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Lusitania vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-81
27-17 16-25 18-18 13-21
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game80.0
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Ginasio 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game67.0
PortugalProligaRound 2· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lusitania v Ginasio
11 Oct 2025
LUSI74
GINA81
08 Mar 2025
LUSI102
GINA106
08 Jan 2012
LUSI85
GINA56
27 Nov 2010
LUSI63
GINA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 74
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
102-106
102
106
-4
91avg 74
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
75avg 74
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 74
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
74-70
74
70
+4
60avg 74
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
91avg 74
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 74
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 74
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 74
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
27-18
28-9
20-22
30-29
32-25
17-20
23-32
28-19
14-30
17-18
27-26
18-8
22-25
25-14
20-24
15-16
23-13
17-21
19-20
25-26
22-23
28-12
19-21
26-25
24-15
34-15
19-29
19-20
16-23
24-15
26-15
30-30
21-25
28-17
16-20
16-20
26-8
11-23
21-29
172.5Avg total
89.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)89.283.3172.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)90.282.2172.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.098.0165.0-31.00%
vs Similar (10)68.777.2145.9-8.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.877.5163.4+8.374%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
66-85
66
85
-19
51avg 70
H01/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 70
A08/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
59-74
59
74
-15
46avg 70
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 70
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 70
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 70
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 70
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 70
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 70
H04/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
14-13
14-21
16-24
29-30
25-32
20-17
32-23
10-18
17-20
16-23
16-13
23-25
26-25
23-23
21-22
22-19
21-20
16-20
19-24
19-27
27-16
15-21
22-15
23-22
19-14
17-24
19-20
17-21
18-10
18-28
21-29
30-30
25-21
17-28
20-16
27-11
27-15
8-17
23-24
166.2Avg total
81.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.067.0152.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)85.067.0152.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.484.8166.2-3.430%
Last 5 (5)82.481.8164.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.994.5177.4-11.625%
vs Similar (12)81.981.4163.3+0.542%
vs Weaker (5)73.272.8146.0+0.460%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
LusitaniaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/10
Proliga
88.4Avg total
45.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.277.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.879.3-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)39.536.576.0+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.343.188.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.088.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.058.091.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (10)31.935.066.9-3.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.838.882.6+5.063%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A08/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/10
Proliga
85.7Avg total
44.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.484.8-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.141.084.1+2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.446.185.5-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.685.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.483.8+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.250.093.2-6.817%-
vs Similar (12)42.739.882.4+2.958%-
vs Weaker (5)34.835.069.8-0.220%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.8
52.7%
50.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.3
38.7%
30.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
67.4%14.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
50.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.8
28.1%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.113.9
69.2%
67.4%13.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LWWWWWWLLW
Ginasio
WLLLWLLLWL
#3
League position
#8
+9.6
Net rating
-5.2
116.5
Offensive rating
101.2
106.9
Defensive rating
106.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.7%
3-point %
28.1%
58.1%
Assist %
54.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 101.2Defence106.9 · 106.4Shooting55.0% · 50.4%3-point %38.7% · 28.1%Ball care18.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds36.2% · 25.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Lusitania   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lusitania wins
1
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
04/05/25Ginasio v Lusitania92-95
08/03/25Lusitania v Ginasio102-106
08/01/12Lusitania v Ginasio85-56
22/10/11Ginasio v Lusitania50-58
26/02/11Ginasio v Lusitania78-80
27/11/10Lusitania v Ginasio63-62
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25ASampaense74-80
04/05/25AGinasio95-92
26/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-73
19/04/25ASampaense103-84
05/04/25HBarreirense94-82
30/03/25ASanto Andre74-70
23/03/25HGalitos Aveiro85-71
16/03/25AMaia86-93
08/03/25HGinasio102-106
02/03/25ABenfica Lisboa B94-82
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HAcademica85-67
04/05/25HLusitania92-95
25/04/25AMaia74-88
18/04/25ABenfica Lisboa B78-80
05/04/25HSampaense83-79
29/03/25ABarreirense78-83
22/03/25HSanto Andre93-95
15/03/25AGalitos Aveiro59-74
08/03/25ALusitania106-102
01/03/25HMaia66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portimonense110100%97.063.0+34.0
2 CAB Madeira110100%88.063.0+25.0
3 CD Povoa220100%85.562.5+23.0
4 Ginasio110100%85.067.0+18.0
5 Illiabum220100%81.563.5+18.0
6 Imortal B110100%78.067.0+11.0
7 Ginasio Olhanense110100%93.086.0+7.0
8 Sampaense220100%82.076.5+5.5
9 Galomar21150%91.081.0+10.0
10 Benfica Lisboa B21150%78.578.5+0.0
11 Lusitania1010%74.080.0-6.0
12 Maia2020%75.089.0-14.0
13 Sangalhos2020%67.582.0-14.5
14 Santo Andre2020%71.093.5-22.5
15 Academica2020%56.580.5-24.0
16 CB Queluz2020%66.092.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2716181374
Ginasio1725182181
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