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Indiana State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-67
25-36 47-31
Position#254
Record9-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#334
Record7-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Indiana State v Missouri State
29 Jan 2025
INDI72
MISS67
08 Mar 2024
INDI75
MISS59
16 Jan 2024
INDI88
MISS66
26 Feb 2023
INDI62
MISS66
25 Jan 2022
INDI76
MISS72
06 Mar 2020
INDI51
MISS78
16 Feb 2020
INDI58
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#662
W
101-53
101
53
+48
H21/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
83-103
83
103
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
A09/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-118
65
118
-53
A16/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
56-19
45-34
47-52
36-51
34-30
48-52
31-36
35-26
40-45
46-41
32-42
47-42
33-66
32-52
25-32
28-39
40-40
41-45
26-38
30-36
160.6Avg total
76.8Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.080.0160.0+0.043%
Season at home (10)80.571.8152.3+8.740%
Season away (11)79.587.5167.0-7.945%
Last 10 (10)76.883.8160.6-7.020%
Last 5 (5)66.886.4153.2-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.087.2159.2-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.585.1168.6-1.650%
vs Weaker (9)86.463.0149.4+23.4100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
37-31
20-23
20-34
34-35
38-38
28-30
32-39
27-36
36-44
27-35
45-37
18-35
33-38
31-25
37-49
31-37
37-42
25-35
30-20
134.8Avg total
63.0Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.672.6142.2-3.033%
Season at home (11)71.671.8143.5-0.245%
Season away (10)67.473.4140.8-6.020%
Last 10 (10)63.071.8134.8-8.810%
Last 5 (5)65.476.6142.0-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.372.5136.7-8.218%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.874.7146.5-2.931%
vs Weaker (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -2.7-2.7
Indiana StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#662
W
56-19
56
19
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A09/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A16/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H25/01
NCAA
76.4Avg total
36.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.576.5-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.035.273.2+2.853%-
Last 30 away (11)38.044.382.3-6.39%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.076.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)31.243.674.8-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.442.076.4-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.241.277.5-5.08%-
vs Weaker (9)43.330.774.0+12.789%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
18-35
18
35
-17
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
58.8Avg total
27.2Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.963.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.333.364.6-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)30.932.463.3-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)27.231.658.8-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)26.433.459.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.632.462.0-2.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.433.564.9-2.138%-
vs Weaker (1)38.041.079.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Indiana State wins
5
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HNorthern Iowa56-74
22/01/25AIllinois State81-85
18/01/25HDrake53-71
16/01/25ABradley65-118
11/01/25HBelmont79-84
09/01/25AValparaiso95-98 OT
04/01/25AEvansville66-62
02/01/25HBradley89-90 OT
29/12/24AOhio State83-103
21/12/24HSt. Louis College of Pharmacy101-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HDrake62-69 OT
22/01/25ANorthern Iowa68-79
18/01/25AIllinois State68-74
16/01/25HSouthern Illinois51-73
12/01/25ASouthern Illinois78-88 OT
08/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-80
05/01/25ABradley60-69
02/01/25HValparaiso72-73
29/12/24AEvansville40-57
22/12/24HUC Santa Barbara68-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%40%45%
Points / game80.080.579.5
Allowed / game80.071.887.5
Point differential+0.0+8.7-7.9
Avg total160.0152.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL45%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%45%20%
Points / game69.671.667.4
Allowed / game72.671.873.4
Point differential-3.0-0.2-6.0
Avg total142.2143.5140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %19%18%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2018290%71.458.0+13.4
2 Bradley2118386%80.267.1+13.0
3 Belmont2115671%81.978.7+3.2
4 Illinois (Chi.)2114767%80.674.2+6.4
5 Northern Iowa2113862%75.867.7+8.1
6 Illinois State2112957%76.271.0+5.1
7 Murray State21111052%74.670.3+4.3
8 Valparaiso22101245%76.874.0+2.8
9 Southern Illinois22101245%73.574.2-0.6
10 Indiana State2191243%80.080.0+0.0
11 Evansville2171433%65.070.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2016480%78.561.4+17.1
2 UTEP2015575%73.468.0+5.3
3 Louisiana Tech2115671%76.468.3+8.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.2014670%77.670.8+6.8
5 Jacksonville State2013765%77.069.2+7.7
6 Kennesaw State2012860%78.974.3+4.5
7 Western Kentucky2012860%76.875.0+1.8
8 New Mexico State2011955%72.067.2+4.8
9 Delaware21111052%77.977.2+0.7
10 Sam Houston St.2181338%77.177.1-0.0
11 Florida International2071335%72.071.8+0.2
12 Missouri State2171433%69.672.6-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State254772
Missouri State363167
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