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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 72-91
15-29 19-15 23-22 15-25
Position#7
Record7-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#3
Record8-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game82.6
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 81
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 81
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 81
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
56-63
56
63
-7
49avg 81
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
W
92-77
92
77
+15
79avg 81
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 81
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
99-63
99
63
+36
104avg 81
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-107
94
107
-13
110avg 81
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 81
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-19
18-15
11-20
18-20
20-21
30-23
14-22
26-21
18-29
17-22
15-22
15-18
20-10
13-15
8-20
23-23
19-20
25-18
25-16
21-28
17-21
11-21
31-20
21-17
27-12
26-18
25-16
26-29
24-27
18-23
26-28
27-24
16-20
22-14
22-25
25-21
20-22
24-25
20-23
165.4Avg total
82.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.487.4171.9-3.039%
Season at home (9)79.783.2162.9-3.633%
Season away (9)89.291.7180.9-2.444%
Last 10 (10)82.283.2165.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)89.886.8176.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.787.4168.1-6.730%
vs Similar (6)85.788.8174.5-3.233%
vs Weaker (14)93.986.8180.7+7.157%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 77
H16/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 77
H19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Hamburg
#17
L
77-84
77
84
-7
70avg 77
A21/01
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-82
97
82
+15
95avg 77
A25/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 77
H29/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
83avg 77
H01/02
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
71avg 77
A04/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
79avg 77
H08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
56-79
56
79
-23
43avg 77
A15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-91
100
91
+9
94avg 77
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
22-29
19-22
19-21
19-14
20-17
24-22
14-14
29-19
18-23
16-13
14-29
16-17
31-24
25-22
25-19
22-20
18-27
26-25
26-19
19-24
23-23
19-22
29-29
14-18
19-28
24-17
20-28
25-19
21-20
17-30
23-19
13-24
14-14
18-20
11-21
23-31
29-18
22-18
26-24
168.9Avg total
83.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.782.6165.3+0.144%
Season at home (9)84.485.0169.4-0.644%
Season away (9)81.080.2161.2+0.844%
Last 10 (10)83.085.9168.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)81.889.4171.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)85.991.8177.6-5.929%
vs Similar (6)85.577.0162.5+8.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.983.1165.0-1.230%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
84.7Avg total
42.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.886.7+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.885.1+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)44.644.088.6+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.684.7-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.289.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.345.687.9-3.350%-
vs Similar (6)43.342.886.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker (14)45.240.986.1+4.457%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H16/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Hamburg
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A21/01
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A25/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H29/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/02
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
83.8Avg total
41.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.984.1+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.240.784.9+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)40.542.983.4-2.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.583.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.883.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.145.988.0-3.943%-
vs Similar (6)45.236.081.2+9.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.439.980.3+0.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.4
51.4%
55.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.214.7
66.2%
75.0%14.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.0
51.7%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.5
35.0%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.9
75.1%
75.0%16.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWLWLLLL
Lietkabelis
WLLLLWWLWL
#7
League position
#3
-0.3
Net rating
-3.3
107.6
Offensive rating
108.6
107.9
Defensive rating
111.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.0%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.1%
3-point %
35.0%
67.4%
Assist %
64.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 108.6Defence107.9 · 111.9Shooting52.0% · 52.0%3-point %35.1% · 35.0%Ball care16.6% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas89-91
15/02/25HBC Wolves87-83
09/02/25HNevezis94-107
01/02/25HMazeikiai99-63
25/01/25HSiauliai80-90
18/01/25ARytas92-77
11/01/25HLietkabelis56-63
04/01/25HRytas76-94
28/12/24AJonava82-86
21/12/24HRytas67-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ABC Wolves100-91
15/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas56-79
08/02/25HJonava86-88
04/02/25AVenezia77-91
01/02/25HJuventus90-98
29/01/25HCluj-Napoca92-91
25/01/25ABC Wolves97-82
21/01/25AHamburg77-84
19/01/25HNevezis77-67
16/01/25HCedevita Olimpija78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%33%44%
Points / game84.479.789.2
Allowed / game87.483.291.7
Point differential-3.0-3.6-2.4
Avg total171.9162.9180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%44%44%
Points / game82.784.481.0
Allowed / game82.685.080.2
Point differential+0.1-0.6+0.8
Avg total165.3169.4161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1816289%92.774.6+18.2
2 Rytas1916384%90.282.6+7.5
3 BC Wolves1811761%90.388.2+2.2
4 Juventus1810856%84.785.1-0.4
5 Jonava1991047%86.690.4-3.8
6 Lietkabelis1881044%82.782.6+0.1
7 Neptunas1871139%84.487.4-3.0
8 Siauliai1761135%91.898.5-6.8
9 Nevezis1951426%88.990.3-1.4
10 Mazeikiai1831517%81.594.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1519231572
Lietkabelis2915222591
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