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Keila KK vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-90
28-29 21-17 9-18 16-26
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game102.0
vs
BK Ogre 🏆
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2025
Meetings · Keila KK v BK Ogre
06 Mar 2027
KEIL v BK O
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
KEIL74
BK O90
12 Oct 2024
KEIL83
BK O96
18 Oct 2023
KEIL80
BK O71
30 Oct 2022
KEIL81
BK O87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
78avg 62
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 62
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
88-101
88
101
-13
74avg 62
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
49avg 62
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
62avg 62
H20/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
82-112
82
112
-30
68avg 62
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-122
74
122
-48
57avg 62
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
83-89
83
89
-6
63avg 62
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 62
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
73-108
73
108
-35
58avg 62
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
15-21
28-34
13-20
6-23
25-30
18-24
22-17
31-30
13-26
21-23
23-22
11-35
22-24
19-26
24-14
18-23
29-22
18-26
16-21
22-35
25-27
12-29
23-21
20-26
15-30
19-29
20-37
16-21
17-23
12-30
38-15
19-23
20-17
20-28
20-21
27-23
18-27
15-26
13-32
179.9Avg total
79.1Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.2102.0179.2-24.80%
Season at home (1)79.089.0168.0-10.00%
Season away (3)76.7106.3183.0-29.70%
Last 10 (10)79.1100.8179.9-21.70%
Last 5 (5)78.2104.0182.2-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.094.4168.4-20.58%
vs Similar (4)80.279.2159.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 75
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
86avg 75
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 75
H16/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
70avg 75
A19/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
98-91
98
91
+7
93avg 75
H22/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 75
A25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
54avg 75
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
93avg 75
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 75
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
63avg 75
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
24-16
16-19
24-22
18-20
24-19
12-16
30-21
14-25
14-17
18-23
32-32
21-34
34-20
23-26
7-17
21-21
30-21
29-25
18-24
21-25
21-25
26-27
12-14
18-23
10-21
23-23
14-19
17-26
36-20
22-19
17-29
31-26
20-12
24-15
22-18
18-14
17-23
17-14
19-9
168.6Avg total
84.3Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.277.8159.0+3.550%
Season at home (2)81.577.0158.5+4.550%
Season away (2)81.078.5159.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)84.384.3168.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)81.080.4161.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.687.4166.0-8.820%
vs Similar (9)82.075.2157.2+6.878%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.075.8160.8+9.260%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -9.3-9.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -9.3-9.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
Keila KKBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H20/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#3
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
91.0Avg total
39.7Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.147.285.3-9.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.743.482.1-4.643%-
Last 30 away (16)37.550.688.1-13.112%-
Last 10 (10)39.751.391.0-11.610%-
Last 5 (5)39.850.490.2-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.447.885.2-10.423%-
vs Similar (4)42.243.585.8-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H16/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A19/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H22/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
43.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.783.0+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.382.9+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)44.239.083.2+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.186.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.142.882.9-2.760%-
vs Similar (9)43.638.081.6+5.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.438.883.2+5.660%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.3
46.4%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.6
30.4%
32.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.8
69.6%
69.8%15.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.3
55.2%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
32.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.112.5
65.4%
69.8%12.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LLLLLLLLLL
BK Ogre
WWLLLWLLWW
#12
League position
#8
-27.1
Net rating
+11.0
93.0
Offensive rating
111.9
120.1
Defensive rating
100.9
46.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
59.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.4%
3-point %
36.8%
53.5%
Assist %
53.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 111.9Defence120.1 · 100.9Shooting46.1% · 55.2%3-point %30.4% · 36.8%Ball care19.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds22.0% · 29.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Keila KK   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keila KK wins
5
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
08/01/25BK Ogre v Keila KK99-91
12/10/24Keila KK v BK Ogre83-96
02/03/24BK Ogre v Keila KK89-65
18/10/23Keila KK v BK Ogre80-71
21/01/23BK Ogre v Keila KK97-76
30/10/22Keila KK v BK Ogre81-87
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25ARigas Zelli73-108
11/10/25HBK Liepaja79-89
05/10/25ATartu Ulikool83-89
30/09/25AVEF Riga74-122
24/04/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-112
20/04/25HBC Kalev/Cramo81-92
17/04/25ABC Kalev/Cramo76-99
15/03/25ATal Tech88-101
11/03/25AVEF Riga71-94
08/03/25ARigas Zelli84-102
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HParnu71-60
10/10/25AKeila Coolbet97-71
04/10/25HVEF Riga92-94
30/09/25AValmiera Glass Via65-86
25/04/25AVentspils80-91
22/04/25HVentspils98-91
19/04/25AVentspils85-97
16/04/25HVentspils78-97
15/03/25ARapla84-76
08/03/25HViimsi93-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.279.076.7
Allowed / game102.089.0106.3
Point differential-24.8-10.0-29.7
Avg total179.2168.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.281.581.0
Allowed / game77.877.078.5
Point differential+3.5+4.5+2.5
Avg total159.0158.5159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valmiera Glass Via550100%92.472.4+20.0
2 Tartu Ulikool660100%86.777.0+9.7
3 Rigas Zelli54180%96.276.4+19.8
4 VEF Riga54180%93.680.4+13.2
5 BC Kalev/Cramo53260%84.279.6+4.6
6 BK Ogre42250%81.277.8+3.5
7 Ventspils52340%83.882.8+1.0
8 Tal Tech52340%79.284.8-5.6
9 BK Liepaja52340%80.688.6-8.0
10 Parnu41325%77.878.2-0.5
11 Keila Coolbet41325%84.294.2-10.0
12 Viimsi41325%80.891.2-10.5
13 Latvijas Universitate5050%73.296.0-22.8
14 Keila KK4040%77.2102.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK282191674
BK Ogre2917182690
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