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Jurbarkas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-80
22-19 26-23 29-20 17-18
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.8
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga
Lithuania
Position#8
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game83.7
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Kretinga
14 Jan 2027
JURB v KRET
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
JURB80
KRET76
05 Oct 2024
JURB87
KRET86
25 Apr 2024
JURB93
KRET76
17 Apr 2024
JURB78
KRET87
09 Nov 2023
JURB94
KRET80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
77avg 77
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 77
A07/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
58avg 77
H12/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
64avg 77
A14/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 77
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
94-80
94
80
+14
91avg 77
A21/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 77
A25/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 77
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 77
H02/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 77
A04/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
14-21
21-22
19-22
19-23
32-20
23-17
16-22
8-20
16-18
14-21
32-14
20-20
22-23
17-17
16-12
19-19
20-25
15-24
25-5
21-21
24-15
27-25
22-19
23-22
22-20
24-26
21-10
17-26
20-15
20-25
23-16
18-16
17-23
24-21
18-19
17-26
27-24
20-23
22-16
161.0Avg total
82.2Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.278.8161.0+3.460%
Season at home (5)77.477.4154.8+0.040%
Season away (5)87.080.2167.2+6.880%
Last 10 (10)82.278.8161.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)85.481.6167.0+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.080.0165.0+5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.877.8158.7+3.067%
vs Weaker (2)83.580.5164.0+3.050%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 69
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
92avg 69
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 69
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 69
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
65avg 69
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 69
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
64avg 69
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 69
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
62avg 69
A31/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
82avg 69
H04/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
31-15
14-23
20-15
22-25
21-17
22-24
25-18
16-25
15-21
27-24
14-17
18-21
31-15
17-19
21-18
13-26
24-20
22-15
15-18
16-16
27-13
14-27
17-29
14-22
18-26
16-25
29-25
20-21
13-26
13-18
18-17
24-19
7-26
15-34
23-17
29-12
18-18
20-18
17-25
160.6Avg total
76.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.983.7160.6-6.830%
Season at home (3)77.786.0163.7-8.333%
Season away (7)76.682.7159.3-6.129%
Last 10 (10)76.983.7160.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)73.686.8160.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.885.2157.0-13.427%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.582.4160.9-3.929%
vs Weaker (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
JurbarkasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H12/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
NKL
81.5Avg total
40.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)40.341.281.5-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (5)35.239.674.8-4.420%-
Last 30 away (5)45.442.888.2+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.281.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.682.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.041.582.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.241.280.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (2)43.041.084.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A28/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A31/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/11
NKL
80.1Avg total
39.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.380.0-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.942.780.6-4.825%-
Last 30 away (18)37.642.179.6-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.180.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.877.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.244.577.7-11.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.140.880.8-0.747%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.6
54.1%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.915.4
73.7%
70.3%15.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.9
47.0%
51.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.1
33.3%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.314.0
72.5%
70.3%14.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LLLWWWWLWW
Kretinga
WLLLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#8
+4.5
Net rating
-9.6
107.4
Offensive rating
104.0
102.9
Defensive rating
113.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
33.3%
71.0%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 104.0Defence102.9 · 113.5Shooting51.8% · 48.1%3-point %32.5% · 33.3%Ball care18.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jurbarkas wins
0
Kretinga wins
No previous meetings.
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AVilkaviskis86-89
02/11/23HSilute77-79
28/10/23HTelsiai80-82
25/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga90-78
21/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis94-80
19/10/23HVytis VDU79-73
14/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-72
12/10/23HUkmerges Stekas70-73
07/10/23ANeptunas 290-82
05/10/23HKauno Atletas81-80
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HKauno Atletas84-73
31/10/23ATelsiai69-96
28/10/23AUkmerges Stekas64-82
26/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas 277-98
21/10/23ASilute74-85
19/10/23AVilkaviskis74-79
14/10/23ARytas 287-73
12/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-87
07/10/23AVytis VDU90-84
05/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%40%80%
Points / game82.277.487.0
Allowed / game78.877.480.2
Point differential+3.4+0.0+6.8
Avg total161.0154.8167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %30%33%29%
Points / game76.977.776.6
Allowed / game83.786.082.7
Point differential-6.8-8.3-6.1
Avg total160.6163.7159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga1110191%85.572.4+13.2
2 Telsiai109190%87.574.4+13.1
3 Suduva-Mantinga86275%86.675.4+11.2
4 Jurbarkas106460%82.278.8+3.4
5 Delikatesas Joniskis106460%78.381.0-2.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2116555%77.474.2+3.2
7 Vilkaviskis116555%81.779.6+2.1
8 Vytis VDU94544%87.786.6+1.1
9 Silute104640%78.881.9-3.1
10 Ukmerges Stekas104640%74.879.2-4.4
11 Kretinga103730%76.983.7-6.8
12 Rytas 2103730%79.687.5-7.9
13 Kauno Atletas113827%75.583.3-7.8
14 Neptunas 2111109%77.489.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2226291794
Kretinga1923201880
← all games of the day
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