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Illinois (Chi.) vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-88
41-52 42-36
Position#154
Record15-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#254
Record10-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Indiana State
15 Dec 2026
ILLI v INDI
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
ILLI76
INDI74
01 Feb 2025
ILLI83
INDI88
24 Jan 2024
ILLI83
INDI89
15 Feb 2023
ILLI60
INDI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H01/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A04/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A18/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
93-70
93
70
+23
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
40-32
32-33
42-37
43-46
44-46
36-27
44-36
34-25
26-36
33-36
43-40
38-38
43-36
47-32
31-35
46-46
39-43
55-39
38-31
155.4Avg total
80.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.174.0155.1+7.168%
Season at home (11)82.974.5157.5+8.464%
Season away (11)79.473.5152.8+5.973%
Last 10 (10)80.874.6155.4+6.270%
Last 5 (5)86.878.6165.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.879.6157.3-1.844%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.077.9151.9-3.950%
vs Weaker (5)86.069.0155.0+17.080%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
L
83-103
83
103
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
A09/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-118
65
118
-53
A16/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-52
36-51
34-30
48-52
31-36
35-26
40-45
46-41
32-42
47-42
33-66
32-52
25-32
28-39
40-40
41-45
26-38
30-36
25-36
47-31
159.1Avg total
73.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.679.4159.0+0.245%
Season at home (11)79.771.4151.1+8.445%
Season away (11)79.587.5167.0-7.945%
Last 10 (10)73.985.2159.1-11.320%
Last 5 (5)65.483.0148.4-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.087.2159.2-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.683.7166.3-1.154%
vs Weaker (8)86.161.2147.4+24.9100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -8.4-8.42nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -2.5-2.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -8.4-8.42nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -2.5-2.5
Illinois (Chi.)Indiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H01/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H16/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A30/01
NCAA
75.4Avg total
39.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.973.4+1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.437.276.6+2.236%-
Last 30 away (16)35.934.870.6+1.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.775.4+4.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.282.0+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.835.070.8+0.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.937.771.6-3.87%-
vs Weaker (5)45.633.278.8+12.480%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A09/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A16/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H30/01
NCAA
75.0Avg total
33.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.475.6-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.635.171.7+1.647%-
Last 30 away (11)38.044.382.3-6.39%-
Last 10 (10)33.341.775.0-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)29.842.472.2-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.442.076.4-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.440.876.2-5.58%-
vs Weaker (8)42.429.672.0+12.888%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
4
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25ABradley93-70
25/01/25HSouthern Illinois85-89
23/01/25AEvansville78-67
18/01/25AValparaiso81-74
16/01/25HMurray State97-93 OT
11/01/25HBradley60-61
08/01/25AMissouri State80-63
04/01/25ABelmont87-92
01/01/25HDrake74-70
29/12/24AIllinois State73-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HMissouri State72-67
25/01/25HNorthern Iowa56-74
22/01/25AIllinois State81-85
18/01/25HDrake53-71
16/01/25ABradley65-118
11/01/25HBelmont79-84
09/01/25AValparaiso95-98 OT
04/01/25AEvansville66-62
02/01/25HBradley89-90 OT
29/12/24AOhio State83-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%64%73%
Points / game81.182.979.4
Allowed / game74.074.573.5
Point differential+7.1+8.4+5.9
Avg total155.1157.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%36%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %14%18%9%
Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeLLLLW45%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game79.679.779.5
Allowed / game79.471.487.5
Point differential+0.2+8.4-7.9
Avg total159.0151.1167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)20% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2220291%71.358.0+13.3
2 Bradley2218482%79.768.3+11.4
3 Illinois (Chi.)2215768%81.174.0+7.1
4 Belmont2215768%81.778.8+2.9
5 Northern Iowa2213959%74.767.6+7.1
6 Illinois State2213959%76.471.4+5.0
7 Murray State22111150%74.570.6+3.9
8 Valparaiso22101245%76.874.0+2.8
9 Indiana State22101245%79.679.4+0.2
10 Southern Illinois23101343%73.274.2-1.0
11 Evansville2281436%65.670.1-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)414283
Indiana State523688
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