Astana vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Dec 2025

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 82-72

25-11 24-21 19-21 14-19

Position#1

Record14-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.8

Allowed / game63.7

Astana 🏆

Almaty

Position#3

Record9-5

FormWWWLL

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game78.1

National League· Saryarka Velodrome

Other2025-26

Meetings · Astana v Almaty

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Almaty winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

84-68

+16

72avg 88

H03/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

87-74

+13

79avg 88

H04/11

National League

Almaty

92-53

+39

84avg 88

A08/11

National League

Almaty

106-73

106

+33

106avg 88

A09/11

National League

Atyrau

78-61

+17

78avg 88

H25/11

National League

Atyrau

96-63

+33

99avg 88

H26/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

97-71

+26

103avg 88

A02/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

75-63

+12

no box

A03/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

85-64

+21

84avg 88

H15/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

108-67

108

+41

115avg 88

H16/12

National League

26-18

22-13

14-18

22-19

20-22

22-10

25-18

20-24

24-16

25-11

23-8

20-18

24-16

26-22

27-19

29-16

14-18

23-19

23-20

18-4

28-24

26-11

23-21

19-7

21-20

26-16

27-20

23-15

14-18

17-18

28-11

16-16

22-22

18-13

21-10

24-19

29-16

33-12

30-15

16-24

156.5Avg total

90.8Scored

65.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	91.8	63.7	155.5	+28.1	100%
Season at home (6)	89.7	66.2	155.8	+23.5	100%
Season away (8)	93.4	61.9	155.2	+31.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	65.7	156.5	+25.1	100%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	65.6	157.8	+26.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	69.4	94.2	163.6	-24.8	6%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	91.8	63.7	155.5	+28.1	100%

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Atyrau

113-112 OT

113

112

104avg 78

A29/10

National League

Atyrau

89-83

88avg 78

A30/10

National League

Astana

53-92

-39

42avg 78

H08/11

National League

Astana

73-106

106

-33

56avg 78

H09/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

67-70

-3

no box

H22/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

75-69

67avg 78

H23/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

105-63

105

+42

103avg 78

A27/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

103-62

103

+41

101avg 78

A28/11

National League

Atyrau

88-92

-4

74avg 78

H13/12

National League

Atyrau

73-83

-10

56avg 78

H14/12

National League

22-32

27-9

25-33

31-31

26-20

24-18

20-16

19-29

16-24

11-25

8-23

18-20

16-24

22-26

19-27

16-29

15-17

21-17

19-16

12-20

21-21

20-10

16-18

18-20

23-21

30-15

24-20

28-7

33-9

17-10

24-28

29-15

14-28

17-18

25-17

32-29

16-21

21-18

19-22

17-22

167.1Avg total

83.9Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	85.5	78.1	163.6	+7.4	64%
Season at home (8)	78.6	78.8	157.4	-0.1	38%
Season away (6)	94.7	77.2	171.8	+17.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	83.2	167.1	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	73.8	162.6	+15.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	74.0	84.1	158.1	-10.1	13%
vs Similar (11)	82.9	80.4	163.3	+2.5	64%
vs Weaker (4)	102.0	60.8	162.8	+41.2	100%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaAlmaty

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	20.1	41.5	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.6	23.7	42.3	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.1	17.4	41.5	+6.6	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	21.6	42.8	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.7	23.0	42.7	-3.3	18%	-
vs Weaker (4)	28.8	14.0	42.8	+14.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	19.5	39.5	+0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	19.6	38.5	-0.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	14.5	38.3	+9.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	14.0	38.0	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.9	23.7	39.6	-7.8	12%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	14.9	38.1	+8.2	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	15.7	36.2	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	14.2	35.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.4	20.9	41.4	-0.5	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.0	10.2	37.2	+16.8	100%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

48-31

+17

H03/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

42-32

+10

H04/11

National League

Almaty

49-27

+22

A08/11

National League

Almaty

50-38

+12

A09/11

National League

Atyrau

37-37

H25/11

National League

Atyrau

54-35

+19

H26/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

47-36

+11

A02/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

31-36

-5

A03/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

40-35

H15/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

62-28

+34

H16/12

National League

79.5Avg total

46.0Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	40.4	80.8	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.7	41.2	81.9	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.3	39.7	80.0	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	33.5	79.5	+12.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	34.0	80.8	+12.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.6	47.4	81.9	-12.8	6%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	47.2	32.4	79.6	+14.9	86%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

