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Illinois State vs Valparaiso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#311
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#279
Record3-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Illinois State v Valparaiso
16 Jan 2027
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
ILLI86
VALP64
01 Feb 2025
ILLI86
VALP78
14 Jan 2024
ILLI50
VALP59
21 Jan 2023
ILLI51
VALP71
09 Feb 2022
ILLI78
VALP75
24 Jan 2021
ILLI66
VALP70
23 Jan 2021
ILLI60
VALP69
03 Jan 2021
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
02 Jan 2021
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
ILLI62
VALP65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#338
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A29/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A06/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A25/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#200
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
177-108
177
108
+69
H02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A05/12
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A13/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#435
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H15/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A27/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
37-33
36-38
29-37
25-42
42-52
42-30
40-42
83-50
94-58
31-44
34-32
36-50
30-32
36-30
55-32
23-39
37-51
22-40
33-46
160.4Avg total
79.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.983.8166.6-0.938%
Season at home (3)116.780.7197.3+36.0100%
Season away (5)62.685.6148.2-23.00%
Last 10 (10)79.980.5160.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)67.479.2146.6-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)63.674.0137.7-10.417%
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.070.0144.0+4.075%
vs Weaker (2)134.085.0219.0+49.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#217
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A02/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Judson
#478
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H06/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A12/12
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#383
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H17/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-36
46-32
40-38
49-44
34-34
37-43
19-28
31-38
34-23
27-45
39-23
46-22
33-22
47-36
30-44
49-40
45-32
44-39
25-26
32-45
143.0Avg total
73.5Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.567.5139.0+4.038%
Season at home (3)84.758.0142.7+26.7100%
Season away (5)63.673.2136.8-9.60%
Last 10 (10)73.569.5143.0+4.050%
Last 5 (5)78.065.8143.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.671.3135.9-6.714%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.371.1141.5-0.840%
vs Weaker (8)75.663.1138.8+12.5100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
Illinois StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#338
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A25/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#200
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H28/11
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
83-50
83
50
+33
H02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A13/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#435
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A29/12
NCAA
75.8Avg total
36.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.635.167.8-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.129.965.0+5.262%-
Last 30 away (17)30.839.169.9-8.418%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)29.640.670.2-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)29.734.664.2-4.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (2)59.540.099.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A28/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#217
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A05/12
NCAA
Judson
#478
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A12/12
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#383
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A19/12
NCAA
62.7Avg total
32.1Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.763.7-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.630.063.6+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)28.935.063.9-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.130.662.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.463.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.332.762.0-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.834.964.7-5.127%-
vs Weaker (8)35.028.463.4+6.688%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
16/02/20Illinois State v Valparaiso62-65
02/02/20Valparaiso v Illinois State80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/20ALoyola Chicago55-86
27/12/20ALoyola Chicago60-90
15/12/20HChicago State91-62
13/12/20ABall State66-82
05/12/20AMurray State65-76
02/12/20HGreenville177-108
28/11/20HUMass Lowell82-72
25/11/20AOhio State67-94
06/03/20ADrake65-75
29/02/20AEvansville71-60
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/20AToledo57-71
17/12/20HPurdue Northwest89-71
12/12/20ACentral Michigan79-84
10/12/20HSiu Edwardsville80-58
06/12/20HJudson85-45
05/12/20APurdue61-68
02/12/20AIllinois (Chi.)50-66
28/11/20AVanderbilt71-77
07/03/20AMissouri State89-82
07/03/20ALoyola Chicago74-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%100%0%
Points / game82.9116.762.6
Allowed / game83.880.785.6
Point differential-0.9+36.0-23.0
Avg total166.6197.3148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL38%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%100%0%
Points / game71.584.763.6
Allowed / game67.558.073.2
Point differential+4.0+26.7-9.6
Avg total139.0142.7136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake11110100%84.760.8+23.9
2 Belmont1110191%79.167.3+11.8
3 Southern Illinois87188%77.166.8+10.4
4 Illinois (Chi.)75271%71.667.6+4.0
5 Bradley96367%74.959.3+15.6
6 Murray State94544%81.668.6+13.0
7 Evansville94544%66.170.2-4.1
8 Valparaiso83538%71.567.5+4.0
9 Illinois State83538%82.983.8-0.9
10 Indiana State83538%68.673.1-4.5
11 Northern Iowa82625%74.173.9+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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