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Juventus vs Reggiana Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 81-86
Projected total 167.2
Scheduled
Position#19
Record2-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game91.7
Vs
36%
64%
■ JUV 36%■ REG 64%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#32
Record1-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeChampions League· Utenos arena
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Juventus will host Reggiana on 17 November 2026 in the Basketball Champions League, with the model favouring the visitors who hold a 64% chance of winning. Juventus has gone 2-1 in all three games this season, scoring 80.0 points per game while allowing 91.7, and sits 19th in the standings; at home they are 1-1, averaging 82.0 points and conceding 100.0. Their last five games include a 2-3 record, a recent 85-94 loss to Zalgiris Kaunas, a 98-95 win over Pardubice, and a 82-94 defeat to Jonava. Reggiana, meanwhile, is 1-2 overall, averaging 83.7 points and 80.0 allowed, positioned 32nd; on the road they are 0-1, scoring 94.0 and conceding 99.0. Their last five games are 1-4, with recent losses to Venezia 78-83, Unicaja 94-99, and Treviso 68-81. In the sole previous meeting, Juventus edged Reggiana 76-75 on 21 October 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 81-86, a total of 167.2 points, and a 5% chance of overtime, with Reggiana the clear favourite. The game will hinge on whether Juventus can contain Reggiana's higher scoring pace.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus win
36.0%fair 2.78
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana win
64.0%fair 1.56
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
86avg 79
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
66-105
66
105
-39
51avg 79
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 79
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
100avg 79
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#32
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 79
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 79
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#7
L
82-94
82
94
-12
74avg 79
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
23-16
26-17
26-24
8-20
21-24
19-34
18-27
25-23
28-18
15-21
3-21
31-25
26-26
20-19
23-20
22-25
25-25
14-20
15-5
25-30
17-21
10-20
24-23
27-16
15-29
25-24
15-25
21-21
19-25
35-23
14-20
17-21
25-27
20-12
23-34
23-28
23-18
21-27
21-18
173.3Avg total
83.5Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.091.7171.7-11.767%
Season at home (2)82.0100.0182.0-18.050%
Season away (1)76.075.0151.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.589.8173.3-6.340%
Last 5 (5)85.893.6179.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)84.194.1178.2-9.941%
vs Similar (9)88.389.7178.0-1.344%
vs Weaker (4)93.888.2182.0+5.575%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
83avg 74
A03/10
Lega A
Pardubice
#49
W
82-65
82
65
+17
82avg 74
H06/10
Champions League
Tortona
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
91avg 74
H11/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 74
A18/10
Lega A
Juventus
#19
L
75-76
75
76
-1
75avg 74
H21/10
Champions League
Cantu
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 74
H25/10
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
68-81
68
81
-13
57avg 74
A31/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#1
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
A03/11
Champions League
Venezia
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H07/11
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
84-99
84
99
-15
no box
H14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
15-27
28-26
16-23
15-15
24-14
25-22
18-14
25-25
22-23
22-19
24-19
21-29
25-28
20-16
15-21
25-22
25-25
20-14
5-15
23-20
15-19
18-14
25-7
15-29
24-18
22-20
7-14
25-16
18-27
21-32
30-24
26-18
20-21
18-20
14-24
18-34
22-21
18-25
26-19
167.1Avg total
82.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.780.0163.7+3.733%
Season at home (2)78.570.5149.0+8.050%
Season away (1)94.099.0193.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)82.984.2167.1-1.330%
Last 5 (5)81.084.4165.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.886.1164.9-7.39%
vs Similar (10)85.283.3168.5+1.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.873.2158.0+11.667%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1302%1354%1406%1458%15010%15512%16012%16511%17010%1758%1806%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1252%1356%14510%15512%16510%1756%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 167 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 161
Over 161
63.5%
Under 161
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
52.0%
Under 166
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
40.5%
Under 171
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Juventus total 80
Over 80
55.0%
Under 80
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus total 84
Over 84
40.3%
Under 84
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus total 88
Over 88
27.0%
Under 88
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana total 78
Over 78
77.4%
Under 78
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana total 82
Over 82
64.1%
Under 82
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana total 86
Over 86
48.7%
Under 86
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-361%-332%-302%-273%-244%-215%-187%-159%-129%-910%-69%-36%+08%+37%+65%+94%+123%+152%+181%+211%+240%+27
0%-362%-303%-245%-189%-1210%-66%+07%+64%+122%+181%+24
Margin from Juventus's side (positive = Juventus win). Pythia's expected margin is -4.2; Juventus win by 1+ in 32% of simulations.
Spread Juventus -3
JUV -3
27.9%
REG +3
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
JUV
No market prices yet.
REG
No market prices yet.
Spread Juventus 0
JUV 0
36.0%
REG 0
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
JUV
No market prices yet.
REG
No market prices yet.
Spread Juventus +3
JUV +3
44.1%
REG -3
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
JUV
No market prices yet.
