Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	86.8	98.5	185.2	-11.8	25%
Season at home (2)	97.0	101.0	198.0	-4.0	50%
Season away (2)	76.5	96.0	172.5	-19.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	94.1	176.1	-12.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	96.2	178.2	-14.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	81.2	93.3	174.5	-12.1	8%
vs Similar (5)	72.8	91.2	164.0	-18.4	0%
vs Weaker (1)	113.0	106.0	219.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUnited

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

77-65

+12

no box

A12/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

101-91

101

+10

no box

A14/01

NBL

Adelaide

94-87

no box

A21/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-80

-6

no box

A28/01

NBL

Adelaide

116-107

116

107

no box

H05/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

82-67

+15

71avg 76

H28/09

NBL

Adelaide

82-74

70avg 76

A01/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

75-80

-5

68avg 76

H08/10

NBL

Perth

88-81

82avg 76

A13/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

89-78

+11

88avg 76

H15/10

NBL

18-13

25-17

13-17

21-18

34-20

20-17

22-28

25-26

28-21

11-19

31-24

24-23

19-10

15-21

22-27

18-22

27-27

29-30

31-23

29-27

29-24

16-9

19-17

18-17

25-19

16-24

16-14

25-17

18-16

18-19

25-18

14-27

22-17

17-18

21-17

28-29

14-14

29-14

23-17

23-33

168.8Avg total

87.8Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	83.2	76.0	159.2	+7.2	80%
Season at home (3)	82.0	75.0	157.0	+7.0	67%
Season away (2)	85.0	77.5	162.5	+7.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	81.0	168.8	+6.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	76.0	159.2	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.0	83.2	158.2	-8.2	25%
vs Similar (17)	86.1	85.2	171.3	+0.9	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	92.2	83.8	176.0	+8.4	89%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	23.5	45.9	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	24.4	47.4	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.7	46.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.8	46.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	22.9	23.1	46.0	-0.2	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	24.8	44.6	-5.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	21.3	44.7	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.1	41.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	75%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.3	21.1	45.4	+3.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	23.8	43.3	-4.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	24.4	43.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.9	23.6	42.5	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	29.0	63.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.8	40.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.5	41.8	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	67%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

37-37

A15/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-35

A19/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

48-50

-2

H21/01

NBL

Perth

55-50

A27/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-34

+16

H02/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

35-46

-11

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

39-51

-12

H30/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

60-55

H07/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

29-55

-26

A12/10

NBL

Adelaide

40-39

A14/10

NBL

88.4Avg total

43.2Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	47.0	88.6	-5.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	48.1	90.6	-5.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	46.1	86.9	-5.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	45.2	88.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	49.2	89.8	-8.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	41.8	46.7	88.4	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.2	47.2	84.4	-10.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	60.0	55.0	115.0	+5.0	100%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

43-30

+13

A12/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

54-37

+17

A14/01

NBL

Adelaide

39-40

-1

A21/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-31

A28/01

NBL

Adelaide

56-57

-1

H05/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

45-33

+12

H28/09

NBL

Adelaide

41-43

-2

A01/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

36-35

H08/10

NBL

Perth

39-35

A13/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

43-28

+15

H15/10

NBL

79.9Avg total

43.0Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	40.5	83.5	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	40.8	86.5	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	40.1	80.5	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	36.9	79.9	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	34.8	75.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.0	36.8	75.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	43.1	42.1	85.2	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	44.7	39.0	83.7	+5.7	56%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	24.0	43.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.1	21.2	40.2	-2.1	46%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	27.0	49.0	-5.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.3	42.5	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	22.8	39.0	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.1	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	24.2	43.4	-5.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	23.5	41.8	-5.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	24.9	44.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.2	24.0	43.1	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.0	25.4	42.4	-8.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	24.0	55.0	+7.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.1	44.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	22.7	45.7	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.9	46.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	24.6	46.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	23.8	43.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.2	22.0	46.2	+2.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	45.1	83.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	44.3	84.2	-4.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	45.9	82.8	-9.0	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	48.9	87.7	-10.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	47.0	88.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.2	45.1	83.4	-6.9	21%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.6	44.0	79.6	-8.4	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	53.0	51.0	104.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	43.5	86.3	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	42.1	84.3	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	45.0	88.2	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	44.1	88.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	41.2	83.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	46.5	82.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	43.0	43.1	86.1	-0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	45.2	43.1	88.3	+2.1	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 85.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	22.0	47.8%	50.9%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.8	34.8%	33.9%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	18.0	12.5	69.4%	73.8%	12.5

