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Indiana State vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-74
21-43 51-31
Position#311
Record10-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#102
Record18-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Indiana State v Murray State
19 Dec 2026
INDI v MURR
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
INDI72
MURR74
18 Dec 2024
INDI84
MURR74
03 Mar 2024
INDI89
MURR77
04 Feb 2023
INDI99
MURR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#271
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
33-41
38-35
31-37
51-42
43-47
37-47
44-38
36-34
32-41
24-26
38-50
32-41
42-35
37-27
29-39
46-29
38-34
32-37
33-43
150.7Avg total
74.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.274.9150.2+0.340%
Season at home (12)79.372.4151.8+6.958%
Season away (13)71.577.2148.7-5.823%
Last 10 (10)74.176.6150.7-2.520%
Last 5 (5)71.474.2145.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.279.5152.8-6.331%
vs Similar (10)75.276.3151.5-1.130%
vs Weaker (7)83.068.6151.6+14.457%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
90-101
90
101
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
86-103
86
103
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
60-89
60
89
-29
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-30
37-39
45-36
47-43
47-37
38-44
41-44
49-57
38-37
38-44
29-35
36-35
40-54
46-49
40-33
41-41
43-34
48-47
31-39
29-50
163.3Avg total
80.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.379.5164.8+5.869%
Season at home (15)85.174.1159.1+11.087%
Season away (11)85.586.9172.5-1.445%
Last 10 (10)80.582.8163.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)76.683.4160.0-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.387.3166.6-8.029%
vs Similar (16)83.077.9160.9+5.169%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.968.3156.1+19.6100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -4.0-4.0
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -4.0-4.0
Indiana StateMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#271
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
37.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.972.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.333.372.6+6.064%-
Last 30 away (16)33.938.272.1-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.172.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.066.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.538.372.8-3.838%-
vs Similar (10)36.334.170.4+2.250%-
vs Weaker (7)40.334.074.3+6.371%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/02
NCAA
77.5Avg total
39.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.275.1+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.933.374.2+7.682%-
Last 30 away (13)36.340.076.3-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.977.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.075.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.140.375.4-5.157%-
vs Similar (16)38.336.875.1+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.130.774.9+13.4100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Indiana State wins
3
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HSouthern Illinois65-80
04/02/26AEvansville84-63
31/01/26HValparaiso72-76 OT
28/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)74-76
24/01/26HDrake62-76
22/01/26ABradley68-75
17/01/26AMurray State81-85
15/01/26HIllinois State94-89
10/01/26HEvansville69-72
04/01/26ADrake72-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HNorthern Iowa60-89
07/02/26ASouthern Illinois91-81
04/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)81-74
01/02/26ABelmont86-103
29/01/26HIllinois State65-70
24/01/26ANorthern Iowa76-81
22/01/26ADrake90-101
17/01/26HIndiana State85-81
10/01/26HValparaiso92-79
08/01/26AEvansville79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeLWLLL58%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%58%23%
Points / game75.279.371.5
Allowed / game74.972.477.2
Point differential+0.3+6.9-5.8
Avg total150.2151.8148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL69%
HomeWWLWL87%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %69%87%45%
Points / game85.385.185.5
Allowed / game79.574.186.9
Point differential+5.8+11.0-1.4
Avg total164.8159.1172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2722581%82.273.1+9.0
2 Murray State2618869%85.379.5+5.8
3 Bradley2617965%77.472.9+4.5
4 Illinois State2516964%76.867.6+9.2
5 Northern Iowa2516964%67.860.0+7.8
6 Illinois (Chi.)25131252%74.670.3+4.3
7 Valparaiso25131252%71.470.2+1.2
8 Drake26121446%77.675.0+2.6
9 Southern Illinois25111444%74.271.6+2.6
10 Indiana State25101540%75.274.9+0.3
11 Evansville2561924%67.774.5-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State215172
Murray State433174
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