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Illinois vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 84-44
47-19 37-25
Position#35
Record19-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game68.2
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Northwestern
USA
Position#251
Record10-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois v Northwestern
04 Feb 2026
ILLI84
NORT44
26 Jan 2025
ILLI83
NORT74
02 Jan 2024
ILLI96
NORT66
23 Feb 2023
ILLI66
NORT62
13 Feb 2022
ILLI73
NORT66
16 Feb 2021
ILLI73
NORT66
18 Jan 2020
ILLI75
NORT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#210
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A24/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-25
44-30
40-26
33-39
43-16
38-39
35-24
40-45
38-33
41-35
34-34
43-33
47-30
42-40
39-43
49-39
33-26
42-40
33-39
45-30
147.1Avg total
80.5Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.668.2152.9+16.486%
Season at home (15)87.167.1154.1+20.080%
Season away (7)79.470.7150.1+8.7100%
Last 10 (10)80.566.6147.1+13.9100%
Last 5 (5)81.470.8152.2+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.099.0165.0-33.00%
vs Similar (8)81.177.2158.4+3.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.167.4154.5+19.795%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#55
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H17/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A22/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H30/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
49-32
34-34
44-50
35-28
31-48
35-33
32-34
33-38
35-41
29-34
29-43
31-28
43-40
31-41
33-30
45-40
49-33
27-39
35-37
146.0Avg total
71.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.672.0148.6+4.745%
Season at home (14)79.870.2150.0+9.657%
Season away (8)71.175.0146.1-3.925%
Last 10 (10)71.974.1146.0-2.230%
Last 5 (5)70.473.0143.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.375.8145.1-6.59%
vs Similar (13)72.867.2140.1+5.662%
vs Weaker (6)86.565.5152.0+21.083%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -0.8-0.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -0.8-0.8
IllinoisNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#210
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A01/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
38.8Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.633.874.4+6.867%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.032.575.4+10.575%-
Last 30 away (10)35.936.572.4-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.829.668.4+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.471.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.055.589.5-21.50%-
vs Similar (8)35.538.273.8-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.329.973.2+13.490%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#55
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H17/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A22/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H01/02
NCAA
67.4Avg total
33.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.068.3+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.331.869.1+5.576%-
Last 30 away (13)32.534.767.2-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)33.134.367.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)32.636.469.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.237.070.2-3.836%-
vs Similar (13)34.630.765.3+3.969%-
vs Weaker (6)40.330.871.2+9.5100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illinois wins
3
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Northwestern v Illinois68-79
26/01/25Illinois v Northwestern83-74
07/12/24Northwestern v Illinois70-66 OT
25/01/24Northwestern v Illinois96-91 OT
03/01/24Illinois v Northwestern96-66
24/02/23Illinois v Northwestern66-62
05/01/23Northwestern v Illinois73-60
13/02/22Illinois v Northwestern73-66
29/01/22Northwestern v Illinois56-59
17/02/21Illinois v Northwestern73-66
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ANebraska78-69
30/01/26HWashington75-66
24/01/26APurdue88-82
22/01/26HMaryland89-70
17/01/26HMinnesota77-67
15/01/26ANorthwestern79-68
11/01/26AIowa75-69
09/01/26HRutgers81-55
04/01/26APenn State73-65
29/12/25HSouthern Univ.90-55
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HWashington62-76
30/01/26HPenn State94-73
24/01/26AUCLA64-71
22/01/26AUSC74-68
17/01/26HNebraska58-77
15/01/26HIllinois68-79
11/01/26ARutgers75-77 OT
08/01/26AMichigan State66-76
03/01/26HMinnesota78-84
30/12/25HHoward80-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game84.687.179.4
Allowed / game68.267.170.7
Point differential+16.4+20.0+8.7
Avg total152.9154.1150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLLLWL57%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %45%57%25%
Points / game76.679.871.1
Allowed / game72.070.275.0
Point differential+4.7+9.6-3.9
Avg total148.6150.0146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2120195%90.568.9+21.6
2 Nebraska2220291%80.066.0+14.0
3 Illinois2219386%84.668.2+16.4
4 Michigan State2319483%78.964.9+14.0
5 Purdue2218482%83.669.0+14.7
6 Iowa2116576%78.063.0+15.0
7 USC2317674%81.475.3+6.1
8 Wisconsin2216673%83.275.0+8.2
9 UCLA2316770%78.969.7+9.2
10 Ohio State2114767%82.273.5+8.7
11 Indiana2315865%81.271.0+10.2
12 Washington22121055%78.372.8+5.5
13 Minnesota23111248%72.069.0+3.0
14 Northwestern22101245%76.672.0+4.7
15 Penn State22101245%76.578.4-1.9
16 Rutgers2391439%70.276.3-6.1
17 Maryland2181338%72.579.7-7.2
18 Oregon2281436%72.074.5-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois473784
Northwestern192544
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