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Illiabum vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-75
15-14 20-16 9-24 24-21
Position#7
Record12-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#1
Record16-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game65.4
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illiabum v CD Povoa
07 Feb 2026
ILLI68
CD P75
01 Nov 2025
ILLI56
CD P76
22 Dec 2021
ILLI80
CD P85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
83-57
83
57
+26
87avg 71
H15/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 71
A22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
90-58
90
58
+32
92avg 71
H29/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 71
A07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
90-66
90
66
+24
100avg 71
H13/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 71
A20/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
83-69
83
69
+14
87avg 71
H03/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
93-66
93
66
+27
93avg 71
A10/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
58avg 71
H24/01
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
67avg 71
A31/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
15-9
20-18
22-18
16-18
22-14
17-12
9-27
23-18
19-14
27-8
21-18
22-16
8-13
16-18
19-17
22-15
27-21
18-10
23-20
11-11
16-25
25-20
18-20
26-8
20-21
19-14
18-26
23-19
25-18
26-16
19-13
18-17
12-13
14-23
21-14
17-23
24-21
19-21
19-10
145.1Avg total
78.2Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.468.4147.8+10.975%
Season at home (8)79.467.1146.5+12.275%
Season away (8)79.469.8149.1+9.675%
Last 10 (10)78.266.9145.1+11.370%
Last 5 (5)78.070.6148.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)67.275.2142.5-8.025%
vs Similar (14)71.071.6142.6-0.643%
vs Weaker (12)82.965.8148.7+17.292%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 72
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
87-68
87
68
+19
78avg 72
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
73-50
73
50
+23
64avg 72
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
93avg 72
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 72
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 72
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-66
89
66
+23
78avg 72
A03/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 72
H10/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 72
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
89-59
89
59
+30
81avg 72
H01/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-17
23-14
26-25
40-15
13-16
19-13
15-24
27-14
21-13
17-11
8-12
20-20
19-21
30-16
26-20
18-15
17-17
24-15
31-22
11-11
25-16
20-25
20-18
21-16
24-21
20-18
24-11
23-23
23-16
16-14
20-19
18-11
20-27
12-19
21-12
19-16
34-18
13-19
23-6
151.3Avg total
84.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.165.4152.6+21.7100%
Season at home (8)87.262.9150.1+24.4100%
Season away (8)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.067.3151.3+16.7100%
Last 5 (5)81.467.2148.6+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.983.8153.7-13.911%
vs Similar (4)85.888.0173.8-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.165.4152.6+21.7100%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.5+4.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.5+4.5
IlliabumCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H15/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H29/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A20/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/01
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A31/01
Proliga
71.8Avg total
39.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.572.3+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.073.3+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.234.171.3+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.232.671.8+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.273.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.236.569.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (14)36.136.172.1+0.043%-
vs Weaker (12)41.232.173.3+9.275%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H01/02
Proliga
77.2Avg total
43.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.378.3+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.136.678.6+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)40.137.978.0+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)43.234.077.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.078.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.741.076.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (4)40.248.088.2-7.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.931.976.9+13.088%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.0
51.2%
50.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.7
33.0%
30.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.416.4
73.2%
67.4%16.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.8
52.8%
50.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
30.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.112.6
59.7%
67.4%12.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WLWWLWWWLW
CD Povoa
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+14.3
Net rating
+21.1
99.6
Offensive rating
101.6
85.3
Defensive rating
80.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.0%
3-point %
34.4%
62.1%
Assist %
54.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 101.6Defence85.3 · 80.5Shooting50.7% · 52.3%3-point %33.0% · 34.4%Ball care21.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds36.7% · 38.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Illiabum   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illiabum wins
4
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25CD Povoa v Illiabum76-70
01/11/25Illiabum v CD Povoa56-76
12/02/22CD Povoa v Illiabum89-63
22/12/21Illiabum v CD Povoa80-85
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AMaia79-75
24/01/26HCAB Madeira65-67
10/01/26AGinasio93-66
03/01/26HSampaense83-69
20/12/25ACD Povoa70-76
13/12/25HSangalhos90-66
07/12/25ALusitania65-64
29/11/25HAcademica90-58
22/11/25AMaia64-71
15/11/25HGinasio83-57
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HImortal B89-59
25/01/26AGinasio Olhanense71-69
10/01/26HLusitania82-72
03/01/26AAcademica89-66
20/12/25HIlliabum76-70
13/12/25AGinasio90-69
08/12/25HMaia95-77
07/12/25HSampaense73-50
22/11/25ASangalhos87-68
15/11/25ALusitania88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game79.479.479.4
Allowed / game68.467.169.8
Point differential+10.9+12.2+9.6
Avg total147.8146.5149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.187.287.0
Allowed / game65.462.968.0
Point differential+21.7+24.4+19.0
Avg total152.6150.1155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%88%88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa16160100%87.165.4+21.7
2 CAB Madeira1615194%86.172.2+13.9
3 Illiabum1612475%79.468.4+10.9
4 Portimonense1611569%81.975.2+6.7
5 Imortal B1611569%79.478.8+0.6
6 Maia169756%82.373.7+8.6
7 Galomar169756%86.682.3+4.3
8 Lusitania168850%80.175.2+4.9
9 Ginasio Olhanense168850%80.876.8+4.0
10 Ginasio168850%75.879.4-3.7
11 Sampaense168850%72.176.8-4.8
12 Benfica Lisboa B1751229%70.273.7-3.5
13 Santo Andre1751229%74.180.9-6.9
14 Sangalhos1621412%70.088.4-18.4
15 CB Queluz161156%69.086.3-17.3
16 Academica161156%61.682.0-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum152092468
CD Povoa1416242175
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