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Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 55-107
16-34 7-21 14-25 18-27
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Gargzdai
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas
11 Apr 2027
GAR v ZAL
upcoming
17 Sep 2026
GAR77
ZAL98
15 Feb 2026
GAR63
ZAL69
26 Oct 2025
GAR73
ZAL89
17 Sep 2023
GAR55
ZAL107
21 Dec 2022
GAR71
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 70
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 70
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
74avg 70
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
60avg 70
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 70
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 70
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 70
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
58avg 70
A06/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
24-20
14-29
13-20
13-21
16-30
25-14
19-22
20-25
12-22
28-21
17-22
14-14
26-29
18-9
19-24
15-14
16-10
19-18
15-25
15-19
13-9
20-17
8-15
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
19-23
15-21
21-20
10-27
154.5Avg total
71.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.283.3154.5-12.110%
Last 5 (5)70.083.4153.4-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.485.3159.6-10.912%
vs Similar (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
89avg 78
A15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
69-58
69
58
+11
67avg 78
H22/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A24/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
66-67
66
67
-1
62avg 78
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
95-66
95
66
+29
103avg 78
A28/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 78
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 78
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 78
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
53avg 78
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 78
H10/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
23-17
22-25
18-26
23-15
15-14
16-20
15-9
14-14
24-27
21-26
27-16
22-21
15-22
20-8
9-16
18-18
26-13
26-18
25-17
26-21
20-25
34-25
28-22
19-24
22-24
15-27
15-19
27-22
20-20
27-16
21-22
23-14
17-18
10-13
18-24
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
163.0Avg total
84.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.778.3163.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)87.884.6172.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.081.0152.0-10.025%
vs Similar (4)84.077.8161.8+6.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.575.4161.9+11.182%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
GargzdaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/05
LKL
77.2Avg total
35.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.242.679.8-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.140.175.2-5.129%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.783.8-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)35.042.277.2-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.077.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.843.079.7-6.220%-
vs Similar (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H22/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A28/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
82.1Avg total
42.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.181.3+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.983.4+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)40.638.378.9+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.282.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.686.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.877.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.241.283.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.438.381.6+5.177%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.0
48.8%
55.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.3
29.9%
34.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.712.7
67.9%
73.2%12.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.6
59.8%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.4
34.4%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.218.2
75.2%
73.2%18.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLLLWLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWWLWWW
#12
League position
#1
-17.8
Net rating
+9.1
96.7
Offensive rating
121.6
114.6
Defensive rating
112.5
47.2%
Effective FG%
56.1%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
22.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.9%
3-point %
34.4%
70.0%
Assist %
61.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 121.6Defence114.6 · 112.5Shooting47.2% · 56.1%3-point %29.9% · 34.4%Ball care22.0% · 14.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai96-70
21/12/22Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-89
16/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai86-74
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23ARytas65-91
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
24/04/23HSiauliai56-60
18/04/23AJonava65-67
16/04/23HJuventus77-76
11/04/23APrienai77-90
02/04/23HNevezis73-87
26/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas70-96
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/06/23HRytas97-87
08/06/23ARytas68-69
06/06/23HRytas95-80
03/06/23ARytas71-94
01/06/23HRytas108-93
28/05/23ALietkabelis95-66
26/05/23HLietkabelis66-67
24/05/23ALietkabelis86-83
22/05/23HLietkabelis69-58
15/05/23ANevezis92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jonava110100%94.077.0+17.0
2 Neptunas110100%91.081.0+10.0
3 Lietkabelis1010%81.091.0-10.0
4 Nevezis1010%77.094.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai167141855
Zalgiris Kaunas34212527107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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