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Telsiai vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-85
27-11 24-21 19-24 25-29
Position#2
Record24-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game72.3
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#4
Record17-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game80.0
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Telsiai v Jurbarkas
05 Dec 2026
TELS v JURB
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
TELS74
JURB71
27 Feb 2025
TELS73
JURB62
03 Oct 2024
TELS85
JURB67
08 Feb 2024
TELS95
JURB85
16 Dec 2023
TELS111
JURB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 80
H19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
95-67
95
67
+28
87avg 80
A21/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
73-66
73
66
+7
63avg 80
H23/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 80
H04/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
69avg 80
A06/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
61-80
61
80
-19
54avg 80
A18/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
80avg 80
H20/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
65-67
65
67
-2
59avg 80
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
81-67
81
67
+14
78avg 80
A01/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
96-69
96
69
+27
101avg 80
H03/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
18-14
15-17
12-16
19-20
21-23
30-15
25-9
24-18
16-11
24-17
9-20
24-17
20-28
26-13
16-14
22-16
20-14
17-19
17-21
11-20
25-19
11-22
14-19
21-20
21-23
16-15
24-28
15-15
19-14
15-24
16-14
16-18
16-19
25-15
24-15
24-16
26-15
24-18
22-20
148.1Avg total
77.8Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.772.3155.0+10.577%
Season at home (16)83.470.6153.9+12.881%
Season away (15)82.074.1156.1+7.973%
Last 10 (10)77.870.3148.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)77.073.8150.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)77.075.2152.2+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.471.8156.2+12.679%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
78-111
78
111
-33
67avg 75
A16/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
91avg 75
H23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 75
A29/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
71avg 75
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
83avg 75
H06/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
67avg 75
H18/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
77avg 75
A20/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
no box
A27/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
90-78
90
78
+12
97avg 75
H01/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
67-83
67
83
-16
59avg 75
A03/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
14-25
22-27
24-30
29-20
19-26
19-18
19-14
17-16
20-17
24-22
21-22
19-28
18-22
17-19
28-20
26-23
22-18
26-23
10-25
24-17
18-25
16-11
20-23
26-29
20-20
20-20
15-22
16-21
23-15
27-27
18-21
21-20
31-19
14-15
24-24
13-23
18-17
21-11
15-32
169.9Avg total
83.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.680.0160.7+0.655%
Season at home (15)80.377.7158.1+2.660%
Season away (16)80.982.2163.1-1.250%
Last 10 (10)83.186.8169.9-3.750%
Last 5 (5)83.884.8168.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.985.8161.6-9.912%
vs Similar (16)81.677.0158.6+4.669%
vs Weaker (6)84.380.5164.8+3.867%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
TelsiaiJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A01/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H03/02
NKL
74.8Avg total
39.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.035.277.2+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.533.276.8+10.281%-
Last 30 away (14)40.337.477.6+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)39.635.274.8+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.874.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)38.337.075.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.934.777.6+8.279%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A20/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H01/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/02
NKL
84.2Avg total
41.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.381.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.479.9+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.982.0-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.084.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.283.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.942.079.9-4.125%-
vs Similar (16)41.239.981.1+1.456%-
vs Weaker (6)43.039.282.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.7
54.1%
51.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.8
30.2%
33.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws22.616.2
71.7%
70.3%16.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.9
51.1%
51.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
33.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.2
73.4%
70.3%15.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WWLLLWWWWW
Jurbarkas
LWWLWLLWWL
#2
League position
#4
+10.3
Net rating
-7.1
106.1
Offensive rating
106.0
95.7
Defensive rating
113.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
22.0%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.2%
3-point %
36.5%
63.6%
Assist %
68.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 106.0Defence95.7 · 113.1Shooting51.3% · 52.7%3-point %30.2% · 36.5%Ball care17.1% · 22.0%Off. rebounds26.8% · 33.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Telsiai   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Telsiai wins
0
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Telsiai v Jurbarkas111-78
28/10/23Jurbarkas v Telsiai80-82
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HVytis VDU96-69
01/02/24ASuduva-Mantinga81-67
25/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas 265-67
20/01/24HBC Olimpas Palanga82-86
18/01/24AVilkaviskis61-80
06/01/24AUkmerges Stekas76-70
04/01/24HNeptunas 286-72
23/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 273-66
21/12/23AKretinga95-67
19/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga63-59
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ABC Olimpas Palanga67-83
01/02/24HVilkaviskis90-78
27/01/24AVytis VDU103-96 OT
20/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga81-91
18/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas 278-76
06/01/24HBC Olimpas Palanga84-89
04/01/24AKretinga82-89
29/12/23ASilute82-77
23/12/23HVilkaviskis86-78
16/12/23ATelsiai78-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW77%
HomeWWLLW81%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %77%81%73%
Points / game82.783.482.0
Allowed / game72.370.674.1
Point differential+10.5+12.8+7.9
Avg total155.0153.9156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)57% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game80.680.380.9
Allowed / game80.077.782.2
Point differential+0.6+2.6-1.2
Avg total160.7158.1163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)43% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3126584%82.171.8+10.3
2 Suduva-Mantinga3226681%85.773.2+12.5
3 Telsiai3124777%82.772.3+10.5
4 Jurbarkas31171455%80.680.0+0.6
5 Ukmerges Stekas31161552%76.577.3-0.8
6 Vilkaviskis31161552%80.682.9-2.3
7 Delikatesas Joniskis31161552%79.883.7-3.9
8 Vytis VDU31151648%85.185.3-0.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 231141745%74.272.7+1.5
10 Kauno Atletas31131842%77.379.3-2.0
11 Kretinga31121939%78.183.0-4.9
12 Rytas 23192229%81.389.1-7.7
13 Neptunas 23172423%76.183.6-7.5
14 Silute3272522%77.483.5-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai2724192595
Jurbarkas1121242985
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