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Kretinga vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-82
28-19 22-18 19-17 20-28
Position#8
Record8-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#4
Record14-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game78.3
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Jurbarkas
29 Oct 2026
KRET79
JURB86
12 Mar 2026
KRET77
JURB88
16 Oct 2025
KRET65
JURB81
05 Jan 2025
KRET57
JURB72
28 Apr 2024
KRET84
JURB89
20 Apr 2024
KRET76
JURB84
04 Jan 2024
KRET89
JURB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 68
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 68
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 68
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
56avg 68
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 68
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 68
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
no box
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 68
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
64avg 68
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 68
A23/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
21-24
18-19
12-20
11-15
26-26
21-21
15-22
19-21
21-20
15-17
26-19
15-16
19-18
15-21
17-12
18-22
21-22
21-26
24-17
24-16
11-22
21-18
19-27
18-26
18-7
18-14
10-17
23-22
27-14
9-27
16-18
20-19
23-21
15-30
9-25
22-22
23-22
26-16
14-18
155.7Avg total
75.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.081.6158.6-4.633%
Season at home (12)76.982.9159.8-6.025%
Season away (12)77.180.2157.3-3.242%
Last 10 (10)75.380.4155.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)75.481.6157.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.183.6154.7-12.411%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.781.0160.8-1.345%
vs Weaker (1)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 75
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 75
A26/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 75
H30/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
54-62
54
62
-8
44avg 75
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
78-67
78
67
+11
74avg 75
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
93-78
93
78
+15
93avg 75
A09/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
62avg 75
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
78-111
78
111
-33
67avg 75
A16/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
91avg 75
H23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 75
A29/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
27-18
20-18
23-27
19-14
17-21
16-10
24-17
23-15
13-18
15-19
17-27
17-23
18-12
12-4
7-23
17-11
27-20
16-22
18-14
18-25
31-13
22-23
22-17
17-18
19-22
14-20
20-19
18-29
14-25
22-27
24-30
29-20
19-26
19-18
19-14
17-16
20-17
24-22
21-22
154.1Avg total
77.3Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.878.3158.1+1.558%
Season at home (12)79.476.9156.3+2.558%
Season away (12)80.279.7159.8+0.558%
Last 10 (10)77.376.8154.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)81.884.6166.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.084.6159.6-9.620%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.574.8154.4+4.769%
vs Weaker (6)84.380.5164.8+3.867%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
KretingaJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/12
NKL
79.4Avg total
40.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.381.0-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.441.680.9-2.225%-
Last 30 away (14)40.141.181.1-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.379.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.280.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.642.379.9-4.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.740.381.0+0.445%-
vs Weaker (1)39.053.092.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A26/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A09/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/12
NKL
77.3Avg total
39.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)40.339.579.8+0.854%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.937.777.6+2.258%-
Last 30 away (12)40.741.382.0-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.577.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.641.276.8-5.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.839.079.8+1.862%-
vs Weaker (6)43.039.282.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.2
49.5%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.5%
33.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.513.4
68.7%
70.3%13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.7
50.6%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.813.7
65.9%
70.3%13.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WLLWLLLWLL
Jurbarkas
WWLLWWLLWW
#8
League position
#4
-3.2
Net rating
+0.9
98.2
Offensive rating
102.2
101.4
Defensive rating
101.3
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
21.7%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.5%
3-point %
33.1%
64.6%
Assist %
69.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 102.2Defence101.4 · 101.3Shooting48.6% · 50.2%3-point %31.5% · 33.1%Ball care18.1% · 21.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · 34.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Kretinga   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kretinga wins
1
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Jurbarkas v Kretinga94-80
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AKauno Atletas85-78
21/12/23HTelsiai67-95
16/12/23HUkmerges Stekas75-81
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-71 OT
09/12/23HVilkaviskis75-83
07/12/23HSilute84-87
02/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-67
30/11/23HRytas 281-77
25/11/23HVytis VDU73-84
23/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis72-81
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23ASilute82-77
23/12/23HVilkaviskis86-78
16/12/23ATelsiai78-111
14/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga70-79
09/12/23AVytis VDU93-78
07/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis78-67
02/12/23AUkmerges Stekas54-62
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 268-79
26/11/23AKauno Atletas76-62
25/11/23HNeptunas 288-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLWLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%25%42%
Points / game77.076.977.1
Allowed / game81.682.980.2
Point differential-4.6-6.0-3.2
Avg total158.6159.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayWLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%58%58%
Points / game79.879.480.2
Allowed / game78.376.979.7
Point differential+1.5+2.5+0.5
Avg total158.1156.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2421388%86.472.4+14.0
2 Telsiai2521484%84.172.0+12.1
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2419579%81.271.5+9.7
4 Jurbarkas24141058%79.878.3+1.5
5 Vytis VDU23121152%85.083.6+1.4
6 Vilkaviskis25131252%81.883.3-1.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 224121250%75.273.2+2.0
8 Ukmerges Stekas24121250%75.176.3-1.2
9 Delikatesas Joniskis23111248%77.083.3-6.3
10 Kauno Atletas2491538%75.979.7-3.8
11 Kretinga2481633%77.081.6-4.6
12 Rytas 22481633%81.789.3-7.6
13 Silute2561924%76.882.9-6.1
14 Neptunas 22532212%75.885.4-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2822192089
Jurbarkas1918172882
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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