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Kataja vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-75
21-18 23-19 20-20 18-18
Position#3
Record17-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.1
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#2
Record20-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game79.8
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kataja v Karhu Basket
05 Dec 2026
KAT v KAH
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
KAT101
KAH80
02 Apr 2026
KAT92
KAH71
27 Mar 2026
KAT85
KAH60
21 Jan 2026
KAT76
KAH62
15 Apr 2025
KAT87
KAH99
09 Apr 2025
KAT82
KAH96
08 Mar 2025
KAT82
KAH75
08 Jan 2025
KAT92
KAH90
02 Mar 2024
KAT84
KAH92
03 Jan 2024
KAT78
KAH73
01 Mar 2023
KAT75
KAH79
19 Nov 2022
KAT71
KAH81
19 Jan 2022
KAT78
KAH106
31 Oct 2020
KAT82
KAH77
26 Feb 2020
KAT89
KAH95
09 Nov 2019
KAT80
KAH106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#2
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 78
H08/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
98avg 78
H15/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
64-86
64
86
-22
53avg 78
H18/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 78
A25/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 78
H29/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 78
A01/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 78
A08/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 78
H12/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
105-84
105
84
+21
105avg 78
H28/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
66avg 78
A05/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
19-22
19-18
28-21
26-22
23-18
26-21
27-18
15-23
18-20
16-23
15-20
25-15
21-14
20-20
12-31
29-22
18-16
16-29
22-24
17-23
17-19
15-28
20-15
27-18
15-14
24-26
27-28
24-20
23-20
19-24
14-21
29-15
21-24
31-23
24-22
13-23
18-22
21-15
19-22
168.7Avg total
83.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.185.1173.2+3.059%
Season at home (14)91.987.9179.8+3.964%
Season away (15)84.582.5167.0+2.153%
Last 10 (10)83.984.8168.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)83.684.4168.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.895.8174.5-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.085.9173.9+2.158%
vs Weaker (14)89.782.2171.9+7.571%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Kataja
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
84avg 72
A08/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
72-60
72
60
+12
49avg 72
H15/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 72
A18/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
89avg 72
A25/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
57avg 72
A28/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
74avg 72
H01/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
98-85
98
85
+13
87avg 72
H08/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
56avg 72
A12/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
87avg 72
H01/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
90-71
90
71
+19
80avg 72
H05/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
22-19
18-19
21-28
23-24
19-12
13-12
17-12
23-12
21-15
17-23
15-16
16-30
29-24
22-15
17-15
29-14
14-30
19-25
14-23
23-17
19-17
28-15
15-20
20-23
21-20
24-21
33-21
14-21
17-17
22-18
20-24
28-18
40-20
11-20
16-14
23-15
17-16
27-19
23-21
164.1Avg total
85.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.879.8163.6+4.069%
Season at home (15)85.575.6161.1+9.980%
Season away (14)81.984.3166.2-2.457%
Last 10 (10)85.578.6164.1+6.970%
Last 5 (5)88.275.4163.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.885.0163.8-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.978.6159.5+2.262%
vs Weaker (18)86.978.8165.7+8.278%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
KatajaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H08/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H15/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H18/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A25/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H29/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/03
Korisliiga
82.3Avg total
42.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.344.489.7+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.838.881.5+4.056%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.982.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.846.289.0-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.740.283.8+3.558%-
vs Weaker (14)44.541.185.6+3.464%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A08/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H15/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A18/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A25/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H08/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A12/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H01/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
Korisliiga
83.7Avg total
44.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.184.7+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.739.982.6+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)44.642.687.1+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.739.083.7+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.881.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.239.879.0-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.239.479.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (18)46.042.288.2+3.856%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.2
51.7%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.5
32.3%
34.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.814.6
82.0%
73.9%14.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.2
49.5%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.6
32.3%
34.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.212.3
60.9%
73.9%12.3
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LWLWLLLLWW
Karhu Basket
WWLWWLWWWL
#3
League position
#2
-0.1
Net rating
+8.2
111.0
Offensive rating
107.2
111.1
Defensive rating
99.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.3%
3-point %
32.3%
63.6%
Assist %
53.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 107.2Defence111.1 · 99.0Shooting50.3% · 49.0%3-point %32.3% · 32.3%Ball care18.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds36.3% · 37.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Kataja   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kataja wins
6
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Karhu Basket v Kataja85-69
08/01/25Kataja v Karhu Basket92-90
09/11/24Karhu Basket v Kataja78-101
11/05/24Karhu Basket v Kataja97-73
19/03/24Karhu Basket v Kataja62-69
02/03/24Kataja v Karhu Basket84-92
03/01/24Kataja v Karhu Basket78-73
14/10/23Karhu Basket v Kataja88-80
04/03/23Karhu Basket v Kataja79-64
01/03/23Kataja v Karhu Basket75-79
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ABisons Loimaa71-82
28/02/25HSalon Vilpas105-84
12/02/25HHelsinki Seagulls80-85
08/02/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki93-86
01/02/25AKarhu Basket69-85
29/01/25HBisons Loimaa85-91
25/01/25ASalon Vilpas78-80
18/01/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki64-86
15/01/25HBisons Loimaa102-79
08/01/25HKarhu Basket92-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HHelsinki Seagulls90-71
01/03/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki95-72
12/02/25ASalon Vilpas73-80
08/02/25HBisons Loimaa98-85
01/02/25HKataja85-69
28/01/25AHelsinki Seagulls76-92
25/01/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-99 OT
18/01/25APyrinto Tampere76-66
15/01/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki72-60
08/01/25AKataja90-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL59%
HomeWLLLW64%
AwayLLLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%64%53%
Points / game88.191.984.5
Allowed / game85.187.982.5
Point differential+3.0+3.9+2.1
Avg total173.2179.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%80%57%
Points / game83.885.581.9
Allowed / game79.875.684.3
Point differential+4.0+9.9-2.4
Avg total163.6161.1166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls3026487%95.483.1+12.3
2 Karhu Basket2920969%83.879.8+4.0
3 Kataja29171259%88.185.1+3.0
4 Salon Vilpas28151354%85.284.9+0.2
5 Pyrinto Tampere29151452%83.484.5-1.1
6 Bisons Loimaa28141450%81.180.7+0.4
7 BC Nokia30151550%84.884.5+0.3
8 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki30141647%81.883.1-1.3
9 Kouvot Kouvola30141647%83.985.3-1.4
10 Honka30121840%83.587.7-4.2
11 KTP Kotka Basket29101934%85.886.6-0.8
12 Kobrat3042613%77.989.0-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2123201882
Karhu Basket1819201875
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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