offensive rating
96.3
109.5
Defensive rating
100.2
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.18
35.6%
3-point %
35.2%
59.5%
Assist %
65.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 96.3Defence109.5 · 100.2Shooting55.4% · 55.3%3-point %35.6% · 35.2%Ball care12.1% · 13.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
05/11/26Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks95-107
11/10/26Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans100-110
03/01/26Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans96-78
06/12/25Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans76-93
07/11/25Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks90-107
23/01/25Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks100-94
03/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans105-108
19/10/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-87
21/09/24Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-102
18/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans92-93
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APerth100-111 OT
11/11/26ASouth East Melbourne120-110
07/11/26AAdelaide78-106
05/11/26ACairns Taipans107-95
31/10/26APerth105-98
24/10/26HBrisbane Bullets81-98
22/10/26HSydney82-108
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSydney84-82
08/11/26APerth100-92
05/11/26HIllawarra Hawks95-107
31/10/26HMelbourne United97-113
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %33%20%40%
Points / game97.597.897.3
Allowed / game104.7106.0104.1
Point differential-7.3-8.2-6.8
Avg total202.2203.8201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%10%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game92.492.092.6
Allowed / game95.994.097.4
Point differential-3.6-2.0-4.8
Avg total188.3186.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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