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Evansville vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-74
20-25 58-49
Position#319
Record7-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#214
Record11-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Evansville v Murray State
07 Jan 2026
EVAN69
MURR79
29 Jan 2025
EVAN78
MURR74
06 Jan 2024
EVAN59
MURR81
01 Jan 2023
EVAN61
MURR78
21 Dec 2019
EVAN78
MURR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
L
43-80
43
80
-37
A21/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H09/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H23/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
17-37
26-43
23-20
34-20
42-31
26-22
36-31
26-35
34-30
35-21
20-25
20-38
18-32
38-41
37-39
45-46
32-47
35-31
44-26
34-42
127.9Avg total
62.2Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)65.070.0135.0-4.933%
Season at home (11)73.668.1141.7+5.545%
Season away (10)55.672.0127.6-16.420%
Last 10 (10)62.265.7127.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)64.673.4138.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)61.374.0135.3-12.814%
vs Similar (5)68.464.0132.4+4.460%
vs Weaker (2)97.065.0162.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A24/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H25/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H18/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
42-33
34-36
37-32
25-33
43-41
26-26
40-33
33-27
38-41
26-21
32-26
36-33
40-43
35-41
26-33
34-32
40-32
37-55
40-40
146.9Avg total
72.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.670.3144.9+4.352%
Season at home (12)72.264.9137.1+7.258%
Season away (9)77.877.4155.2+0.344%
Last 10 (10)72.974.0146.9-1.150%
Last 5 (5)72.675.4148.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.374.1144.4-3.929%
vs Similar (17)69.873.5143.4-3.741%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.269.6146.8+7.680%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
EvansvilleMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
L
17-37
17
37
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
23-20
23
20
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A01/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
18-32
18
32
-14
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H23/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A25/01
NCAA
62.1Avg total
30.3Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.264.1-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.231.967.1+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)27.134.461.6-7.319%-
Last 10 (10)30.331.862.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.864.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.134.663.7-5.536%-
vs Similar (5)32.430.462.8+2.060%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.074.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H03/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A16/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H25/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
31.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.767.5-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.233.265.5-1.035%-
Last 30 away (13)33.536.570.1-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)31.534.265.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.470.0-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.639.370.9-7.70%-
vs Similar (17)31.833.965.8-2.141%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)33.633.867.4-0.260%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Evansville wins
5
Murray State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AValparaiso78-68
23/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)67-78
18/01/25HBelmont82-85
15/01/25ANorthern Iowa56-73
11/01/25ADrake40-63
09/01/25HIllinois State69-51
04/01/25HIndiana State62-66
01/01/25ASouthern Illinois68-53
29/12/24HMissouri State57-40
21/12/24ABall State43-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HBelmont77-95
23/01/25ASouthern Illinois74-64
18/01/25HBradley61-74
16/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)93-97 OT
11/01/25HValparaiso58-47
09/01/25ANorthern Iowa71-68
05/01/25ADrake66-59
03/01/25HIllinois State68-74
25/12/24HLoyola Chicago71-68
24/12/24ACharlotte90-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLWLL45%
AwayLWLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%45%20%
Points / game65.073.655.6
Allowed / game70.068.172.0
Point differential-4.9+5.5-16.4
Avg total135.0141.7127.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL52%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%58%44%
Points / game74.672.277.8
Allowed / game70.364.977.4
Point differential+4.3+7.2+0.3
Avg total144.9137.1155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2119290%71.157.7+13.4
2 Bradley2118386%80.267.1+13.0
3 Belmont2115671%81.978.7+3.2
4 Illinois (Chi.)2114767%80.674.2+6.4
5 Northern Iowa2213959%74.767.6+7.1
6 Illinois State2112957%76.271.0+5.1
7 Murray State21111052%74.670.3+4.3
8 Valparaiso22101245%76.874.0+2.8
9 Indiana State22101245%79.679.4+0.2
10 Southern Illinois22101245%73.574.2-0.6
11 Evansville2171433%65.070.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville205878
Murray State254974
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