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Karpos vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-72
25-12 13-25 17-21 20-14
Position#11
Record2-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game83.2
Karpos 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#9
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H09/11
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H12/11
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A16/11
BIBL
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A21/11
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A23/11
BIBL
Cedevita
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H26/11
ABA League
Peja
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A29/11
BIBL
Zadar
#12
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A02/12
ABA League
Trepca
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H07/12
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
15-18
15-17
16-14
33-19
15-14
12-26
18-15
18-25
25-8
21-23
13-15
15-17
24-23
21-25
10-20
18-16
20-22
16-24
16-29
19-23
19-27
25-12
18-23
25-12
20-22
21-20
23-27
12-24
21-26
10-26
21-14
18-24
19-19
20-23
17-27
16-15
18-21
34-15
17-18
155.6Avg total
75.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.783.2156.8-9.517%
Season at home (5)81.081.4162.4-0.440%
Season away (7)68.484.4152.9-16.00%
Last 10 (10)75.080.6155.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)78.683.6162.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.686.6159.2-14.020%
vs Similar (9)75.778.3154.0-2.722%
vs Weaker (11)82.774.5157.2+8.364%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H05/11
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H08/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A11/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A16/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A07/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
33-18
25-32
20-20
17-20
16-18
16-23
28-18
20-11
11-12
22-22
14-19
15-10
12-17
19-23
13-18
23-19
24-23
20-24
26-21
21-25
14-23
18-7
23-15
26-20
16-22
15-20
22-24
9-15
16-19
25-20
9-19
16-20
20-18
17-31
18-13
15-21
18-16
10-22
18-26
152.7Avg total
73.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.285.5167.8-3.233%
Season at home (7)85.084.6169.6+0.443%
Season away (5)78.486.8165.2-8.420%
Last 10 (10)73.779.0152.7-5.330%
Last 5 (5)69.279.2148.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.880.2151.0-9.38%
vs Similar (8)82.084.5166.5-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.480.9171.3+9.560%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
KarposMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#9
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/11
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/11
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/11
BIBL
Crvena zvezda
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A23/11
BIBL
Cedevita
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H26/11
ABA League
Peja
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A29/11
BIBL
Zadar
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A02/12
ABA League
Trepca
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/12
BIBL
77.9Avg total
38.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.178.3-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.637.978.4+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)36.142.178.2-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.377.9-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.680.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.043.681.6-5.620%-
vs Similar (9)34.139.873.9-5.722%-
vs Weaker (11)41.637.378.9+4.464%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H05/11
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A11/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A16/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/12
Champions League
73.2Avg total
35.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.080.8-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.741.983.6-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.739.977.6-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.373.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.874.0-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.840.874.7-7.017%-
vs Similar (8)38.640.879.4-2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.041.489.4+6.690%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.2
48.1%
51.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.5
32.9%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
73.3%17.2
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
51.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.914.6
73.4%
73.3%14.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
WLLWLLLWWL
Mega Bemax
LLLLWWLWLL
#11
League position
#6
-12.4
Net rating
-2.8
99.8
Offensive rating
103.5
112.2
Defensive rating
106.3
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
34.0%
66.2%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 103.5Defence112.2 · 106.3Shooting48.7% · 50.9%3-point %32.9% · 34.0%Ball care15.7% · 19.7%Off. rebounds19.3% · 32.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Karpos   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
0
Mega Bemax wins
No previous meetings.
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/16HTrepca85-69
02/12/16AZadar74-93
29/11/16APeja64-90
26/11/16HCedevita89-81
23/11/16ASutjeska81-85
21/11/16ACrvena zvezda70-91
16/11/16AFeni Industries70-85
12/11/16HBuducnost77-71
09/11/16HTirana78-74
07/11/16AFMP Beograd62-67
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/16AAvellino61-85
04/12/16HCibona71-82
30/11/16ATenerife59-73
26/11/16APartizan79-86
22/11/16HOostende76-70
19/11/16HMornar Bar93-87
16/11/16AStrasbourg59-68
11/11/16AIgokea67-64
08/11/16HJuventus77-79
05/11/16HKK Krka Novo mesto95-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL17%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %17%40%0%
Points / game73.781.068.4
Allowed / game83.281.484.4
Point differential-9.5-0.4-16.0
Avg total156.8162.4152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game82.285.078.4
Allowed / game85.584.686.8
Point differential-3.2+0.4-8.4
Avg total167.8169.6165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda12120100%85.666.4+19.2
2 Buducnost1210283%85.076.5+8.5
3 Partizan129375%78.173.3+4.8
4 Cedevita128467%88.878.4+10.4
5 Cibona128467%83.680.9+2.7
6 Igokea127558%76.875.5+1.2
7 KK Krka Novo mesto125742%74.680.8-6.2
8 Zadar125742%80.288.4-8.2
9 Petrol Olimpija124833%81.283.8-2.7
10 Mega Bemax124833%82.285.5-3.2
11 Mornar Bar134931%76.578.8-2.3
12 MZT Skopje134931%76.483.0-6.6
13 FMP Beograd123925%71.879.0-7.2
14 Karpos1221017%73.783.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karpos2513172075
Mega Bemax1225211472
← all games of the day
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