Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 96-90

24-22 26-25 20-22 26-21

Position#3

Record4-6

FormWLWLL

Points / game87.7

Allowed / game89.4

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Sydney

Position#8

Record3-8

FormLLLWL

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game86.9

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

74-79

-5

A08/10

NBL

Melbourne United

81-93

-12

A11/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-75

+21

H14/10

NBL

Sydney

100-86

100

+14

A17/10

NBL

Perth

99-106

106

-7

H25/10

NBL

Townsville

96-88

A28/10

NBL

Perth

62-91

-29

A31/10

NBL

Cairns

96-88

H06/11

NBL

Perth

96-99

-3

H11/11

NBL

Adelaide

77-89

-12

A21/11

NBL

16-25

22-13

12-14

24-27

22-27

23-26

18-16

18-24

32-19

27-21

15-12

22-23

27-30

25-23

25-18

23-15

28-26

24-23

30-28

17-29

30-17

27-28

18-22

21-21

12-22

24-18

8-25

18-26

22-22

20-26

40-15

14-25

26-28

33-23

20-17

17-31

24-33

22-21

8-15

23-20

177.1Avg total

87.7Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	87.7	89.4	177.1	-1.7	40%
Season at home (4)	96.8	92.0	188.8	+4.8	50%
Season away (6)	81.7	87.7	169.3	-6.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	89.4	177.1	-1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	91.0	176.4	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	77.1	84.3	161.4	-7.2	25%
vs Similar (5)	86.8	92.8	179.6	-6.0	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	88.6	86.0	174.6	+2.6	60%

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

77-80

-3

H15/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-100

100

-14

H17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

62-74

-12

A21/10

NBL

Adelaide

80-91

-11

H23/10

NBL

Townsville

87-78

H30/10

NBL

Melbourne United

82-96

-14

A01/11

NBL

Melbourne United

94-105

105

-11

H05/11

NBL

Adelaide

98-99

-1

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

106-84

106

+22

H12/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-86

-12

H19/11

NBL

28-18

14-20

16-19

19-23

30-27

23-25

18-25

15-23

14-23

18-15

12-13

18-23

22-17

21-29

17-27

20-18

26-14

15-19

20-20

26-25

17-34

20-16

20-26

25-20

16-22

25-24

26-34

27-25

39-21

25-24

21-22

13-32

22-23

33-17

17-23

34-21

17-19

23-18

14-20

20-29

173.9Avg total

84.6Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	84.8	86.9	171.7	-2.1	27%
Season at home (8)	86.4	85.9	172.2	+0.5	38%
Season away (3)	80.7	89.7	170.3	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	89.3	173.9	-4.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	94.0	184.8	-3.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	82.9	87.2	170.1	-4.3	27%
vs Similar (13)	86.5	88.5	175.0	-2.1	31%
vs Weaker (2)	75.0	78.5	153.5	-3.5	0%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	23.5	46.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	24.9	48.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.4	47.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.6	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.0	24.4	48.4	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.8	25.4	49.2	-1.6	20%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	22.2	43.2	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.9	22.2	45.2	+0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.3	42.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	22.2	46.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	23.2	48.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	26.2	22.2	48.4	+4.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+1.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	22.5	45.2	+0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	19.8	45.0	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.1	53%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

38-38

A08/10

NBL

Melbourne United

45-53

-8

A11/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

59-40

+19

H14/10

NBL

Sydney

52-53

-1

A17/10

NBL

Perth

52-49

H25/10

NBL

Townsville

57-45

+12

A28/10

NBL

Perth

36-40

-4

A31/10

NBL

Cairns

42-48

-6

H06/11

NBL

Perth

59-51

H11/11

NBL

Adelaide

46-54

-8

A21/11

NBL

95.7Avg total

48.6Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	43.0	84.6	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	44.8	89.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	41.5	80.4	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	47.1	95.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	47.6	95.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	50.2	46.6	96.8	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	47.0	47.6	94.6	-0.6	20%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

42-38

H15/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-52

H17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

32-38

-6

A21/10

NBL

Adelaide

43-46

-3

H23/10

NBL

Townsville

41-33

H30/10

NBL

Melbourne United

37-50

-13

A01/11

NBL

Melbourne United

41-46

-5

H05/11

NBL

Adelaide

64-45

+19

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

55-40

+15

H12/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-37

H19/11

NBL

87.3Avg total

44.8Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	43.5	87.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.9	42.6	86.5	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.8	44.6	88.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	42.5	87.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	43.6	91.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	43.1	42.7	85.8	+0.5	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	46.2	45.6	91.8	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	35.5	70.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.1	40.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.8	40.8	-2.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	25.0	44.6	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	22.0	41.1	-2.9	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	15.5	35.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	24.4	45.2	-3.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	24.1	43.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.6	43.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	26.6	45.0	-8.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.5	42.2	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.9	45.6	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	25.4	49.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	47%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	27.5	48.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	41.9	80.3	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	43.6	85.8	-1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	40.4	75.5	-5.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	42.3	81.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	43.4	80.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	38.0	41.7	79.8	-3.7	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	46.2	82.8	-9.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	41.6	38.4	80.0	+3.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	43.3	83.0	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.5	43.9	83.4	-4.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.0	42.5	82.5	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	46.8	86.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	50.4	93.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.7	44.5	84.3	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.6	41.9	81.5	-2.3	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	43.0	83.0	-3.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
17/10/15	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	86-100
15/02/15	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	73-75
13/12/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	82-77
07/11/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	53-82
11/10/14	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	86-83
21/03/14	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	100-87
15/02/14	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	84-102
14/12/13	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	63-69
07/12/13	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	73-69
15/03/13	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	81-74

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/15	A	Adelaide	77-89
11/11/15	H	Perth	96-99
06/11/15	H	Cairns	96-88
31/10/15	A	Perth	62-91
28/10/15	A	Townsville	96-88
25/10/15	H	Perth	99-106
17/10/15	A	Sydney	100-86
14/10/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-75
11/10/15	A	Melbourne United	81-93
08/10/15	A	Cairns	74-79

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/11/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	74-86
12/11/15	H	Adelaide	106-84
07/11/15	A	Adelaide	98-99
05/11/15	H	Melbourne United	94-105
01/11/15	A	Melbourne United	82-96
30/10/15	H	Townsville	87-78
23/10/15	H	Adelaide	80-91
21/10/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	62-74
17/10/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	86-100
15/10/15	H	Townsville	77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	40%
Home	WLWL	50%
Away	LWWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	87.7	96.8	81.7
Allowed / game	89.4	92.0	87.7
Point differential	-1.7	+4.8	-6.0
Avg total	177.1	188.8	169.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	27%
Home	LWLWL	38%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	8	3
Win %	27%	38%	0%
Points / game	84.8	86.4	80.7
Allowed / game	86.9	85.9	89.7
Point differential	-2.1	+0.5	-9.0
Avg total	171.7	172.2	170.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	12	9	3	75%	86.5	80.1	+6.4
2	Perth	12	8	4	67%	85.1	81.3	+3.8
3	New Zealand Breakers	11	7	4	64%	83.4	79.7	+3.6
4	Adelaide	12	6	6	50%	87.3	86.2	+1.1
5	Illawarra Hawks	10	4	6	40%	87.7	89.4	-1.7
6	Cairns	10	4	6	40%	81.2	86.0	-4.8
7	Townsville	12	4	8	33%	77.2	84.4	-7.2
8	Sydney	11	3	8	27%	84.8	86.9	-2.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	24	26	20	26	96
Sydney	22	25	22	21	90

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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