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Indiana State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-72
41-29 35-43
Position#291
Record8-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#49
Record15-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Indiana State v Missouri State
29 Jan 2025
INDI72
MISS67
08 Mar 2024
INDI75
MISS59
16 Jan 2024
INDI88
MISS66
26 Feb 2023
INDI62
MISS66
25 Jan 2022
INDI76
MISS72
06 Mar 2020
INDI51
MISS78
16 Feb 2020
INDI58
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H04/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H18/12
NCAA
Oakland City
#379
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Midway
#624
W
107-51
107
51
+56
H30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
32-29
43-34
27-43
39-23
28-20
37-33
41-36
53-25
54-26
43-41
33-30
38-30
34-42
33-30
23-34
31-32
24-31
40-35
33-40
138.6Avg total
72.5Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.370.4143.7+2.944%
Season at home (10)74.565.7140.2+8.860%
Season away (8)71.976.2148.1-4.425%
Last 10 (10)72.566.1138.6+6.450%
Last 5 (5)66.870.6137.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.276.7141.9-11.510%
vs Similar (12)67.162.8129.8+4.367%
vs Weaker (6)78.559.5138.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#294
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H19/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Evangel
#594
W
103-56
103
56
+47
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-30
61-40
36-33
22-42
52-30
51-26
23-29
38-27
41-33
30-36
34-33
50-52
36-34
45-42
34-26
40-31
44-34
44-29
35-33
44-36
148.1Avg total
80.5Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.167.5146.6+11.671%
Season at home (13)81.268.7149.8+12.569%
Season away (8)75.865.6141.4+10.175%
Last 10 (10)80.567.6148.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)81.270.0151.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Similar (9)71.063.0134.0+8.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.767.7146.4+11.074%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
Indiana StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A14/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#268
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Oakland City
#379
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Midway
#624
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
39.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.967.9+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.231.767.9+4.681%-
Last 30 away (14)33.434.467.8-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.432.271.6+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.670.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.537.872.3-3.340%-
vs Similar (12)32.630.362.9+2.367%-
vs Weaker (6)39.531.270.7+8.383%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#294
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H19/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/12
NCAA
Evangel
#594
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A22/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
38.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.430.467.7+7.080%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.729.966.6+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)38.231.069.2+7.285%-
Last 10 (10)38.031.569.5+6.590%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.068.6+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.040.077.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (9)33.829.263.0+4.678%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.330.468.7+7.984%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana State wins
4
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HValparaiso73-75
20/01/22ASouthern Illinois55-63
16/01/22HLoyola Chicago56-64
12/01/22ANorthern Iowa74-80 OT
02/01/22HBradley76-71
30/12/21HMidway107-51
20/12/21HOakland City78-69
18/12/21HAlabama A&M Bulldogs67-43
14/12/21ANorth Dakota St70-77
04/12/21HMiami (Ohio)69-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22ALoyola Chicago79-69
20/01/22HIllinois State88-63
15/01/22AValparaiso74-57
13/01/22HSouthern Illinois81-76
08/01/22HNorthern Iowa84-85
06/01/22ABradley71-69
03/01/22HDrake61-56
30/12/21HEvangel103-56
23/12/21ASt. Marys (CA)58-75
19/12/21HCentral Arkansas106-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game73.374.571.9
Allowed / game70.465.776.2
Point differential+2.9+8.8-4.4
Avg total143.7140.2148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %71%69%75%
Points / game79.181.275.8
Allowed / game67.568.765.6
Point differential+11.6+12.5+10.1
Avg total146.6149.8141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%46%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2018290%82.562.9+19.6
2 Belmont2015575%81.370.6+10.7
3 Drake2014670%74.665.8+8.8
4 Southern Illinois1910953%65.161.4+3.7
5 Bradley20101050%72.267.0+5.2
6 Northern Iowa189950%74.970.8+4.1
7 Valparaiso20101050%73.070.2+2.8
8 Illinois State20101050%78.276.0+2.2
9 Indiana State1881044%73.370.4+2.9
10 Illinois (Chi.)1771041%70.472.1-1.8
11 Evansville1851328%59.368.6-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State1916384%75.166.9+8.2
2 Louisiana Tech1915479%78.768.0+10.7
3 Missouri State2115671%79.167.5+11.6
4 Liberty1913668%73.560.0+13.5
5 Jacksonville State1913668%76.267.6+8.6
6 Middle Tenn. St.1812667%73.364.5+8.8
7 Delaware2114767%75.371.2+4.1
8 UTEP1911858%68.464.6+3.8
9 Sam Houston St.2112957%70.664.0+6.7
10 Western Kentucky1910953%76.469.6+6.8
11 Kennesaw State189950%77.168.8+8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State413576
Missouri State294372
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