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Jurbarkas vs Kretinga Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record2-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game90.7
LithuaniaNKLRound 27· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Kretinga
14 Jan 2027
JURB v KRET
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
JURB80
KRET76
05 Oct 2024
JURB87
KRET86
25 Apr 2024
JURB93
KRET76
17 Apr 2024
JURB78
KRET87
09 Nov 2023
JURB94
KRET80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 82
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 82
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 82
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 82
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 82
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
no box
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
no box
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
19-17
20-23
26-19
20-27
25-21
13-24
11-21
26-22
19-23
26-19
22-15
21-23
19-18
27-25
19-13
21-22
12-14
19-21
20-22
28-21
15-18
23-13
25-25
38-15
18-24
16-22
25-25
27-25
32-23
21-26
22-27
21-16
23-11
22-29
27-26
20-17
12-20
12-17
23-28
168.1Avg total
85.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.678.3166.9+10.385%
Season at home (6)88.780.0168.7+8.783%
Season away (7)88.676.9165.4+11.786%
Last 10 (10)85.183.0168.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)90.085.6175.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.196.0176.1-15.929%
vs Similar (6)85.575.7161.2+9.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.579.9170.5+10.688%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
95-99
95
99
-4
89avg 75
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 75
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 75
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
70-90
70
90
-20
56avg 75
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
85-101
85
101
-16
74avg 75
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 75
H29/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
73avg 75
A31/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
H05/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A07/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
98-107
98
107
-9
no box
A12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-22
20-27
30-31
18-31
24-21
23-15
18-21
23-16
24-23
17-10
20-23
15-25
21-23
13-25
21-17
16-25
22-24
23-23
24-29
23-21
18-19
25-27
13-19
18-22
14-19
18-14
25-17
19-27
23-21
18-18
26-34
21-22
21-25
20-19
17-25
17-28
24-28
28-24
29-27
174.0Avg total
83.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.590.7172.2-9.215%
Season at home (6)84.094.2178.2-10.20%
Season away (7)79.487.7167.1-8.329%
Last 10 (10)83.490.6174.0-7.220%
Last 5 (5)83.491.2174.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.991.9171.8-12.018%
vs Similar (10)83.981.7165.6+2.260%
vs Weaker (3)97.390.7188.0+6.7100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
JurbarkasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/11
NKL
82.2Avg total
43.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.581.9+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.782.5+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.082.2+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.084.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.447.689.0-6.129%-
vs Similar (6)44.036.280.2+7.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.335.880.1+8.571%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H05/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
NKL
86.7Avg total
40.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.982.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.342.683.9-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.743.281.9-4.519%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.186.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.486.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.945.383.2-7.412%-
vs Similar (10)40.139.079.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (3)50.742.393.0+8.3100%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
67.1%14.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.3
54.2%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.014.8
64.3%
67.1%14.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LWWWWLWWLW
Kretinga
LLLWLLLWLL
#2
League position
#16
+8.7
Net rating
-9.7
90.6
Offensive rating
89.2
81.9
Defensive rating
98.9
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.0%
3-point %
31.1%
69.6%
Assist %
60.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 89.2Defence81.9 · 98.9Shooting48.5% · 51.0%3-point %30.0% · 31.1%Ball care14.8% · 16.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Jurbarkas wins
1
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
29/10/26Kretinga v Jurbarkas79-86
12/03/26Kretinga v Jurbarkas77-88
18/12/25Jurbarkas v Kretinga80-76
16/10/25Kretinga v Jurbarkas65-81
05/01/25Kretinga v Jurbarkas57-72
05/10/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga87-86
28/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas84-89
25/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga93-76
20/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas76-84
17/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga78-87
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANeptunas 267-82
12/11/26HPlunges Olimpas93-82
07/11/26HTelsiai102-101
05/11/26AOmega-Tauras97-86
03/11/26HTaurage91-77
31/10/26HSilute72-79
29/10/26AKretinga86-79
22/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-79
20/10/26HNevezis69-93
17/10/26HKedainiai BC81-72
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AVytis VDU98-107
07/11/26ARytas 279-91
05/11/26HBC Olimpas Palanga86-100
31/10/26AOmega-Tauras75-72
29/10/26HJurbarkas79-86
24/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 285-101
22/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai70-90
17/10/26AKauno Atletas84-72
15/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-88
10/10/26HUkmerges Stekas95-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL85%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game88.688.788.6
Allowed / game78.380.076.9
Point differential+10.3+8.7+11.7
Avg total166.9168.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%0%29%
Points / game81.584.079.4
Allowed / game90.794.287.7
Point differential-9.2-10.2-8.3
Avg total172.2178.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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