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Illinois (Chi.) vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-74
41-32 35-42
Position#155
Record11-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#311
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Indiana State
15 Dec 2026
ILLI v INDI
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
ILLI76
INDI74
01 Feb 2025
ILLI83
INDI88
24 Jan 2024
ILLI83
INDI89
15 Feb 2023
ILLI60
INDI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#216
L
76-88 OT
76
88
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
63-59 OT
63
59
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
76-49
76
49
+27
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
33-40
50-24
52-40
40-36
37-45
32-31
27-35
31-21
39-36
28-25
23-26
29-32
40-29
34-22
40-45
34-20
42-29
39-28
46-42
141.3Avg total
75.1Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.469.9145.3+5.552%
Season at home (10)78.864.0142.8+14.870%
Season away (11)72.475.3147.6-2.936%
Last 10 (10)75.166.2141.3+8.970%
Last 5 (5)73.461.2134.6+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.781.3149.0-13.70%
vs Similar (13)68.270.8139.1-2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)75.168.8143.8+6.362%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
99-108 OT
99
108
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
33-38
25-42
40-43
36-41
35-30
38-33
28-42
39-33
33-41
38-35
31-37
51-42
43-47
37-47
44-38
36-34
32-41
24-26
38-50
157.6Avg total
75.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.575.1150.7+0.443%
Season at home (10)81.571.3152.8+10.270%
Season away (11)70.178.6148.7-8.518%
Last 10 (10)75.781.9157.6-6.220%
Last 5 (5)74.879.4154.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.480.8155.2-6.531%
vs Similar (11)76.875.0151.8+1.845%
vs Weaker (6)82.869.5152.3+13.350%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -5.0-5.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -5.0-5.0
Illinois (Chi.)Indiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#216
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A25/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
35.5Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.065.5+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.529.364.8+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)31.434.766.1-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.527.062.5+8.590%-
Last 5 (5)32.825.458.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.040.373.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (13)31.533.264.6-1.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)34.729.564.2+5.269%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H24/01
NCAA
73.4Avg total
36.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.673.0-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.033.373.3+6.771%-
Last 30 away (16)33.239.572.8-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.973.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.874.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.739.374.0-4.638%-
vs Similar (11)36.834.471.2+2.555%-
vs Weaker (6)39.334.874.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
5
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26ABradley85-70
21/01/26HEvansville76-49
17/01/26HDrake74-67
14/01/26ANorthern Iowa69-61
10/01/26AIllinois State63-59 OT
08/01/26HSouthern Illinois70-57
04/01/26AValparaiso59-66
02/01/26HMurray State77-81
29/12/25HIllinois Tech102-64
21/12/25ACharlotte76-88 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HDrake62-76
22/01/26ABradley68-75
17/01/26AMurray State81-85
15/01/26HIllinois State94-89
10/01/26HEvansville69-72
04/01/26ADrake72-74
02/01/26ANorthern Iowa66-75
30/12/25HBelmont81-80 OT
21/12/25AIllinois State65-85
19/12/25HBradley99-108 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%70%36%
Points / game75.478.872.4
Allowed / game69.964.075.3
Point differential+5.5+14.8-2.9
Avg total145.3142.8147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLWLWL70%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%70%18%
Points / game75.581.570.1
Allowed / game75.171.378.6
Point differential+0.4+10.2-8.5
Avg total150.7152.8148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2218482%81.071.1+9.9
2 Murray State2116576%87.378.6+8.8
3 Illinois State2114767%77.867.0+10.8
4 Bradley2214864%77.773.3+4.4
5 Northern Iowa2113862%67.860.5+7.3
6 Illinois (Chi.)21111052%75.469.9+5.5
7 Drake21111052%77.172.1+5.0
8 Valparaiso20101050%70.869.7+1.1
9 Indiana State2191243%75.575.1+0.4
10 Southern Illinois2081240%75.573.2+2.2
11 Evansville2051525%67.273.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)413576
Indiana State324274
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