49-41

A29/10

National League

Atyrau

50-38

+12

A30/10

National League

Astana

27-49

-22

H08/11

National League

Astana

38-50

-12

H09/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-34

H22/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

41-31

+10

H23/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

53-36

+17

A27/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

50-19

+31

A28/11

National League

Atyrau

31-46

-15

H13/12

National League

Atyrau

37-39

-2

H14/12

National League

79.5Avg total

41.2Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.1	39.1	81.2	+3.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	36.6	76.6	+3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	41.5	85.6	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	38.3	79.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	34.2	76.6	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.5	43.6	84.1	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	55.8	24.2	80.0	+31.5	100%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.2	39.8	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	20.3	39.2	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	20.2	40.2	-0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	16.0	40.1	+8.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	15.4	41.2	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	16.2	23.6	39.8	-7.4	6%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.4	16.4	39.8	+6.9	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.6	41.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.3	22.4	42.6	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.6	19.5	40.2	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	23.2	47.5	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	19.6	41.1	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.2	36.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.2	14.9	36.1	+6.3	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.6	43.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.3	22.2	40.5	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	21.4	43.7	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	13.2	35.2	+8.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.5	78.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.5	39.0	75.5	-2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.5	39.8	81.3	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	32.2	77.0	+12.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	31.6	77.0	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.8	46.6	81.3	-11.8	12%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.6	31.4	75.9	+13.2	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.3	42.1	83.4	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	41.5	81.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	42.6	84.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	44.2	86.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	39.6	86.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.6	44.6	83.1	-6.0	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.0	40.9	83.9	+2.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.2	36.5	82.8	+9.8	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 72.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	16.9	47.9%	50.5%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	9.0	29.7%	30.4%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.1	11.5	71.4%	69.6%	11.5

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	21.0	57.4%	50.5%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	11.3	38.3%	30.4%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.2	76.4%	69.6%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	17.7	51.5%	50.5%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.6	32.4%	30.4%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	13.2	9.3	70.9%	69.6%	9.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.8	55.4%	50.5%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.2	36.6%	30.4%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.8	75.8%	69.6%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Almaty wins

Date	Game	Score
09/11/25	Almaty v Astana	73-106
08/11/25	Almaty v Astana	53-92
27/01/21	Astana v Almaty	98-61
26/01/21	Astana v Almaty	109-41
09/12/20	Almaty v Astana	66-90
08/12/20	Almaty v Astana	67-107
14/03/19	Almaty v Astana	60-95
13/03/19	Almaty v Astana	65-93
20/12/18	Almaty v Astana	58-83
19/12/18	Almaty v Astana	80-90

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	108-67
15/12/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	85-64
03/12/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	75-63
02/12/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	97-71
26/11/25	H	Atyrau	96-63
25/11/25	H	Atyrau	78-61
09/11/25	A	Almaty	106-73
08/11/25	A	Almaty	92-53
04/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	87-74
03/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	84-68

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/25	H	Atyrau	73-83
13/12/25	H	Atyrau	88-92
28/11/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	103-62
27/11/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	105-63
23/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	75-69
22/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	67-70
09/11/25	H	Astana	73-106
08/11/25	H	Astana	53-92
30/10/25	A	Atyrau	89-83
29/10/25	A	Atyrau	113-112 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	6	8
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.8	89.7	93.4
Allowed / game	63.7	66.2	61.9
Point differential	+28.1	+23.5	+31.5
Avg total	155.5	155.8	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Almaty

National League 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	64%
Home	LLWLL	38%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	64%	38%	100%
Points / game	85.5	78.6	94.7
Allowed / game	78.1	78.8	77.2
Point differential	+7.4	-0.1	+17.5
Avg total	163.6	157.4	171.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	14	14	0	100%	91.8	63.7	+28.1
2	Almaty	14	9	5	64%	85.5	78.1	+7.4
3	Atyrau	15	7	8	47%	79.2	82.3	-3.1
4	Kaspiy Aktau	16	6	10	38%	78.1	76.4	+1.7
5	Tobol Kostanay	15	1	14	7%	63.3	95.1	-31.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	25	24	19	14	82
Almaty	11	21	21	19	72

← all games of the day

Astana vs Almaty Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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