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Guangzhou vs Jilin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 87-74
24-15 22-28 27-17 14-14
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#15
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game85.0
ChinaCBA· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jilin
30 Mar 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
GUAN87
JILI74
31 Mar 2025
GUAN102
JILI103
30 Nov 2024
GUAN140
JILI117
24 Dec 2023
GUAN129
JILI122
27 Oct 2022
GUAN112
JILI116
12 Nov 2021
GUAN107
JILI104
30 Mar 2021
GUAN95
JILI120
13 Nov 2020
GUAN94
JILI101
31 Dec 2019
GUAN93
JILI101
13 Mar 2019
GUAN136
JILI108
21 Nov 2018
GUAN129
JILI109
07 Feb 2018
GUAN124
JILI96
01 Nov 2016
GUAN76
JILI80
08 Nov 2015
GUAN109
JILI115
25 Nov 2014
GUAN116
JILI109
08 Jan 2014
GUAN109
JILI114
26 Dec 2012
GUAN111
JILI99
30 Nov 2011
GUAN99
JILI103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 84
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
108-135
108
135
-27
99avg 84
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
104-90
104
90
+14
108avg 84
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
114-106
114
106
+8
109avg 84
H27/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-103
102
103
-1
106avg 84
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
81-66
81
66
+15
79avg 84
A13/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
94-97
94
97
-3
88avg 84
A19/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
93-86
93
86
+7
63avg 84
A21/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
82avg 84
H23/12
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
84-97
84
97
-13
82avg 84
A26/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
15-34
15-21
23-24
27-38
24-39
26-29
31-29
26-20
31-27
27-23
20-20
28-30
30-27
29-19
27-30
27-30
26-36
29-24
20-13
18-16
21-25
26-11
16-14
25-26
22-29
23-22
24-20
23-27
16-16
30-18
24-25
23-33
27-19
18-22
17-19
20-31
25-18
17-28
22-20
191.3Avg total
94.2Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.487.8175.2-0.440%
Season at home (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season away (4)88.086.5174.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)94.297.1191.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)87.487.8175.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)89.8109.9199.8-20.10%
vs Similar (11)97.294.6191.8+2.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
70avg 83
H21/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
90-104
90
104
-14
75avg 83
H24/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
94-106
94
106
-12
76avg 83
A27/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
103-102
103
102
+1
93avg 83
A31/03
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
85-95
85
95
-10
75avg 83
A14/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
80avg 83
A16/12
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 83
H18/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
92-86
92
86
+6
82avg 83
H20/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 83
H22/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
90avg 83
H24/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
28-21
20-19
15-20
20-26
27-31
23-27
20-20
24-23
25-31
21-28
24-24
30-27
36-26
24-29
13-20
20-20
31-26
17-25
17-24
21-23
19-31
24-22
17-23
13-20
27-25
29-21
21-14
24-24
23-21
27-24
18-17
19-23
21-19
26-11
16-24
22-18
23-24
23-18
19-13
180.9Avg total
89.2Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.285.0171.2+1.267%
Season at home (4)87.879.0166.8+8.8100%
Season away (2)83.097.0180.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)89.291.7180.9-2.550%
Last 5 (5)86.483.0169.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)94.2108.9203.1-14.621%
vs Similar (6)106.7104.5211.2+2.267%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
GuangzhouJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H27/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A13/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A19/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H23/12
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A26/12
CBA
101.8Avg total
47.8Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.351.999.2-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.052.2101.2-3.231%-
Last 30 away (17)46.051.697.6-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)47.854.0101.8-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.092.0-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)47.955.0102.9-7.118%-
vs Similar (11)47.848.896.6-1.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H21/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H24/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A31/03
CBA
Shanghai
#1
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A16/12
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H20/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H24/12
CBA
97.2Avg total
47.8Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.658.0108.6-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.156.9107.9-5.827%-
Last 30 away (15)50.159.1109.3-9.020%-
Last 10 (10)47.849.497.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.688.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)48.258.3106.5-10.017%-
vs Similar (6)60.056.8116.8+3.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.9
56.2%
54.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.3
36.8%
35.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.2
72.0%
73.6%15.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.4
48.7%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.1
34.2%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.215.9
75.0%
73.6%15.9
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLWLWLWWLL
Jilin
WWWWLLWLLL
#13
League position
#15
-8.1
Net rating
-2.4
101.1
Offensive rating
101.5
109.3
Defensive rating
103.9
55.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.8%
3-point %
34.2%
69.6%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 101.5Defence109.3 · 103.9Shooting55.7% · 49.8%3-point %36.8% · 34.2%Ball care19.4% · 14.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guangzhou wins
3
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
31/03/25Guangzhou v Jilin102-103
24/03/25Jilin v Guangzhou90-104
30/11/24Guangzhou v Jilin140-117
01/11/24Jilin v Guangzhou114-94
14/03/24Jilin v Guangzhou100-115
24/12/23Guangzhou v Jilin129-122
05/04/23Jilin v Guangzhou87-104
27/10/22Guangzhou v Jilin112-116 OT
12/11/21Guangzhou v Jilin107-104
31/10/21Jilin v Guangzhou94-95
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25AFujian84-97
23/12/25HGuangdong85-93
21/12/25AJiangsu Dragons93-86
19/12/25AGuangdong94-97
13/12/25ASichuan81-66
31/03/25HJilin102-103
27/03/25HFujian114-106
24/03/25AJilin104-90
21/03/25ALiaoning108-135
19/03/25AShandong77-98
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/25HBeijing Royal Fighters87-73
22/12/25HNingbo Rockets82-77
20/12/25HXinjiang92-86
18/12/25HTianjin90-80
16/12/25AShenzhen81-99
14/12/25AShanghai85-95
31/03/25AGuangzhou103-102
27/03/25AGuangdong94-106
24/03/25HGuangzhou90-104
21/03/25HQingdao88-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game87.485.088.0
Allowed / game87.893.086.5
Point differential-0.4-8.0+1.5
Avg total175.2178.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jilin
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game86.287.883.0
Allowed / game85.079.097.0
Point differential+1.2+8.8-14.0
Avg total171.2166.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%96.576.3+20.2
2 Guangdong660100%96.891.2+5.7
3 Zhejiang Guangsha76186%93.178.3+14.9
4 Qingdao65183%91.579.7+11.8
5 Shanghai75271%93.181.9+11.3
6 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%92.387.2+5.2
7 Jilin64267%86.285.0+1.2
8 Liaoning74357%83.684.6-1.0
9 Ningbo Rockets63350%87.886.5+1.3
10 Beijing Royal Fighters73443%87.492.3-4.9
11 Shenzhen73443%86.792.0-5.3
12 Shandong52340%92.892.2+0.6
13 Guangzhou52340%87.487.8-0.4
14 Fujian62433%86.088.8-2.8
15 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.793.8-5.2
16 Xinjiang62433%89.795.8-6.2
17 Tianjin61517%86.287.5-1.3
18 Zhejiang Chouzhou61517%89.095.5-6.5
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%80.891.7-10.8
20 Sichuan7070%65.090.9-25.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2422271487
Jilin1528171474
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