Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Feb 2013

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 86-62

27-21 22-14 18-17 19-10

Position#4

Record9-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game74.8

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Townsville

Position#8

Record8-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game80.9

NBLRound 19

Other2012-13

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

72-80 OT

-8

H31/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-78

-2

H05/01

NBL

Cairns

81-94 OT

-13

H11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

71-72

-1

A17/01

NBL

Townsville

74-82

-8

A19/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-91

-17

H26/01

NBL

Adelaide

86-78

A01/02

NBL

Perth

52-80

-28

A03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

70-77

-7

H08/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-92

-8

A15/02

NBL

14-21

26-17

15-14

11-14

20-16

22-27

14-19

20-16

16-26

26-14

22-13

15-26

14-14

23-16

16-23

18-19

22-26

16-23

18-18

18-15

19-22

24-27

23-19

8-23

18-17

22-10

23-28

23-23

19-23

19-12

7-21

7-24

16-26

19-16

14-13

21-22

14-26

23-22

23-25

24-19

156.4Avg total

74.0Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	73.7	74.8	148.5	-1.1	41%
Season at home (10)	78.7	76.3	155.0	+2.4	50%
Season away (12)	69.5	73.5	143.0	-4.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	82.4	156.4	-8.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	83.6	156.8	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	75.9	81.5	157.4	-5.5	18%
vs Similar (14)	75.8	73.4	149.1	+2.4	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	70.2	71.8	142.0	-1.6	40%

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

85-84

H08/12

NBL

Adelaide

80-75

A15/12

NBL

Adelaide

86-82

H31/12

NBL

Adelaide

75-61

+14

A04/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

78-82

-4

H11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-74

H19/01

NBL

Perth

59-62

-3

A25/01

NBL

Sydney

90-78

+12

H02/02

NBL

Cairns

111-108 OT

111

108

H09/02

NBL

Perth

52-80

-28

A15/02

NBL

17-25

22-17

21-24

25-18

26-17

21-23

10-18

23-17

22-17

14-20

23-16

27-29

20-17

8-16

32-16

15-12

23-16

22-14

20-29

13-23

26-22

23-16

18-18

15-18

12-12

19-17

15-14

13-19

20-23

22-22

22-14

26-19

21-23

15-21

20-18

27-21

12-17

12-26

18-24

10-13

158.4Avg total

79.8Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	74.8	80.9	155.7	-6.1	38%
Season at home (12)	80.6	83.0	163.6	-2.4	50%
Season away (9)	67.1	78.1	145.2	-11.0	22%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	78.6	158.4	+1.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	80.4	159.2	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	73.4	83.9	157.3	-10.5	16%
vs Similar (10)	79.9	77.6	157.5	+2.3	80%
vs Weaker (1)	69.0	71.0	140.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.2	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.7	38.9	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.4	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.1	32%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	12.0	27.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	16.6	33.7	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.6	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	16.1	34.5	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	14.8	17.6	32.4	-2.8	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	22.1	39.8	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.9	20.5	39.5	-1.6	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

40-38

H31/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-43

-1

H05/01

NBL

Cairns

42-40

H11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-30

A17/01

NBL

Townsville

38-49

-11

A19/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-49

-6

H26/01

NBL

Adelaide

40-27

+13

A01/02

NBL

Perth

38-35

A03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

35-42

-7

H08/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-48

-11

A15/02

NBL

79.3Avg total

39.2Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	37.7	74.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.7	40.5	81.2	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.3	35.6	69.9	-1.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	40.1	79.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.2	78.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.1	41.1	80.2	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.3	35.2	71.5	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	34.8	37.4	72.2	-2.6	20%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

39-42

-3

H08/12

NBL

Adelaide

47-40

A15/12

NBL

Adelaide

36-37

-1

H31/12

NBL

Adelaide

28-33

-5

A04/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-30

+15

H11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-38

+11

H19/01

NBL

Perth

31-29

A25/01

NBL

Sydney

42-45

-3

H02/02

NBL

Cairns

36-44

-8

H09/02

NBL

Perth

24-43

-19

A15/02

NBL

75.8Avg total

37.7Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.4	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	42.7	79.2	-6.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	38.1	75.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.8	76.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.8	42.4	80.2	-4.6	32%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.8	39.9	77.7	-2.1	10%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	32.0	64.0	+0.0	0%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.4	35.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	15.5	35.2	+4.2	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.6	17.6	35.1	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.0	15.2	32.2	+1.8	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	21.1	37.9	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	37%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	28.0	43.0	-13.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	20.8	40.2	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	18.6	37.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.2	38.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.0	16.4	33.4	+0.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	17.3	34.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.6	37%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	70%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	11.0	33.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	36.9	74.2	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	36.3	75.5	+2.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.9	37.4	73.3	-1.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	39.4	73.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	43.4	78.0	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.8	40.4	77.2	-3.5	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.9	36.1	75.0	+2.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	34.0	31.6	65.6	+2.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	38.8	75.6	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	39.2	78.3	-0.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	38.4	72.4	-4.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	35.6	72.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	33.9	39.4	73.3	-5.4	32%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.1	37.7	79.8	+4.4	70%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
19/01/13	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-74
21/10/12	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	84-66
21/01/12	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	65-63
07/01/12	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	57-72
03/12/11	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-81
05/03/11	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	87-77
18/02/11	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	75-56
22/10/10	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	71-70

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/13	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-92
08/02/13	H	Melbourne United	70-77
03/02/13	A	Perth	52-80
01/02/13	A	Adelaide	86-78
26/01/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	74-91
19/01/13	A	Townsville	74-82
17/01/13	A	New Zealand Breakers	71-72
11/01/13	H	Cairns	81-94 OT
05/01/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	76-78
31/12/12	H	Melbourne United	72-80 OT

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/13	A	Perth	52-80
09/02/13	H	Cairns	111-108 OT
02/02/13	H	Sydney	90-78
25/01/13	A	Perth	59-62
19/01/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-74
11/01/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	78-82
04/01/13	A	Adelaide	75-61
31/12/12	H	Adelaide	86-82
15/12/12	A	Adelaide	80-75
08/12/12	H	Melbourne United	85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2012-13

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	41%
Home	LLLLL	50%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	41%	50%	33%
Points / game	73.7	78.7	69.5
Allowed / game	74.8	76.3	73.5
Point differential	-1.1	+2.4	-4.0
Avg total	148.5	155.0	143.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	30%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	14%	20%	8%

Townsville

NBL 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	38%
Home	WLWWW	50%
Away	LWWLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	12	9
Win %	38%	50%	22%
Points / game	74.8	80.6	67.1
Allowed / game	80.9	83.0	78.1
Point differential	-6.1	-2.4	-11.0
Avg total	155.7	163.6	145.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	8%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	57% (7)	33% (3)
Overtime %	10%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	South All Stars	1	1	0	100%	134.0	114.0	+20.0
2	New Zealand Breakers	23	20	3	87%	80.9	73.2	+7.7
3	Perth	22	17	5	77%	78.3	68.7	+9.6
4	Melbourne United	21	10	11	48%	75.1	76.0	-0.9
5	Sydney	23	10	13	43%	75.5	79.1	-3.6
6	Illawarra Hawks	22	9	13	41%	73.7	74.8	-1.1
7	Townsville	21	8	13	38%	74.8	80.9	-6.1
8	Cairns	21	7	14	33%	75.1	77.7	-2.6
9	Adelaide	23	7	16	30%	74.6	78.1	-3.6
10	North All Stars	1	0	1	0%	114.0	134.0	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	27	22	18	19	86
Townsville	21	14	17	10	62

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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