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Jurbarkas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-76
29-10 13-21 20-23 18-22
Position#5
Record10-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#9
Record10-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Kretinga
14 Jan 2027
JURB v KRET
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
JURB80
KRET76
05 Oct 2024
JURB87
KRET86
25 Apr 2024
JURB93
KRET76
17 Apr 2024
JURB78
KRET87
09 Nov 2023
JURB94
KRET80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
69-62
69
62
+7
58avg 72
A06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
60avg 72
H08/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
83avg 72
A13/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
80-77
80
77
+3
84avg 72
H15/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
52avg 72
H20/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
91-94
91
94
-3
85avg 72
A22/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
94avg 72
A27/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 72
H29/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
102avg 72
H13/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
76-71
76
71
+5
74avg 72
H16/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
26-13
14-19
14-12
17-14
8-9
14-12
19-23
12-20
23-12
24-16
13-24
27-9
19-21
14-29
20-18
14-12
19-18
19-17
12-24
25-14
26-27
19-23
21-30
26-22
24-18
16-25
23-15
19-19
25-19
18-15
12-35
23-23
21-23
33-18
27-10
16-14
19-21
14-12
27-24
156.8Avg total
80.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.177.6155.7+0.456%
Season at home (9)77.474.1151.6+3.356%
Season away (9)78.781.1159.8-2.456%
Last 10 (10)80.276.6156.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)86.881.4168.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (19)75.177.6152.6-2.542%
vs Weaker (8)83.577.6161.1+5.975%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
88avg 79
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 79
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
94avg 79
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 79
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 79
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
90avg 79
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 79
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 79
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 79
A11/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 79
H13/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
25-20
22-15
27-19
18-28
32-16
11-24
19-18
13-21
22-17
25-16
36-27
17-30
27-16
26-26
18-26
19-17
22-15
20-21
24-21
25-14
22-20
19-18
19-23
16-20
30-20
20-31
20-20
16-11
22-24
18-30
27-18
20-16
27-24
13-22
27-21
26-24
18-19
15-20
31-22
172.5Avg total
88.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.384.7170.0+0.553%
Season at home (10)84.079.6163.6+4.460%
Season away (9)86.790.4177.1-3.844%
Last 10 (10)88.184.4172.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)87.684.4172.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.793.6176.3-10.90%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.081.4167.4+4.667%
vs Weaker (5)96.882.4179.2+14.480%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
JurbarkasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H08/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H15/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H20/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A22/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A27/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H13/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/12
NKL
75.0Avg total
40.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.974.0+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.433.570.9+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.940.277.1-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.434.675.0+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.084.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.735.368.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.836.772.6-0.953%-
vs Weaker (8)41.937.879.6+4.162%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/12
NKL
83.8Avg total
43.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.382.6+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.737.079.7+5.762%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.085.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.183.8+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.482.8+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.442.784.1-1.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.038.081.0+5.067%-
vs Weaker (5)46.839.486.2+7.460%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.3
56.2%
54.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.6
30.7%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.511.2
64.0%
69.3%11.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.625.1
57.6%
54.5%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
32.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.012.6
66.3%
69.3%12.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWLWLLWWLW
Kretinga
WWWLWWLWLW
#5
League position
#9
+5.5
Net rating
+4.5
104.3
Offensive rating
111.9
98.8
Defensive rating
107.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.2%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
32.3%
65.9%
Assist %
66.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 111.9Defence98.8 · 107.4Shooting51.9% · 54.2%3-point %30.7% · 32.3%Ball care17.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 33.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Jurbarkas wins
2
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
16/10/25Kretinga v Jurbarkas65-81
05/01/25Kretinga v Jurbarkas57-72
05/10/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga87-86
28/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas84-89
25/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga93-76
20/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas76-84
17/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga78-87
04/01/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas89-82
09/11/23Jurbarkas v Kretinga94-80
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HAlytaus Alytus76-71
13/12/25HSilute104-74
29/11/25HTelsiai74-88
27/11/25AOmega-Tauras89-80
22/11/25ABC Olimpas Palanga91-94
20/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas 264-71
15/11/25HUkmerges Stekas80-77
13/11/25AVilkaviskis87-78 OT
08/11/25HNeptunas 268-71 OT
06/11/25AVytis VDU69-62
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HKedainiu SC90-85
11/12/25AAlytaus Alytus87-83
04/12/25AOmega-Tauras90-88 OT
29/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 286-91
27/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga85-75
22/11/25HRytas 285-74
20/11/25AUkmerges Stekas88-98
15/11/25HOmega-Tauras96-81
13/11/25ATelsiai80-86
08/11/25AVilkaviskis94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game78.177.478.7
Allowed / game77.674.181.1
Point differential+0.4+3.3-2.4
Avg total155.7151.6159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeWWWWW60%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%60%44%
Points / game85.384.086.7
Allowed / game84.779.690.4
Point differential+0.5+4.4-3.8
Avg total170.0163.6177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2016480%87.776.8+10.9
2 Vytis VDU1914574%87.281.8+5.3
3 Kedainiu SC2014670%90.084.0+6.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 22014670%86.084.0+1.9
5 Telsiai1812667%84.282.7+1.5
6 Jurbarkas1810856%78.177.6+0.4
7 Vilkaviskis2011955%83.579.9+3.5
8 Mazeikiai2011955%83.981.3+2.6
9 Kretinga1910953%85.384.7+0.5
10 Omega-Tauras2091145%88.089.2-1.2
11 Silute2191243%87.089.2-2.1
12 Rytas 21981142%82.383.6-1.3
13 BC Olimpas Palanga2081240%80.085.0-5.0
14 Neptunas 22071335%76.180.7-4.6
15 Ukmerges Stekas1851328%82.390.1-7.7
16 Plunges Olimpas1941521%81.186.3-5.3
17 Alytaus Alytus2141719%78.384.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2913201880
Kretinga1021232276
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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