PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jilin vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 90-104
20-26 27-31 23-27 20-20
Position#14
Record13-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#16
Record10-33
FormWWLLL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game107.3
ChinaCBARound 44· Changchun Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jilin v Guangzhou
01 Nov 2026
JILI79
GUAN90
18 Apr 2026
JILI75
GUAN93
24 Mar 2025
JILI90
GUAN104
01 Nov 2024
JILI114
GUAN94
14 Mar 2024
JILI100
GUAN115
05 Apr 2023
JILI87
GUAN104
31 Oct 2021
JILI94
GUAN95
10 Apr 2021
JILI85
GUAN103
28 Oct 2020
JILI99
GUAN87
21 Jul 2020
JILI98
GUAN95
30 Jan 2019
JILI122
GUAN99
23 Dec 2018
JILI121
GUAN95
17 Dec 2017
JILI139
GUAN132
25 Dec 2016
JILI90
GUAN81
02 Dec 2015
JILI104
GUAN109
09 Jan 2015
JILI137
GUAN123
20 Nov 2013
JILI115
GUAN108
03 Feb 2013
JILI119
GUAN122
08 Jan 2012
JILI92
GUAN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#5
L
120-137
120
137
-17
107avg 91
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
94-107
94
107
-13
85avg 91
A25/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
118-102
118
102
+16
110avg 91
H05/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
93-115
93
115
-22
82avg 91
H07/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
99-112
99
112
-13
-59avg 91
A09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
103-118
103
118
-15
95avg 91
H11/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
127-133
127
133
-6
122avg 91
H14/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
99-136
99
136
-37
88avg 91
A17/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
108-134
108
134
-26
92avg 91
A19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
70avg 91
H21/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
23-32
29-36
37-34
20-24
21-30
31-34
22-19
25-23
38-30
24-33
31-16
26-20
22-33
20-34
25-28
24-28
32-21
20-31
23-32
19-34
27-27
30-29
27-28
45-41
30-39
26-30
26-23
20-44
36-33
21-34
22-25
29-34
27-34
33-33
19-33
25-35
28-21
20-19
15-20
223.8Avg total
104.9Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)102.7112.4215.1-9.630%
Season at home (22)105.0106.0210.9-1.050%
Season away (21)100.4119.1219.5-18.710%
Last 10 (10)104.9118.9223.8-14.010%
Last 5 (5)105.0123.2228.2-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)97.4116.2213.6-18.814%
vs Similar ◀ (8)108.4101.9210.2+6.562%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 87
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 87
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 87
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
86-104
86
104
-18
85avg 87
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
110avg 87
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 87
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
72avg 87
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
80-116
80
116
-36
64avg 87
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 87
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
108-135
108
135
-27
99avg 87
A21/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
24-31
18-24
22-26
22-23
32-32
19-15
26-25
19-24
14-21
27-16
26-31
29-19
21-22
16-19
24-16
26-22
21-35
24-25
25-23
10-33
24-19
15-34
15-21
23-24
27-38
24-39
26-29
31-29
199.1Avg total
91.8Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)96.0107.3203.3-11.223%
Season at home (21)97.0106.9203.9-9.924%
Season away (22)95.1107.6202.7-12.523%
Last 10 (10)91.8107.3199.1-15.530%
Last 5 (5)89.6103.0192.6-13.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)93.0113.2206.2-20.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)96.491.8188.1+4.662%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
JilinGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#5
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H05/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H07/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H11/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H14/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A17/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H21/03
CBA
116.6Avg total
54.8Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.757.9111.6-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.256.5112.7-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)51.459.2110.6-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)54.861.8116.6-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)57.268.4125.6-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)51.260.3111.5-9.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)60.451.4111.8+9.075%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A21/03
CBA
99.3Avg total
45.3Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.953.6101.5-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.952.3101.2-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)46.655.1101.7-8.429%-
Last 10 (10)45.354.099.3-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.653.696.2-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)48.756.7105.4-8.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.545.190.6+0.462%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.4
51.9%
52.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.212.5
36.5%
35.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws28.721.6
75.3%
76.3%21.6
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.7
52.7%
52.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.2
33.8%
35.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
76.3%14.8
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jilin
LLLLLLLWLL
Guangzhou
LLLWWWLLLL
#14
League position
#16
-15.4
Net rating
-17.7
114.1
Offensive rating
100.9
129.5
Defensive rating
118.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
20.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.5%
3-point %
33.8%
63.3%
Assist %
52.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 100.9Defence129.5 · 118.5Shooting53.2% · 51.8%3-point %36.5% · 33.8%Ball care14.3% · 20.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 26.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Jilin   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jilin wins
7
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Guangzhou v Jilin140-117
01/11/24Jilin v Guangzhou114-94
14/03/24Jilin v Guangzhou100-115
24/12/23Guangzhou v Jilin129-122
05/04/23Jilin v Guangzhou87-104
27/10/22Guangzhou v Jilin112-116 OT
12/11/21Guangzhou v Jilin107-104
31/10/21Jilin v Guangzhou94-95
10/04/21Jilin v Guangzhou85-103
30/03/21Guangzhou v Jilin95-120
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25HQingdao88-95
19/03/25ABeijing108-134
17/03/25ALiaoning99-136
14/03/25HShanghai127-133
11/03/25HZhejiang Guangsha103-118
09/03/25ALiaoning99-112
07/03/25HNanjing Tongxi93-115
05/03/25HSichuan118-102
25/01/25AQingdao94-107
23/01/25HXinjiang120-137
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25ALiaoning108-135
19/03/25AShandong77-98
16/03/25HXinjiang80-116
14/03/25HSichuan87-79
12/03/25ATianjin96-87
10/03/25HFujian109-101 OT
08/03/25HShenzhen86-104
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %30%50%10%
Points / game102.7105.0100.4
Allowed / game112.4106.0119.1
Point differential-9.6-1.0-18.7
Avg total215.1210.9219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL23%
HomeLLWWL24%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %23%24%23%
Points / game96.097.095.1
Allowed / game107.3106.9107.6
Point differential-11.2-9.9-12.5
Avg total203.3203.9202.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4337686%104.593.4+11.1
2 Shanxi Zhongyu43321174%114.7108.6+6.1
3 Xinjiang42301271%110.3101.6+8.6
4 Beijing43301370%103.696.5+7.0
5 Shandong43301370%104.899.5+5.3
6 Liaoning44301468%106.699.8+6.9
7 Guangdong43281565%104.897.8+7.0
8 Qingdao43281565%105.2100.5+4.7
9 Shanghai43271663%110.6103.1+7.5
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou43271663%112.5105.3+7.2
11 Beijing Royal Fighters42251760%106.5102.2+4.3
12 Nanjing Tongxi43222151%106.8107.4-0.7
13 Shenzhen44162836%104.4107.3-3.0
14 Jilin43133030%102.7112.4-9.6
15 Tianjin43113226%102.1111.0-8.9
16 Guangzhou43103323%96.0107.3-11.2
17 Ningbo Rockets43103323%102.9114.1-11.2
18 Sichuan4393421%99.6110.0-10.5
19 Fujian4393421%105.0115.4-10.5
20 Jiangsu Dragons4363714%93.3103.3-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jilin2027232090
Guangzhou26312720104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.