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Iwate vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 78-84
20-14 10-22 19-23 29-25
Position#13
Record15-35
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game75.4
Iwate
Japan
vs
Koshigaya Alphas 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record29-21
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game74.5
JapanB2.League· Morioka Takaya Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iwate v Koshigaya Alphas
24 Mar 2024
IWAT78
KOSH84
23 Mar 2024
IWAT72
KOSH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
46avg 58
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
71avg 58
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 58
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 58
A02/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
78-64
78
64
+14
78avg 58
A03/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-93
95
93
+2
78avg 58
H09/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
no box
H10/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
61-82
61
82
-21
-1avg 58
A19/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
56-75
56
75
-19
47avg 58
A20/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
64avg 58
H23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
21-13
14-25
11-8
18-14
22-19
24-22
19-17
18-10
11-28
20-21
20-12
15-29
22-19
17-22
21-21
22-12
15-20
16-15
25-17
23-22
25-23
22-23
25-25
26-12
17-22
8-19
22-20
14-15
12-30
20-17
15-20
18-23
15-22
17-17
6-13
24-19
19-24
12-26
17-13
150.8Avg total
72.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)71.075.4146.3-4.430%
Season at home (23)71.574.3145.8-2.830%
Season away (27)70.576.3146.8-5.730%
Last 10 (10)72.977.9150.8-5.030%
Last 5 (5)72.883.2156.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.874.9141.8-8.123%
vs Similar (15)76.675.0151.6+1.647%
vs Weaker (2)58.066.0124.0-8.00%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 78
H17/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
55avg 78
A23/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 78
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
87-66
87
66
+21
90avg 78
H02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 78
H03/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 78
A09/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
89avg 78
A10/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
77avg 78
H15/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 78
H16/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 78
A23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
15-26
17-19
11-19
26-12
13-21
12-26
13-25
17-27
24-18
19-16
12-24
25-26
26-13
15-15
21-12
18-25
23-19
7-20
21-12
13-20
24-24
22-20
21-20
24-18
32-23
12-20
21-15
27-17
15-8
20-19
14-21
28-25
12-15
18-17
17-20
19-24
24-19
26-12
13-17
152.6Avg total
76.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)83.174.5157.6+8.658%
Season at home (25)83.070.8153.8+12.264%
Season away (25)83.378.2161.4+5.152%
Last 10 (10)76.076.6152.6-0.640%
Last 5 (5)80.474.8155.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)68.084.5152.5-16.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)84.175.4159.5+8.857%
This opponent (Iwate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
IwateKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/02
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A02/03
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H09/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A19/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/03
B2.League
76.6Avg total
37.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.775.3-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.237.075.2+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)35.440.075.4-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.576.6-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.481.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.640.375.9-4.723%-
vs Similar (15)38.337.776.0+0.753%-
vs Weaker (2)30.036.066.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A10/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H15/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A23/03
B2.League
82.5Avg total
42.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.082.8+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.737.382.0+7.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.783.5+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.782.5+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.682.2+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.039.079.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.139.083.0+5.157%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.615.6
46.4%
52.4%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
71.0%11.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.5
53.0%
52.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.3
30.3%
33.6%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
71.0%13.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iwate
LLLLWWLLWL
Koshigaya Alphas
WLWWLLWLLL
#13
League position
#3
-5.0
Net rating
-0.7
100.8
Offensive rating
103.6
105.8
Defensive rating
104.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.1%
3-point %
30.3%
60.6%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 103.6Defence105.8 · 104.3Shooting48.5% · 50.4%3-point %34.1% · 30.3%Ball care18.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Iwate   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iwate wins
4
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Iwate v Koshigaya Alphas72-82
04/02/24Koshigaya Alphas v Iwate67-69
03/02/24Koshigaya Alphas v Iwate89-68
10/12/23Koshigaya Alphas v Iwate73-64
09/12/23Koshigaya Alphas v Iwate63-53
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HKoshigaya Alphas72-82
20/03/24AShiga56-75
19/03/24AShiga61-82
10/03/24HAomori80-84 OT
09/03/24HAomori95-93
03/03/24ANara78-64
02/03/24ANara75-91
24/02/24AFukuoka69-71
23/02/24AFukuoka83-72
17/02/24AEhime Orange Vikings60-65
Koshigaya Alphaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AIwate82-72
16/03/24HShizuoka75-77
15/03/24HShizuoka76-65
10/03/24AFukushima89-76
09/03/24AFukushima80-84
03/03/24HYamagata Wyverns69-76
02/03/24HYamagata Wyverns87-66
24/02/24AShiga72-85
23/02/24AShiga64-84
17/02/24HFukuoka66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLWWLL30%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502327
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game71.071.570.5
Allowed / game75.474.376.3
Point differential-4.4-2.8-5.7
Avg total146.3145.8146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%13%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (15)29% (7)25% (8)
Overtime %6%4%7%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLWLWL64%
AwayLLLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %58%64%52%
Points / game83.183.083.3
Allowed / game74.570.878.2
Point differential+8.6+12.2+5.1
Avg total157.6153.8161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%52%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won8% (12)14% (7)0% (5)
Overtime %8%0%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5046492%91.777.1+14.6
2 Shiga50361472%87.279.8+7.4
3 Fukuoka50331766%78.174.7+3.4
4 Kumamoto50321864%85.383.9+1.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas50292158%83.174.5+8.6
6 Aomori50262452%85.587.2-1.7
7 Yamagata Wyverns50242648%81.485.4-3.9
8 Kobe50232746%79.278.2+1.0
9 Shizuoka50222844%80.481.2-0.8
10 Fukushima50203040%80.984.6-3.6
11 Nara50193138%74.077.6-3.6
12 Ehime Orange Vikings50183236%78.984.2-5.3
13 Iwate50153530%71.075.4-4.4
14 Niigata5074314%73.886.7-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iwate2010192978
Koshigaya Alphas1422232584
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