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Lietkabelis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 May 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 66-95
18-18 13-26 18-26 17-25
Position#4
Record26-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#1
Record32-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game72.9
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Semi-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Zalgiris Kaunas
07 Mar 2027
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
22 Nov 2026
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
28 May 2026
LIE75
ZAL95
04 Apr 2026
LIE82
ZAL94
23 Nov 2025
LIE77
ZAL81
03 May 2025
LIE76
ZAL88
05 Jan 2025
LIE85
ZAL89
23 May 2024
LIE89
ZAL90
01 Apr 2024
LIE77
ZAL83
03 Dec 2023
LIE68
ZAL80
28 May 2023
LIE66
ZAL95
24 May 2023
LIE83
ZAL86
09 May 2023
LIE87
ZAL85
18 Feb 2023
LIE67
ZAL77
09 Oct 2022
LIE66
ZAL74
21 May 2022
LIE86
ZAL75
16 May 2022
LIE79
ZAL55
24 Apr 2022
LIE85
ZAL67
27 Sep 2021
LIE69
ZAL73
06 Apr 2021
LIE88
ZAL94
20 Dec 2020
LIE77
ZAL82
19 Apr 2020
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
LIE83
ZAL72
23 May 2019
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
04 May 2019
LIE76
ZAL81
13 Jan 2019
LIE69
ZAL73
31 May 2018
LIE79
ZAL94
02 May 2018
LIE74
ZAL81
19 Nov 2017
LIE66
ZAL70
06 Jun 2017
LIE59
ZAL72
31 May 2017
LIE86
ZAL83
30 Jan 2017
LIE79
ZAL77
22 Sep 2016
LIE90
ZAL86
14 Mar 2016
LIE70
ZAL90
16 Nov 2015
LIE69
ZAL95
02 May 2015
LIE67
ZAL73
04 Jan 2015
LIE63
ZAL82
02 Oct 2014
LIE70
ZAL88
13 Apr 2014
LIE64
ZAL76
28 Jan 2013
LIE61
ZAL113
26 Nov 2011
LIE79
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 76
A27/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
86-65
86
65
+21
89avg 76
A02/05
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
95-90
95
90
+5
78avg 76
H05/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
90avg 76
H09/05
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
80avg 76
H12/05
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
59avg 76
A15/05
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
101-99
101
99
+2
95avg 76
H18/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
40avg 76
A22/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
67-66
67
66
+1
64avg 76
A26/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-22
20-23
28-14
25-9
26-17
13-18
22-21
31-21
19-32
21-25
24-12
12-21
21-24
21-16
33-24
18-18
18-27
33-16
16-12
17-17
17-24
28-23
15-22
23-21
29-25
27-31
22-22
15-23
14-15
20-16
9-15
14-14
27-24
26-21
16-27
21-22
22-15
8-20
16-9
162.7Avg total
82.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)84.781.2166.0+3.567%
Season at home (19)85.882.8168.6+3.168%
Season away (20)83.779.8163.4+4.065%
Last 10 (10)82.879.9162.7+2.970%
Last 5 (5)77.281.2158.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.879.1153.9-4.438%
vs Similar (10)85.881.7167.5+4.170%
vs Weaker (12)89.782.5172.2+7.292%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
91avg 77
H30/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
56avg 77
H03/05
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 77
A07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 77
A09/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
90-71
90
71
+19
92avg 77
H13/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
89avg 77
A15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
69-58
69
58
+11
67avg 77
H22/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A24/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
66-67
66
67
-1
62avg 77
H26/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
26-25
26-25
16-16
10-13
16-16
22-32
18-16
30-13
19-22
26-27
17-16
26-26
23-18
20-23
20-15
21-12
24-21
16-21
24-33
20-22
23-17
18-14
29-18
29-18
23-17
22-25
18-26
23-15
15-14
16-20
15-9
14-14
24-27
21-26
27-16
22-21
15-22
20-8
9-16
160.8Avg total
83.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)86.372.9159.2+13.384%
Season at home (20)86.072.3158.3+13.785%
Season away (18)86.673.6160.1+13.083%
Last 10 (10)83.077.8160.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)80.673.0153.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.781.8153.5-10.217%
vs Similar (5)80.474.8155.2+5.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.673.9160.5+12.684%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
LietkabelisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A02/05
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H05/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H09/05
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H12/05
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/05
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H18/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A22/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/05
LKL
82.2Avg total
41.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.882.5+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.786.1-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.037.978.9+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.079.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.040.477.4-3.425%-
vs Similar (10)40.939.980.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker (12)45.541.887.3+3.758%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/04
LKL
Barcelona
#3
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H03/05
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H05/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A09/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H13/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H22/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/05
LKL
80.6Avg total
43.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.880.1+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.639.281.8+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)40.038.378.3+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.680.6+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.542.277.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (5)40.438.478.8+2.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.537.881.3+5.779%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.4
55.2%
54.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.6
36.0%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.5%
74.2%14.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.8
57.2%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.7
36.5%
35.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.814.1
79.2%
74.2%14.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLLWLWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWLWWLW
#4
League position
#1
+4.3
Net rating
+8.5
114.5
Offensive rating
117.8
110.2
Defensive rating
109.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
56.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
36.5%
61.3%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 117.8Defence110.2 · 109.3Shooting54.7% · 56.1%3-point %36.0% · 36.5%Ball care15.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 32.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lietkabelis wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas67-66
24/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
22/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas58-69
18/05/23HJuventus101-99
15/05/23AJuventus77-86
12/05/23HJuventus85-73
09/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas87-85
05/05/23HPieno Zvaigzdes95-90
02/05/23AGargzdai86-65
27/04/23ASiauliai89-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/23HLietkabelis66-67
24/05/23ALietkabelis86-83
22/05/23HLietkabelis69-58
15/05/23ANevezis92-86
13/05/23HNevezis90-71
09/05/23ALietkabelis85-87
07/05/23AJonava89-82
05/05/23HJuventus92-78
03/05/23HBarcelona66-77
30/04/23HNevezis95-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayWWLLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %67%68%65%
Points / game84.785.883.7
Allowed / game81.282.879.8
Point differential+3.5+3.1+4.0
Avg total166.0168.6163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%21%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)71% (7)56% (9)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL84%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %84%85%83%
Points / game86.386.086.6
Allowed / game72.972.373.6
Point differential+13.3+13.7+13.0
Avg total159.2158.3160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3832684%86.372.9+13.3
2 Rytas3832684%92.882.8+10.0
3 Lietkabelis39261367%84.781.2+3.5
4 BC Wolves35231266%85.878.8+6.9
5 Juventus36191753%86.686.6+0.0
6 Jonava38201853%80.180.7-0.7
7 Neptunas35161946%81.283.5-2.3
8 Nevezis35142140%86.288.4-2.2
9 Siauliai33132039%83.286.4-3.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3382524%79.889.8-10.0
11 Gargzdai3362718%75.884.4-8.6
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1813181766
Zalgiris Kaunas1826262595
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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