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Illinois State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 50-59
20-28 30-31
Position#240
Record8-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#355
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois State v Valparaiso
16 Jan 2027
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
ILLI86
VALP64
01 Feb 2025
ILLI86
VALP78
14 Jan 2024
ILLI50
VALP59
21 Jan 2023
ILLI51
VALP71
09 Feb 2022
ILLI78
VALP75
24 Jan 2021
ILLI66
VALP70
23 Jan 2021
ILLI60
VALP69
03 Jan 2021
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
02 Jan 2021
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
ILLI62
VALP65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A30/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
39-28
35-33
41-39
30-26
32-33
22-27
36-37
28-35
47-30
42-28
43-36
30-45
40-51
28-47
43-41
29-31
35-40
34-34
26-33
140.0Avg total
69.0Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.969.2137.1-1.250%
Season at home (9)69.462.7132.1+6.878%
Season away (7)66.077.6143.6-11.614%
Last 10 (10)69.071.0140.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)70.077.2147.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.376.8141.1-12.57%
vs Similar (12)67.867.5135.2+0.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)78.558.5137.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
29-46
34-43
34-34
22-37
45-34
23-37
27-34
32-33
30-30
27-35
34-44
29-42
49-40
29-44
32-42
36-42
28-28
24-44
44-33
140.3Avg total
64.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.072.3139.3-5.325%
Season at home (10)68.169.9138.0-1.840%
Season away (6)65.276.3141.5-11.20%
Last 10 (10)64.475.9140.3-11.50%
Last 5 (5)66.478.8145.2-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.074.7140.8-8.715%
vs Similar (6)71.270.3141.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)78.266.2144.5+12.075%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -10.2-10.22nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -1.3-1.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -10.2-10.22nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -1.3-1.3
Illinois StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A30/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A11/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
30.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.334.966.2-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.330.361.6+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)31.339.670.9-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)30.834.265.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.069.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.437.967.3-8.520%-
vs Similar (12)32.232.965.2-0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.528.064.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H11/01
NCAA
68.6Avg total
29.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.734.767.4-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.232.465.6+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)32.237.369.5-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)29.239.468.6-10.20%-
Last 5 (5)29.041.470.4-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.736.667.3-5.925%-
vs Similar (6)34.034.568.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois State wins
7
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24ABelmont60-67
07/01/24HSouthern Illinois64-71
03/01/24ADrake71-88
30/12/23AKentucky70-96
22/12/23HSoutheast Missouri State85-64
17/12/23HNorth Dakota St75-65
10/12/23HNorfolk State58-64
07/12/23HNorthern Kentucky62-59
03/12/23HMurray State76-72
01/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)69-64
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HSouthern Illinois68-77
07/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)64-70
04/01/24HBradley61-86
29/12/23AElon78-82
19/12/23HSamford61-79
16/12/23HChicago State62-63
09/12/23AVirginia Tech50-71
07/12/23ACentral Michigan67-71
02/12/23ABelmont68-77
30/11/23HDrake65-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWLWWL78%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%78%14%
Points / game67.969.466.0
Allowed / game69.262.777.6
Point differential-1.2+6.8-11.6
Avg total137.1132.1143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game67.068.165.2
Allowed / game72.369.976.3
Point differential-5.3-1.8-11.2
Avg total139.3138.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1714382%86.472.3+14.1
2 Drake1714382%78.968.5+10.4
3 Southern Illinois1712571%74.164.5+9.6
4 Bradley1712571%74.666.1+8.6
5 Belmont1711665%78.577.7+0.8
6 Evansville1710759%76.173.5+2.6
7 Northern Iowa168850%75.572.3+3.2
8 Illinois State168850%67.969.2-1.2
9 Illinois (Chi.)178947%69.665.3+4.4
10 Murray State167944%73.370.2+3.1
11 Valparaiso1641225%67.072.3-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State203050
Valparaiso283159
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