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Kastela vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-58
20-16 14-16 13-17 17-9
Position#2
Record21-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game67.0
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Mladost
Croatia
Position#3
Record19-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game74.2
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Semi-finals· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kastela v Mladost
23 Apr 2026
KAST64
MLAD58
29 Nov 2025
KAST73
MLAD80
27 Apr 2025
KAST89
MLAD62
16 Apr 2025
KAST87
MLAD66
10 Feb 2024
KAST84
MLAD66
04 Feb 2023
KAST70
MLAD57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-38
95
38
+57
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
87-60
87
60
+27
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
135-62
135
62
+73
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
119-82
119
82
+37
H18/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
18-14
21-21
26-25
27-14
15-5
24-13
29-6
27-14
16-21
25-14
19-11
33-4
28-29
37-12
37-17
19-20
13-8
26-13
16-11
27-12
22-20
20-13
24-12
7-21
16-19
24-19
23-26
20-15
23-15
19-8
23-23
33-14
15-18
19-18
24-16
37-21
26-14
39-21
17-26
159.2Avg total
94.0Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.067.0155.0+21.081%
Season at home (13)91.465.7157.1+25.785%
Season away (13)84.668.2152.8+16.477%
Last 10 (10)94.065.2159.2+28.890%
Last 5 (5)91.670.2161.8+21.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)69.581.5151.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)87.766.0153.8+21.782%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
H14/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H15/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A21/03
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H28/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A01/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H12/04
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
138-81
138
81
+57
A18/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
17-11
17-11
11-26
24-28
23-21
23-21
26-19
13-17
24-17
19-21
19-17
16-20
13-21
6-12
32-19
20-19
8-13
13-26
11-16
19-26
26-15
15-29
21-30
26-16
22-18
29-18
15-18
19-25
23-13
14-25
15-15
20-6
16-18
16-20
17-14
33-14
36-23
36-22
33-22
158.7Avg total
81.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.374.2157.5+9.273%
Season at home (13)83.471.8155.2+11.585%
Season away (13)83.376.5159.8+6.862%
Last 10 (10)81.976.8158.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)90.277.4167.6+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.290.4171.6-9.125%
vs Similar (4)79.874.5154.2+5.250%
vs Weaker (18)85.471.6156.9+13.883%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +9.2+9.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +10.2+10.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
KastelaMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H18/04
Prva Liga
77.5Avg total
44.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.134.377.4+8.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.034.282.2+13.887%-
Last 30 away (15)38.334.472.7+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)44.832.777.5+12.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.879.0+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)28.539.568.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.233.978.1+10.279%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H14/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H15/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/03
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H12/04
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
69-37
69
37
+32
A18/04
Prva Liga
76.8Avg total
41.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.679.8+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.034.575.5+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)43.340.784.0+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.476.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.034.882.8+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.846.888.5-5.025%-
vs Similar (4)39.540.279.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker (18)42.932.975.9+10.078%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.322.4
65.3%
53.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.513.1
39.1%
32.7%39.3
🏀 Free throws12.49.9
79.8%
71.6%9.9
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.9
52.3%
53.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
32.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.413.2
75.9%
71.6%13.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWWLWWWWWW
Mladost
WWLWLLLWWW
#2
League position
#3
+33.7
Net rating
+5.7
109.3
Offensive rating
90.8
75.6
Defensive rating
85.2
62.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.1%
3-point %
32.0%
72.1%
Assist %
62.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 90.8Defence75.6 · 85.2Shooting62.0% · 50.7%3-point %39.1% · 32.0%Ball care15.5% · 17.8%Free throws0.18 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Kastela   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kastela wins
4
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Mladost v Kastela52-74
29/11/25Kastela v Mladost73-80
30/04/25Mladost v Kastela71-67
27/04/25Kastela v Mladost89-62
24/04/25Mladost v Kastela72-64
16/04/25Kastela v Mladost87-66
19/01/25Mladost v Kastela94-93
10/02/24Kastela v Mladost84-66
04/11/23Mladost v Kastela76-98
04/02/23Kastela v Mladost70-57
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HDakovo119-82
12/04/26ANovi Zagreb91-66
01/04/26HKK Zagreb85-61
28/03/26ASkrljevo70-85
21/03/26HCrikvenica93-57
15/03/26AMladost74-52
07/03/26HOsijek135-62
22/02/26AOmis87-60
14/02/26HAmfora95-38
07/02/26AJazine91-89
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26AAmfora138-81
12/04/26HSonik Puntamika69-58
01/04/26AGorica71-78
28/03/26HNovi Zagreb92-70
21/03/26ASkrljevo81-100
15/03/26HKastela52-74
08/03/26HOmis67-72
28/02/26HKK Zagreb75-72
21/02/26AJazine96-89
14/02/26HMarsonia78-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %81%85%77%
Points / game88.091.484.6
Allowed / game67.065.768.2
Point differential+21.0+25.7+16.4
Avg total155.0157.1152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%69%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW85%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%85%62%
Points / game83.383.483.3
Allowed / game74.271.876.5
Point differential+9.2+11.5+6.8
Avg total157.5155.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%46%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2623388%96.076.0+20.0
2 Kastela2621581%88.067.0+21.0
3 Mladost2619773%83.374.2+9.2
4 Omis2618869%85.076.2+8.8
5 Gorica26151158%83.381.3+2.1
6 Jazine26141254%85.880.8+5.0
7 KK Zagreb26131350%79.279.2+0.0
8 Crikvenica26131350%75.877.7-1.9
9 Marsonia26121446%76.175.2+0.9
10 Dakovo26121446%85.885.5+0.3
11 Novi Zagreb26111542%76.277.3-1.2
12 Sonik Puntamika2671927%75.381.3-6.0
13 Amfora2642215%71.890.2-18.4
14 Osijek260260%63.9103.9-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2014131764
Mladost161617958
← all games of the day
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