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Kagoshima Rebnise vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 87-78
25-20 21-15 20-19 21-24
Position#4
Record15-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#9
Record9-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.4
JapanB2.League· Kagoshima Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kagoshima Rebnise v Nara
02 Feb 2025
KAGO79
NARA91
01 Feb 2025
KAGO83
NARA79
18 Dec 2024
KAGO87
NARA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kagoshima Rebnise winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kagoshima RebniseJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRebnise
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
78-56
78
56
+22
69avg 75
A16/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 75
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 75
H23/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 75
H24/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
96avg 75
H30/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
86avg 75
H01/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 75
A07/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
96-65
96
65
+31
97avg 75
A08/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
99-88
99
88
+11
96avg 75
H14/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
102-77
102
77
+25
104avg 75
H15/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-14
23-10
18-13
18-19
24-15
16-10
17-22
14-20
20-19
20-17
23-30
26-19
17-27
15-17
13-21
22-26
22-16
30-15
22-14
20-22
15-23
25-14
29-17
17-26
19-23
24-14
15-19
28-15
19-19
17-13
32-18
23-26
28-20
26-29
22-13
28-15
19-14
33-20
22-28
160.9Avg total
85.8Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.878.7161.5+4.165%
Season at home (12)85.081.2166.2+3.867%
Season away (11)80.575.9156.4+4.564%
Last 10 (10)85.875.1160.9+10.770%
Last 5 (5)92.277.6169.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.381.7156.0-7.333%
vs Similar (6)79.084.3163.3-5.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.574.0163.5+15.591%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
56-78
56
78
-22
48avg 70
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 70
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 70
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
63-82
63
82
-19
48avg 70
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
86avg 70
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
59avg 70
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 70
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 70
A08/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
61avg 70
H14/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 70
H15/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
14-20
10-23
13-18
19-18
15-24
10-16
22-17
25-11
16-23
13-18
14-14
18-21
18-18
10-22
17-21
17-28
26-8
28-21
17-17
23-15
11-25
12-12
23-21
24-18
20-17
20-19
22-23
14-24
11-20
19-17
25-22
14-25
19-21
15-11
19-25
12-19
15-29
15-18
34-13
147.7Avg total
70.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.078.4154.4-2.339%
Season at home (13)73.679.6153.2-6.023%
Season away (10)79.276.8156.0+2.460%
Last 10 (10)70.876.9147.7-6.130%
Last 5 (5)73.478.8152.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.679.4150.0-8.729%
vs Similar (10)84.081.1165.1+2.960%
vs Weaker (6)81.276.2157.3+5.050%
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
Kagoshima RebniseNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kagoshima RebniseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A16/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H23/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A08/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H14/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H15/12
B2.League
81.3Avg total
41.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)41.041.682.6-0.652%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.243.885.0-2.542%-
Last 30 away (11)40.739.279.9+1.564%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.781.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.541.281.7-0.750%-
vs Similar (6)38.047.885.8-9.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.938.481.3+4.582%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H15/12
B2.League
75.1Avg total
35.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.979.1-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.241.278.4-4.135%-
Last 30 away (13)41.938.280.1+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)35.040.175.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.642.675.2-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.540.275.7-4.736%-
vs Similar (10)42.240.582.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kagoshima Rebnisetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kagoshima Rebnise: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.2
51.8%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.7
36.8%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.215.0
70.8%
70.7%15.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.917.2
42.1%
51.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.9
37.3%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.711.9
63.6%
70.7%11.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kagoshima Rebnise
WWWLWWLLWW
Nara
LLLWLWLWLL
#4
League position
#9
+15.1
Net rating
-7.7
117.0
Offensive rating
94.3
102.0
Defensive rating
102.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
46.8%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
19.4%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
37.3%
63.9%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 94.3Defence102.0 · 102.0Shooting53.2% · 46.8%3-point %36.8% · 37.3%Ball care14.3% · 19.4%Off. rebounds34.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Kagoshima Rebnise   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kagoshima Rebnise wins
0
Nara wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise66-75
16/11/24Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise56-78
23/10/24Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise73-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings102-77
14/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings99-88
08/12/24AAomori96-65
07/12/24AAomori75-82
01/12/24HYamagata Wyverns89-76
30/11/24HYamagata Wyverns96-71
24/11/24HFukuoka71-84
23/11/24HFukuoka77-86
17/11/24ANara75-66
16/11/24ANara78-56
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HShizuoka76-79
14/12/24HShizuoka67-82
08/12/24AFukui69-83
07/12/24AFukui86-77
01/12/24HKumamoto69-73
30/11/24HKumamoto88-74
26/11/24AShinshu63-82
25/11/24AShinshu68-66
17/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise66-75
16/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise56-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kagoshima Rebnise
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game82.885.080.5
Allowed / game78.781.275.9
Point differential+4.1+3.8+4.5
Avg total161.5166.2156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeLWLLL23%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %39%23%60%
Points / game76.073.679.2
Allowed / game78.479.676.8
Point differential-2.3-6.0+2.4
Avg total154.4153.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%15%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2322196%92.475.7+16.7
2 Fukuoka2317674%84.274.1+10.0
3 Fukui2317674%83.277.6+5.6
4 Toyama2316770%86.078.4+7.6
5 Shinshu2315865%87.676.0+11.7
6 Kagoshima Rebnise2315865%82.878.7+4.1
7 Shizuoka23131057%76.075.1+0.9
8 Nara2391439%76.078.4-2.3
9 Kobe2391439%82.785.9-3.1
10 Yamagata Wyverns2391439%80.083.4-3.4
11 Aomori2391439%78.586.9-8.4
12 Fukushima2351822%73.382.2-8.9
13 Kumamoto2341917%75.186.6-11.5
14 Ehime Orange Vikings231224%74.793.5-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kagoshima Rebnise2521202187
Nara2015192478
← all games of the day
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