REG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
JuventusReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#32
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H08/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/11
LKL
89.7Avg total
43.9Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.844.488.2-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.444.288.6+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)43.244.687.9-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.889.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.289.6-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.846.789.5-3.929%-
vs Similar (9)45.141.987.0+3.267%-
vs Weaker (4)45.040.585.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/10
Lega A
Pardubice
#49
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H06/10
Champions League
Tortona
#12
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H11/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A18/10
Lega A
Juventus
#19
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H21/10
Champions League
Cantu
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A03/11
Champions League
Venezia
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H07/11
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H14/11
Lega A
89.1Avg total
43.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.984.1+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.640.685.3+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)40.043.083.0-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.489.1-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.483.5-5.318%-
vs Similar (10)45.443.488.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.337.279.6+5.167%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
53.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
72.1%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
35.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.713.6
69.0%
72.1%13.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
LLWLLWWLLW
Reggiana
LLLLWLLWWL
#19
League position
#32
-6.3
Net rating
-1.8
96.0
Offensive rating
90.0
102.3
Defensive rating
91.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
32.7%
50.5%
Assist %
67.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 90.0Defence102.3 · 91.9Shooting52.6% · 50.1%3-point %34.6% · 32.7%Ball care15.2% · 15.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Juventus   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Juventus wins
0
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26Reggiana v Juventus75-76
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANevezis88-91
08/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas85-94
03/11/26HPardubice98-95 OT
31/10/26AJonava82-94
25/10/26HRytas76-94
21/10/26AReggiana76-75
18/10/26HGargzdai100-90
11/10/26ASiauliai71-83
07/10/26HUnicaja66-105
04/10/26HTaurage93-77
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVarese84-99
07/11/26HVenezia78-83
03/11/26AUnicaja94-99
31/10/26ATreviso68-81
25/10/26HCantu81-60
21/10/26HJuventus75-76
18/10/26AVerona81-94
11/10/26HTortona93-86
06/10/26HPardubice82-65
03/10/26ABasket Napoli93-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
Champions League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.082.076.0
Allowed / game91.7100.075.0
Point differential-11.7-18.0+1.0
Avg total171.7182.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
Reggiana
Champions League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game83.778.594.0
Allowed / game80.070.599.0
Point differential+3.7+8.0-5.0
Avg total163.7149.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja330100%94.374.3+20.0
2 Joventut Badalona330100%81.071.0+10.0
3 Peristeri440100%89.884.2+5.5
4 Murcia43175%85.267.8+17.5
5 Spartak Subotica43175%81.072.0+9.0
6 Alba Berlin43175%94.587.0+7.5
7 Bilbao43175%93.085.8+7.2
8 Rytas43175%86.582.2+4.2
9 Dziki Warszawa43175%103.299.2+4.0
10 Breogan32167%113.792.3+21.3
11 Strasbourg32167%90.771.7+19.0
12 Antwerp Giants32167%90.382.0+8.3
13 CSM Oradea32167%94.787.3+7.3
14 Bonn32167%84.379.7+4.7
15 Salon Vilpas64267%86.784.0+2.7
16 Legia32167%78.783.0-4.3
17 AEK Athens32167%81.087.3-6.3
18 Promitheas32167%86.392.7-6.3
19 Juventus32167%80.091.7-11.7
20 Vechta85362%87.086.8+0.2
21 Cholet42250%80.272.2+8.0
22 Korfez Basket21150%92.086.5+5.5
23 VEF Riga21150%100.095.0+5.0
24 Sabah Baku42250%83.583.5+0.0
25 Benfica21150%87.588.0-0.5
26 Trabzonspor42250%86.588.5-2.0
27 Igokea42250%81.083.8-2.8
28 Bakken Bears21150%80.584.0-3.5
29 Hapoel Holon42250%84.588.5-4.0
30 Batumi21150%81.589.0-7.5
31 Manchester Basketball21150%79.089.0-10.0
32 Reggiana31233%83.780.0+3.7
33 Szombathely31233%81.381.0+0.3
34 FC Porto31233%74.777.7-3.0
35 Galatasaray31233%77.084.0-7.0
36 Cibona31233%81.088.7-7.7
37 Varese41325%82.883.0-0.2
38 Nanterre41325%84.586.8-2.2
39 Fribourg Olympic1010%85.086.0-1.0
40 Wurzburg1010%73.074.0-1.0
41 Denizli Basket1010%98.0101.0-3.0
42 Levice1010%87.090.0-3.0
43 AEK Larnaca1010%87.095.0-8.0
44 Geneva Lions1010%78.087.0-9.0
45 Vienna Basket1010%82.092.0-10.0
46 Zwolle1010%78.089.0-11.0
47 Bnei Herzliya3030%79.391.0-11.7
48 Kolossos Rhodes1010%79.091.0-12.0
49 Pardubice3030%74.386.3-12.0
50 Slavia Prague ERA NBK4040%81.293.2-12.0
51 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
52 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
53 Bamberg4040%70.293.0-22.8
54 Rilski Sportist1010%80.0126.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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