They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 82.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	17.2	44.6%	50.9%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.0	10.8	32.7%	33.9%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.6	75.7%	73.8%	15.6

They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	50.9%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	13.5	43.9%	33.9%	40.5
🏀 Free throws	20.8	16.5	79.5%	73.8%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.0	17.6	37.4%	50.9%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.2	31.5%	33.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	70.0%	73.8%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	50.9%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	13.5	43.9%	33.9%	40.5
🏀 Free throws	20.8	16.5	79.5%	73.8%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.0	17.6	37.4%	50.9%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.2	31.5%	33.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	70.0%	73.8%	15.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Illawarra Hawks

LLWLLLLLWL

Melbourne United

WWLWWWLWWW

League position

-14.9

Net rating

+9.2

104.2

Offensive rating

104.9

119.1

Defensive rating

95.7

49.5%

Effective FG%

46.6%

58.8%

Opp. effective FG%

41.0%

17.0%

Turnover %

14.6%

29.7%

Off. rebound %

30.8%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.29

34.8%

3-point %

32.7%

45.7%

Assist %

60.7%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Illawarra Hawks ■ Melbourne United

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
18/12/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	88-77
05/12/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	93-79
29/10/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	100-106 OT
02/04/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	90-96
27/03/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	77-92
16/01/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	84-88
18/05/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	87-102
18/04/21	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	87-76
21/03/21	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	75-65
13/03/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	77-69

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/23	A	Adelaide	80-89
12/10/23	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	73-103
07/10/23	H	South East Melbourne	113-106
30/09/23	H	Sydney	81-96
04/02/23	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	63-87
02/02/23	H	New Zealand Breakers	81-91
27/01/23	A	Perth	86-106
21/01/23	H	Brisbane Bullets	86-103
19/01/23	A	New Zealand Breakers	78-76
15/01/23	A	Sydney	79-84

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/10/23	H	Brisbane Bullets	89-78
13/10/23	A	Perth	88-81
08/10/23	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	75-80
01/10/23	A	Adelaide	82-74
28/09/23	H	South East Melbourne	82-67
05/02/23	H	Adelaide	116-107
28/01/23	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-80
21/01/23	A	Adelaide	94-87
14/01/23	A	Brisbane Bullets	101-91
12/01/23	A	New Zealand Breakers	77-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLL	25%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	86.8	97.0	76.5
Allowed / game	98.5	101.0	96.0
Point differential	-11.8	-4.0	-19.5
Avg total	185.2	198.0	172.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	67%	100%
Points / game	83.2	82.0	85.0
Allowed / game	76.0	75.0	77.5
Point differential	+7.2	+7.0	+7.5
Avg total	159.2	157.0	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	5	4	1	80%	97.8	89.8	+8.0
2	Melbourne United	5	4	1	80%	83.2	76.0	+7.2
3	Cairns Taipans	3	2	1	67%	87.7	88.0	-0.3
4	Tasmania JackJumpers	5	3	2	60%	88.6	81.4	+7.2
5	New Zealand Breakers	2	1	1	50%	91.0	88.0	+3.0
6	South East Melbourne	6	3	3	50%	91.8	91.8	+0.0
7	Brisbane Bullets	5	2	3	40%	88.2	89.2	-1.0
8	Perth	5	2	3	40%	89.8	93.4	-3.6
9	Illawarra Hawks	4	1	3	25%	86.8	98.5	-11.8
10	Adelaide	6	1	5	17%	82.3	90.2	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	22	29	12	28	91
Melbourne United	29	30	18	24	101

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Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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