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Indiana State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 51-78
24-34 27-44
Position#57
Record18-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Position#196
Record13-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Indiana State v Missouri State
29 Jan 2025
INDI72
MISS67
08 Mar 2024
INDI75
MISS59
16 Jan 2024
INDI88
MISS66
26 Feb 2023
INDI62
MISS66
25 Jan 2022
INDI76
MISS72
06 Mar 2020
INDI51
MISS78
16 Feb 2020
INDI58
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#138
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
68-39
68
39
+29
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A27/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
26-23
46-38
32-30
43-23
25-16
23-32
44-42
29-33
32-39
31-38
27-33
40-23
27-41
20-26
44-36
45-37
32-31
37-27
34-31
130.1Avg total
66.9Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.364.2133.5+5.072%
Season at home (14)68.658.3126.9+10.493%
Season away (11)70.171.8141.9-1.745%
Last 10 (10)66.963.2130.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)67.464.6132.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.567.2137.8+3.275%
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.464.6132.0+2.860%
vs Weaker (10)71.463.6135.0+7.880%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#29
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
97-62
97
62
+35
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-51
35-44
38-46
30-32
42-26
38-34
41-43
25-25
52-30
45-32
38-31
33-27
32-41
40-31
41-23
33-39
39-41
35-48
39-31
45-28
147.3Avg total
75.9Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.069.0140.0+2.050%
Season at home (12)75.265.7140.8+9.575%
Season away (14)67.471.9139.4-4.529%
Last 10 (10)75.971.4147.3+4.550%
Last 5 (5)76.470.2146.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.879.8144.6-15.020%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.170.7142.8+1.533%
vs Weaker (7)73.159.6132.7+13.6100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +1.9+1.9
Indiana StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#138
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H29/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
34.6Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.630.564.1+3.061%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.826.961.7+7.980%-
Last 30 away (13)32.234.766.8-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.065.6+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.264.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.226.559.8+6.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.532.968.4+2.660%-
vs Weaker (10)33.030.263.2+2.860%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#29
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H29/02
NCAA
75.6Avg total
39.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.133.267.2+0.952%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.231.467.6+4.971%-
Last 30 away (15)32.134.966.9-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.375.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.471.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.237.066.2-7.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.933.969.9+2.047%-
vs Weaker (7)32.628.761.3+3.957%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana State wins
1
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20HValparaiso71-58
27/02/20ASouthern Illinois77-68
23/02/20AEvansville64-62
21/02/20HNorthern Iowa67-64
16/02/20HMissouri State58-71
13/02/20ABradley61-72
09/02/20AIllinois State67-74
05/02/20HLoyola Chicago68-39
01/02/20AMissouri State78-68
30/01/20HDrake58-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20HSouthern Illinois84-59
26/02/20AValparaiso74-89
22/02/20HLoyola Chicago74-62
20/02/20ABradley79-83 OT
16/02/20AIndiana State71-58
13/02/20HDrake97-62
09/02/20ASouthern Illinois66-68
06/02/20HIllinois State80-60
01/02/20HIndiana State68-78
30/01/20ANorthern Iowa66-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %72%93%45%
Points / game69.368.670.1
Allowed / game64.258.371.8
Point differential+5.0+10.4-1.7
Avg total133.5126.9141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Missouri State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %50%75%29%
Points / game71.075.267.4
Allowed / game69.065.771.9
Point differential+2.0+9.5-4.5
Avg total140.0140.8139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%58%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)100% (1)29% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2519676%75.665.6+10.0
2 Belmont2821775%78.168.3+9.8
3 Murray State2619773%74.664.9+9.7
4 Indiana State2518772%69.364.2+5.0
5 Bradley28181064%70.666.2+4.4
6 Drake29171259%68.168.2-0.2
7 Illinois (Chi.)29161355%70.868.4+2.3
8 Southern Illinois26141254%62.462.0+0.4
9 Valparaiso29151452%71.170.3+0.9
10 Illinois State2882029%65.470.1-4.7
11 Evansville2862221%66.375.0-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2824486%68.954.1+14.9
2 New Mexico State2723485%71.959.1+12.8
3 Louisiana Tech2518772%73.665.6+8.0
4 Sam Houston St.26161062%78.573.5+5.0
5 Western Kentucky25151060%73.872.0+1.8
6 Delaware25151060%74.172.6+1.4
7 Missouri State26131350%71.069.0+2.0
8 UTEP26121446%65.766.1-0.4
9 Jacksonville State28121643%70.769.0+1.6
10 Middle Tenn. St.2542116%68.074.6-6.7
11 Kennesaw State261254%55.074.6-19.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State242751
Missouri State344478
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