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Guangzhou vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 93-77
27-23 22-16 21-17 23-21
Position#13
Record13-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#9
Record16-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.1
ChinaCBA· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangzhou v Liaoning
02 Apr 2027
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
GUAN93
LIAO77
26 Dec 2024
GUAN97
LIAO98
18 Oct 2024
GUAN88
LIAO120
26 Dec 2023
GUAN76
LIAO93
03 Apr 2023
GUAN87
LIAO69
17 Oct 2021
GUAN89
LIAO107
16 Jan 2021
GUAN91
LIAO99
02 Dec 2020
GUAN96
LIAO102
07 Dec 2019
GUAN115
LIAO123
25 Jan 2019
GUAN91
LIAO101
23 Nov 2018
GUAN101
LIAO117
09 Feb 2018
GUAN120
LIAO114
04 Nov 2016
GUAN95
LIAO101
27 Dec 2015
GUAN102
LIAO117
02 Nov 2014
GUAN103
LIAO110
17 Nov 2013
GUAN114
LIAO105
28 Dec 2012
GUAN103
LIAO124
02 Dec 2011
GUAN111
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
77avg 80
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
81avg 80
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 80
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 80
H12/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 80
H14/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
96-97
96
97
-1
92avg 80
A16/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 80
A18/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
86avg 80
A21/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
99-98
99
98
+1
101avg 80
H23/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
79avg 80
H26/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
28-14
21-21
17-27
24-21
20-21
15-24
22-22
21-14
25-25
20-20
27-26
22-20
20-18
22-13
19-33
26-23
20-24
20-30
19-21
25-24
22-34
21-19
28-20
18-29
16-26
28-23
24-19
23-23
29-25
18-16
25-19
25-21
23-16
21-23
30-38
25-22
23-19
20-26
20-23
178.9Avg total
88.6Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.489.0176.4-1.743%
Season at home (14)89.988.3178.2+1.650%
Season away (16)85.189.7174.8-4.638%
Last 10 (10)88.690.3178.9-1.730%
Last 5 (5)92.893.0185.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.193.5175.6-11.59%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.588.4176.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
62-75
62
75
-13
45avg 80
A29/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
105-91
105
91
+14
110avg 80
H31/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
92avg 80
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
99avg 80
A11/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 80
H13/03
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 80
A15/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
97-86
97
86
+11
99avg 80
H18/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
83-93
83
93
-10
70avg 80
H21/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
92-89
92
89
+3
90avg 80
H23/03
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
75-82
75
82
-7
63avg 80
A25/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
12-15
21-21
12-16
19-24
28-24
33-16
25-27
22-18
21-20
19-21
18-21
22-24
22-30
31-17
21-17
15-27
25-20
25-19
27-18
26-11
23-24
23-17
17-21
29-18
26-16
23-28
19-24
21-13
24-24
15-26
23-30
25-24
17-27
27-28
23-10
16-18
20-25
15-22
24-17
172.9Avg total
88.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.283.1167.3+1.153%
Season at home (16)86.986.3173.2+0.662%
Season away (14)81.179.4160.5+1.643%
Last 10 (10)88.684.3172.9+4.370%
Last 5 (5)87.284.6171.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.690.6168.2-13.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.485.4167.7-3.043%
vs Weaker (11)89.576.8166.3+12.682%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
GuangzhouLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H14/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A16/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A18/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/03
CBA
88.9Avg total
44.9Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.488.8-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.242.689.8+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.846.187.9-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)44.944.088.9+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.847.893.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.148.091.1-4.918%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.142.987.1+1.271%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H31/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H13/03
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A15/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H18/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H23/03
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A25/03
CBA
85.5Avg total
43.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.684.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.986.3+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.281.6+1.243%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.585.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.085.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.043.483.4-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.543.685.1-2.136%-
vs Weaker (11)44.938.383.2+6.673%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.5
52.7%
54.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.9
37.4%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.818.5
77.7%
73.6%18.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.2
53.5%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.1
34.8%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.9
76.8%
73.6%15.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWWLLLLWLL
Liaoning
LWLWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#9
-2.4
Net rating
+4.9
100.9
Offensive rating
100.2
103.3
Defensive rating
95.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.4%
3-point %
34.8%
62.8%
Assist %
62.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 100.2Defence103.3 · 95.3Shooting53.9% · 53.0%3-point %37.4% · 34.8%Ball care14.4% · 14.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
18/03/26Liaoning v Guangzhou97-86
21/03/25Liaoning v Guangzhou135-108
26/12/24Guangzhou v Liaoning97-98
03/11/24Liaoning v Guangzhou97-86
18/10/24Guangzhou v Liaoning88-120
09/03/24Liaoning v Guangzhou109-103
26/12/23Guangzhou v Liaoning76-93
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
18/01/22Liaoning v Guangzhou110-98
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HQingdao88-90
23/03/26HShanxi Zhongyu99-98
21/03/26ANingbo Rockets95-83
18/03/26ALiaoning86-97
16/03/26AShenzhen96-97
14/03/26HBeijing85-98
12/03/26HNingbo Rockets83-84
05/03/26HShandong93-85
03/02/26AQingdao81-88
31/01/26AShandong80-83
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26AJilin75-82
23/03/26HNanjing Tongxi92-89
21/03/26HBeijing83-93
18/03/26HGuangzhou97-86
15/03/26AGuangdong89-73
13/03/26HShanxi Zhongyu92-84
11/03/26AShenzhen96-88
03/02/26HJiangsu Dragons95-82 OT
31/01/26HTianjin105-91
29/01/26ANingbo Rockets62-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game87.489.985.1
Allowed / game89.088.389.7
Point differential-1.7+1.6-4.6
Avg total176.4178.2174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %7%7%6%
Liaoning
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game84.286.981.1
Allowed / game83.186.379.4
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.6
Avg total167.3173.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%38%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai3127487%98.381.3+17.0
2 Zhejiang Guangsha3126584%90.879.5+11.4
3 Beijing31201165%90.283.0+7.1
4 Shandong31201165%94.988.9+6.0
5 Guangdong31201165%93.989.7+4.2
6 Shenzhen31201165%97.493.4+4.0
7 Qingdao30181260%85.981.7+4.2
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou30161453%86.682.8+3.8
9 Ningbo Rockets30161453%85.883.7+2.1
10 Liaoning30161453%84.283.1+1.1
11 Shanxi Zhongyu31161552%90.789.3+1.4
12 Guangzhou30131743%87.489.0-1.7
13 Beijing Royal Fighters30131743%88.993.9-5.1
14 Jilin31131842%82.587.6-5.0
15 Fujian31121939%90.593.3-2.8
16 Xinjiang30111937%84.785.3-0.6
17 Nanjing Tongxi30111937%90.895.5-4.7
18 Tianjin3192229%91.896.6-4.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons3192229%81.590.6-9.2
20 Sichuan310310%70.298.7-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2722212393
Liaoning2316172177
← all games of the day
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