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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 64-90
19-27 20-15 11-21 14-27
Position#3
Record16-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#2
Record23-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game74.2
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 78
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 78
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 78
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 78
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
62avg 78
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 78
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
84avg 78
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 78
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
63avg 78
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 78
A11/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
14-14
29-18
27-16
19-28
23-25
19-16
14-19
20-9
17-27
16-14
18-30
18-23
24-15
9-27
19-19
18-21
19-18
29-13
34-9
22-29
21-9
19-16
18-26
20-27
25-24
18-24
15-20
27-19
20-23
11-14
24-13
10-21
11-21
17-18
18-16
31-18
154.6Avg total
78.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.781.7166.4+3.162%
Season at home (13)90.279.6169.8+10.685%
Season away (13)79.283.7162.9-4.538%
Last 10 (10)78.476.2154.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)84.077.0161.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.484.6160.0-9.220%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (21)87.076.4163.4+10.786%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 84
H27/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-92
100
92
+8
103avg 84
A04/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
106-67
106
67
+39
108avg 84
H06/04
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
99-93
99
93
+6
99avg 84
H10/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 84
A13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
72avg 84
H23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
66avg 84
H25/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
70avg 84
A29/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 84
A01/05
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
86avg 84
H04/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
22-12
23-23
17-22
36-17
25-29
19-27
20-19
22-17
20-28
32-8
32-14
31-28
20-20
19-22
29-23
28-18
16-22
28-17
19-28
27-14
20-15
17-22
20-21
15-25
23-13
19-16
20-17
21-28
23-10
12-20
16-22
16-21
26-26
26-18
18-19
24-25
24-18
20-15
19-27
168.8Avg total
87.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)90.074.2164.1+15.892%
Season at home (13)92.873.8166.6+19.192%
Season away (12)86.874.6161.4+12.292%
Last 10 (10)87.980.9168.8+7.080%
Last 5 (5)81.278.4159.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)79.879.5159.3+0.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.176.4167.4+14.794%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A11/05
Champions League
73.7Avg total
36.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.281.5+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.637.982.5+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.680.3-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.173.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.074.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.243.680.8-6.40%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (21)44.337.782.0+6.671%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A04/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/04
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A01/05
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H04/05
Basket League
86.3Avg total
45.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.680.2+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.636.778.2+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)43.938.682.5+5.464%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.986.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.082.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.030.064.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (12)40.138.178.2+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.638.383.9+7.375%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.2
49.9%
53.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.0
34.3%
34.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.417.0
79.4%
73.3%17.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.721.1
60.8%
53.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
34.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.916.7
72.9%
73.3%16.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLWWLLWWW
Olympiacos
WWLWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#2
+3.0
Net rating
+9.4
106.3
Offensive rating
118.4
103.3
Defensive rating
109.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.3%
3-point %
33.1%
63.7%
Assist %
70.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 118.4Defence103.3 · 109.1Shooting50.5% · 55.8%3-point %34.3% · 33.1%Ball care16.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds25.9% · 31.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
10
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25ATenerife77-73
09/05/25HUnicaja65-71
04/05/25AOlympiacos85-87
27/04/25HPAOK89-85 OT
23/04/25HNanterre104-69
16/04/25ANanterre70-82
12/04/25APAOK69-94
09/04/25HNanterre76-69
05/04/25HPAOK89-76
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HAEK Athens87-85
01/05/25AReal Madrid86-84
29/04/25AReal Madrid72-80
25/04/25HReal Madrid77-71
23/04/25HReal Madrid84-72
13/04/25APanionios91-85
10/04/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-93
06/04/25HPanionios106-67
04/04/25AAlba Berlin100-92
27/03/25HMonaco77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%85%38%
Points / game84.790.279.2
Allowed / game81.779.683.7
Point differential+3.1+10.6-4.5
Avg total166.4169.8162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%69%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game90.092.886.8
Allowed / game74.273.874.6
Point differential+15.8+19.1+12.2
Avg total164.1166.6161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%77%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos26260100%94.275.1+19.0
2 Olympiacos2523292%90.074.2+15.8
3 AEK Athens26161062%84.781.7+3.1
4 AS Karditsas26131350%76.578.5-2.0
5 Promitheas27131448%79.982.6-2.7
6 PAOK27121544%80.182.4-2.3
7 Aris29121741%78.483.6-5.2
8 Panionios27111641%78.581.5-3.0
9 Peristeri27101737%77.583.4-5.9
10 Kolossos Rhodes2791833%80.081.8-1.8
11 Maroussi2791833%79.184.9-5.9
12 Lavrio2872125%79.085.7-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1920111464
Olympiacos2715212790
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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