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Illiabum vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-57
26-12 15-9 20-18 22-18
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#8
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game70.3
PortugalProligaRound 7· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illiabum v Ginasio
01 May 2026
ILLI76
GINA69
15 Nov 2025
ILLI83
GINA57
01 Nov 2024
ILLI77
GINA78
17 Oct 2020
ILLI93
GINA70
05 Feb 2011
ILLI86
GINA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 71
A05/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 71
H19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
65-85
65
85
-20
45avg 71
A26/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 71
H03/05
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
93avg 71
H04/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
76-46
76
46
+30
76avg 71
A11/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-63
81
63
+18
82avg 71
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
101-76
101
76
+25
99avg 71
A25/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
56-76
56
76
-20
43avg 71
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
68avg 71
A08/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
21-22
19-23
14-19
22-18
22-29
14-13
23-14
25-19
12-20
15-21
13-25
12-22
18-20
18-21
21-17
21-18
22-21
25-26
19-16
13-19
26-6
17-10
20-11
16-18
28-9
22-20
15-16
22-19
28-15
31-20
20-22
12-22
12-12
16-21
16-21
17-21
16-16
23-17
16-18
152.6Avg total
78.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.371.0152.3+10.383%
Season at home (3)74.773.3148.0+1.367%
Season away (3)88.068.7156.7+19.3100%
Last 10 (10)78.574.1152.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)80.269.0149.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.573.0140.5-5.550%
vs Similar (12)71.873.8145.6-1.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.568.9151.4+13.679%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 67
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 67
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 67
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 67
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 67
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
41avg 67
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
65-50
65
50
+15
15avg 67
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 67
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
63avg 67
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 67
H08/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
27-16
15-21
22-15
23-22
19-14
17-24
19-20
17-21
18-10
18-28
21-29
30-30
25-21
17-28
20-16
27-11
27-15
8-17
23-24
17-27
25-16
18-18
21-13
17-12
17-10
10-12
21-16
19-19
21-24
17-22
18-22
20-17
14-14
23-22
19-16
17-19
20-18
20-19
27-19
155.7Avg total
79.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.770.3148.0+7.383%
Season at home (4)77.565.2142.8+12.2100%
Season away (2)78.080.5158.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)79.376.4155.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)76.271.0147.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.093.0176.0-10.031%
vs Similar (10)82.681.9164.5+0.740%
vs Weaker (6)74.768.8143.5+5.883%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
IlliabumGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A05/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A26/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H03/05
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A11/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/11
Proliga
75.1Avg total
39.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.373.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.036.375.3+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.734.372.0+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.875.1+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.469.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.234.569.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (12)35.837.673.4-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.433.674.9+7.871%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/11
Proliga
78.2Avg total
41.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.384.3-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.839.282.1+3.647%-
Last 30 away (13)41.046.387.3-5.323%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.378.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.272.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.848.692.4-4.815%-
vs Similar (10)43.439.582.9+3.960%-
vs Weaker (6)36.832.269.0+4.750%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.2
49.5%
50.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.4
31.7%
30.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.216.5
68.2%
67.4%16.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.2
59.1%
50.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.5
29.1%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.811.9
66.9%
67.4%11.9
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WLWWWWLLWW
Ginasio
WWLWWWLLLW
#7
League position
#8
+6.4
Net rating
+2.6
104.4
Offensive rating
105.1
98.0
Defensive rating
102.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
29.1%
61.6%
Assist %
53.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 105.1Defence98.0 · 102.5Shooting48.9% · 53.2%3-point %31.7% · 29.1%Ball care20.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds36.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Illiabum   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illiabum wins
2
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Ginasio v Illiabum84-92
01/11/24Illiabum v Ginasio77-78
05/01/21Ginasio v Illiabum65-100
17/10/20Illiabum v Ginasio93-70
05/02/11Illiabum v Ginasio86-82
06/11/10Ginasio v Illiabum86-67
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ASampaense87-84 OT
01/11/25HCD Povoa56-76
25/10/25ASangalhos101-76
19/10/25HLusitania81-63
11/10/25AAcademica76-46
04/10/25HMaia87-81
03/05/25HCAB Madeira69-80
26/04/25ASangalhos65-85
19/04/25HCB Queluz81-74
05/04/25ABraga82-76
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HMaia84-75
01/11/25HSampaense76-69
25/10/25ACD Povoa75-87
19/10/25HSangalhos65-50
11/10/25ALusitania81-74
04/10/25HAcademica85-67
04/05/25HLusitania92-95
25/04/25AMaia74-88
18/04/25ABenfica Lisboa B78-80
05/04/25HSampaense83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game81.374.788.0
Allowed / game71.073.368.7
Point differential+10.3+1.3+19.3
Avg total152.3148.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game77.777.578.0
Allowed / game70.365.280.5
Point differential+7.3+12.2-2.5
Avg total148.0142.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa770100%91.763.9+27.9
2 CAB Madeira76186%86.175.4+10.7
3 Portimonense76186%84.174.3+9.9
4 Illiabum65183%81.371.0+10.3
5 Ginasio65183%77.770.3+7.3
6 Imortal B64267%80.880.8+0.0
7 Galomar74357%86.184.0+2.1
8 Ginasio Olhanense73443%80.677.9+2.7
9 Benfica Lisboa B73443%72.770.6+2.1
10 Maia62433%76.276.3-0.2
11 Lusitania62433%69.875.2-5.3
12 Sampaense62433%76.383.2-6.8
13 Sangalhos51420%62.476.0-13.6
14 Santo Andre61517%76.384.3-8.0
15 CB Queluz7070%67.187.9-20.7
16 Academica6060%53.880.3-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2615202283
Ginasio129181857
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